Ethan Batiuk

Hey everyone, As you can probably tell I’ve been MIA for the past few weeks this is because I have started an internship at the Healthcare of Ontario pension plan and as such my posts could be construed as being privy to insider information so I will be halting all posts until late August/early September when my internship is over. Thanks to everyone for following along on the journey!

My Approximate holdings going into 2026: ~80% Allocated to large-caps (PLTR, NVDA, GOOG, TSLA, AMD, CRWD, PANW, HOOD)​ ~16% allocated to mid-caps (IREN, IONQ, NBIS, RGTI)​ ~4% allocated to small-caps (EOSE, MVST, ONDS) Top 5 in order are: PLTR,NVDA, IREN, AMD, HOOD These 5 represent ~80% of my total portfolio

Why I continue to be bullish in 2026: 2025 Was a Huge Year: - S&P and Nasdaq are growing at record pace​ -Forward PE ratios are decreasing or neutral​ (NDX ~25.32, SPX ~ 23.38)​ ​ -Previous Bubbles saw forward multiples >50 ​ (ex: 1998-2000)​ -AI is expected to materialize into real earnings Catalysts Moving Forward: 1. Tax Refunds Tax refunds have a right skewed Tail​ (richer people get them and are more likely to invest it) NDX,SPX returned 80%, 50% from 2020-2022 These Refunds will have a roughly 4 month window (Jan-April) vs Covid which was 2 years - Graph Attached 2. AI-Earnings Acceleration Semiconductors have led the earnings growth Now What?​ Agentic AI (PLTR)​ Data Centers (IREN, CIFR, NBIS)​ AI platforms (APP)​ Real World AI (TSLA, RIVN)​ AI LLMs (GOOG, OPENAI – private)​ All AI leaders are seeing accelerated earnings growth and multiple compression 3. Interest Rates Powell is done in May 2026​ Succesor will likely cut rates (elected by Trump) ​ Trump and Bessent believe rates should be ~1.00% 4. Decreased Regulations Regulatory Dollar Caps​ DOGE Finishing​ Pharmaceuticals Purchases from consumers All With the Goal of increasing spending from consumers and decreasing government 5. White House Activity Strategic owning of certain companies​: -Intel​ -MP Materials​ -Trilogy Metals Trump wants markets to pump and be known as the market president. ### This Is why: 2026 will be a BIG year​ Tech and AI will dominate returns

$EOSE - weekly The Fib line was touched 5 times before breaking and we have now reclaimed it. This is becoming a high volume level that should act as strong support so long as we can continue to hold it

@MMatters22596 Fundamentals are lagging indicators sadly. If you invest solely on a valuation metric you’d manly hold established insurance and banks.

2026 will be hard for $PLTR permabulls. I know that most of you don't want to hear this, but the top is probably in now. A 50% drop is nothing unusual in such a situation, especially with fundamentals lacking far behind the price. A P/E of 411x is absolutely ridiculous, no matter how good the tech is. This leaves a lot of space to the downside, without the stock being undervalued. Sure, it will probably print new ATH's one day, but I prefer to buy this stock for half of the current price, when fundamentals catch up.

@JohnAllen426502 @niccruzpatane But all the other models all have 5 seats so just pick a model Y,S,X,3 no? I believe all of them are equipped with same FSD as Robotaxi vehicles.

@dannycheng2022 $MVST, $ONDS, $EOSE ~4-5%

What percentage of your own portfolio is in small-cap stocks, and what are they (if you don’t mind sharing)?

Closing the year end around +10% vs SPX ~18%. Definitely sad about it but lots of opportunities to learn from mistakes this year and improve. Better post coming after I move into new place.

@gtfomppls @Hermitual @OrdnancePackard Because the seed investors want to sell. If it never goes public they never get the liquidity needed to sell and can sell at more than 50% discount to fair value.

When you don't understand compound interest, you post retarded shit like this.

@Mike__421 Why can’t 2 things be true? I don’t think AI stocks will sell off if real earnings on end use AI materialize which is projected for this year. At same time energy is becoming the bottle neck.

Added some speculative positions with ~1% each in my portfolio to position myself for what I believe to be a spectacular 2026. Excited for when I have the cash to never have to sell positions but sadly trimmed some larger holdings to make space for it. all trades on blossom. Should be the trade block I make for a while. Deeper analysis coming soon

@alc2022 Let’s hit 1T first and go from there. Price targets like this often don’t materialize but a doubling is still fantastic for 2026

I think silver is closer to top than bottom maybe another 50-100% MAX more likely will see a decline soon IMO. Tops are hard to call but I believe underperformance moving forward is most likely.

@dannycheng2022 @Ayushagoigo @FinancialErnie @harry_sudock @smatthewschultz Including IREN?

IREN released their full-year 2026 guide of $3.4 billion ARR. Thats a projected +578.6% YoY increase. $IREN

$PLTR - daily and weekly Tale of 2 charts On the daily we may look to retest the breakout before continuing the bull flag. If we fall below the upper blue ling the bull flag is invalidated. On the weekly we are seeing a potential head and shoulders pattern forming which is further shown by the declining volume (white arrow). The weekly is generally more powerful than the daily and this could send us into the green buy zone. A close above 205-206 would invalidate this pattern.

$HOOD - daily and weekly Consolidating between 115 and 123 continues. The attempted breakout was rejected at the mid bollinger band. RSI and MACD are curling down on the weekly.

$TSLA - daily and weekly The rising triangle has been invalidated as the resistance is too strong to get above. Weekly chart looks very strong even though we rejected on the red resistance line. Let's see if we can retest the resistance and eventually break out above it. Price discovery can be hard on the first time. We may need many tries to break above it.

@Mike__421 x.com/EBatiuk/status…

$MVST - daily and weekly We are seeing higher highs and higher lows on the weekly chart and are holding fib support well. A drop below this fib would invalidate this trend. On the daily we are hitting oversold conditions with a bottoming pattern appearing to form as we build volumes at the 2.81 support zone. We may retest this zone and look for it to continue holdings. For now the long term trend remains intact.