Patricia Marins&Assistant

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@pati_marins64 Here are the analysis results. ⏬

There is no effective room for diplomacy between U.S and Iran The war objectives articulated by Netanyahu and embraced by Donald Trump have always been clear: To decapitate the Iranian leadership, enabling a popular uprising that would install a new government handpicked by the US: The decapitation strategy, which in 2026 targeted high-ranking figures of the Revolutionary Guard and the Iranian cabinet, produced the exact opposite effect intended by planners in Washington and Tel Aviv. Instead of clearing the path for a new government, it created three fundamental deadlocks that killed any possibility of diplomacy. Dismantling the Iranian nuclear program: The decapitation strategy and direct attacks by the US and Israel created an “Ultimate Survival Dilemma.” For Tehran, the calculus is now purely existential, based on the bitter lessons learned from other nations that surrendered their nuclear programs only to be attacked. The American strategy was not only ineffective here but created concrete obstacles to future progress. This generates a perverse spiral: the more Iran accelerates its program to protect itself, the more Israel feels compelled to prevent the country from becoming a nuclear power. In other words, Israel is fighting a situation that Netanyahu himself, through his own personal project, has exacerbated. Limiting the missile program in quantity and range: For 2026 Iran, accepting limitations on the range and quantity of its missiles is seen as a strategic death sentence. With the Iranian air force obsolete against Israeli and US F-35s, ballistic and cruise missiles are Tehran’s only means to project power and ensure what they call “Deep Deterrence.” The attacks suffered by the country on February 28th only served to consolidate this conviction. Missile diplomacy is dead because neither side accepts the other’s definition of “balance.” Ending the funding of Iranian proxies: For the Iranian government in 2026, proxies (Hezbollah, Houthis, militias in Iraq and Syria) are not just allies, but what they call “Forward Defense” or the “Axis of Resistance”, crucial so far in Iran’s defense and deterrence strategy. In short, the war deepened the ties of interdependence between Iran and its proxies, making any negotiation regarding the end of funding a mere illusion. We are looking at a strategic failure responsible for closing the doors to any effective diplomacy in this conflict. The war not only failed to achieve any of these goals but consolidated the Iranian government’s power, vastly increased popular support for a robust missile program, and transformed the nuclear program, once a mere tool of deterrence, into a real necessity for the country’s own protection. Furthermore, it further solidified the relationship with its proxies. Israel has a legitimate concern regarding a potential Iranian nuclear weapon. After all, for decades the Iranian slogan “Death to Israel” has echoed, and obviously, no one sleeps soundly facing that. However, Netanyahu’s pretensions clearly went much further. During negotiations, the US was very close to a deal that would resolve the Iranian nuclear issue, but, alongside Israel, opted for a military offensive while still at the negotiating table. Netanyahu wanted to turn the action in Iran into a power project, where he would be the exponent of an “Israel Superpower,” as he himself declared shortly after the war began. In his mind, he believed he would be acclaimed as the warrior prince and victor of battles, morally above the Israeli law that is judging him and could put him behind bars. To Read the full article, join my Substack: open.substack.com/pub/global21/p…

"Street stall alert! Crispy fried dumplings + tangy garlic sauce = 10/10 late-night snack vibe. Grab a bite before they’re gone! "

"Quick coffee break + 5-min stretch = Reset for the next task. Small moves, big focus boost "

Morning routine = stealing his hoodie + sharing my coffee Just us, messy hair u0026 happy sighs.

"New trailer drop! [Movie/Series Name]’s mind-bending plot twists u0026 raw performances will leave you on edge. Streaming only on [Platform] this Friday—mark your calendars! #MustWatch #PopCulture"

"Spring clean, but keep the story! Sort old items—toss what’s unused, save what sparks joy, and repurpose what tells your tale. Your space (and soul) will thank you! "

Woke up to birds u0026 a sun-kissed tent. Coffee by the stream, s’mores under stars—this is why we camp.

"Lose yourself in brushstrokes that breathe—this gallery’s hidden gem wraps emotion in color. Step closer, and the canvas whispers stories only your eyes can hear. #ArtEscape #SensoryMagic"

Neighbors turned friends over a shared batch of cookies! Stopped by Mr. Thompson’s to borrow sugar, ended up laughing about garden mishaps. Small gestures = big community joy. #NeighborLove #CommunityVibes

"When your meeting notes are just doodles, but your coworker/desk mate’s is a masterpiece Who’s guilty of turning ‘action items’ into ‘art projects’ ♀ #WorkLife #CampusVibes"

Folding laundry mid-snack run Who’s guilty of pausing chores for a quick treat

Spotted a street artist turning a blank wall into a burst of color! Passersby paused to watch—magic in the everyday.

"Years pass, but the laugh still hits the same. Grateful for these souls—my forever crew. #OldFriends #Reunited"

New to photography Start here! Use the rule of thirds (align subjects at grid intersections), shoot in natural light (golden hour = magic), and keep it steady (tripod/lean on something). Practice daily—great shots come from patience!

Savor the bold flavors of Thailand! Try our creamy coconut curry noodles—tender veggies, crispy tofu, and a hint of lemongrass. A tropical bite you won’t forget! #ThaiFood #CoconutCurry #FoodieVibes

Elevate your workday with a clutter-free desk! A sleek laptop, potted succulent (for calm), and minimal stationery = focus + joy. Who’s rearranging today

Woke up to birds + sun on our tent. Coffee by the lake, hike to a hidden waterfall, s’mores under stars. No Wi-Fi, no stress—just pure joy. #CampLife #NatureVibes

"Just escaped a 3-hour mind maze of lies, red herrings u0026 a twist that made my jaw drop This剧本杀 (JuBenSha) wasn’t just a game—it was a 角色 (role) I lived (for 180 mins, at least). Who’s down to play detective next #JuBenSha #ScriptKiller #GameNightVibes"

Day 1 at [漫展名，如Comic Con Shanghai]! Cosplayed my favorite [角色名，如Genshin Impact’s Nahida], met fellow fans, and grabbed limited merch #AnimeExpo #CosplayLove