
High Grade 🚜⚒🌎🥇🇺🇸🇨🇦
32.5K posts

High Grade 🚜⚒🌎🥇🇺🇸🇨🇦
@EconomicAlpha
Dad of 3 | Writing & Investing #Metals & #Mining | Sector Focused | #Gold | #Commodities | News | **Not Investment Advice** $GC_F $GLD $GDX $GDXJ | 📧 Q’s




My cliff notes: Pan: Offset 3 years mining depletion. Still has 4-5 years mine life. Gold price used $2600. So results are even before modeling higher gold prices. Integrating Pan with Gold Rock eventually incorporate “Pan Operating Complex” two pits study out later this year. Hope to have by Beaver Creek, but if not sometime Q3/Q4. Will not truck to Pan just stand alone leach facility there. Truck loaded carbon from GR to gold room at Pan. Lots of synergies and value to be had. Exploration potential at Pan - lowest hanging fruit harvested. $5K #gold opens things up on detection limits. Cut of between waste and ore + satellite potential at Mustang target for example. Some opportunities to add a few more years of mine life at Pan. Higher potential exists at Gold Rock to extend mine life. Integrated study tech report Pan and GR. How production profile between two deposits fits together. That’s the plan. Of all development targets most excited about potential at Copperstone hence most exploration being spent there this year. Copperstone: Results PFS April few other things announced alongside that. Maiden reserves and PFS. Can adjust throughput and cutoff grade at these gold prices. NPV capex ratios 10/1 to 20/1. 2-3/1 is pretty good typically. Part of reason that attracted DS and DB to the company. Most of NAV is in development. Most ounces that are in development are permitted. And can build all these ounces out at a fraction of the capex of others. To build 150k ounces typically costs $300-500M. Energy costs: Energy security high. Surprised how little price exposure they have. 10% of operating costs. Connected to grid power at process plant. HL way less energy intensive. Most of energy cost at crushing and grinding. Only crushing to 4-6 inches. Average generally crushes to 100 microns. Thankfully they don’t have to do that. Energy costs $200 an ounces mid point of guidance. If diesel/energy prices triple costs go to $720 an ounce for fuel. About $500 at triple. Would put them at $2400 per ounce at triple the prices at the midpoint. Reason low impact: connected to grid power for plant. Smaller operation, smaller trucks and not crushing and grinding to 100 microns. Rebrand. Not really Minera Alamos anymore. US focused over next 24 months from the US. Still have Mexico. NAV biggest at CdO but thinks Copperstone has pretty good chance of eclipsing CdO on a NAV basis just have to add the OP optionality and flush it out over the next year or two. Mexico still there but US focused and that’s where permits are. Focusing time on things they can control. Good visibility in Mexico but time and attention on things they can control. Catalysts: PFS CS April. Refinance debt in April. Gold Pre Pay with Auramet. 7,800 ounces payable ratably 9 months this year and next 9 months next year for a total of 18 installments. Wants BS used for growth not pay down debt. Seeing good terms from large Canadian banks to refinance that. Happy to pay that back in 2-3 years. This year is all about funding the growth. Pay much lower cost on debt and pay it back later. Ideally do these things in one press release that would be big catalyst for April. Looking to keep same ticker symbol. Mining Americas sounds just right. Or Minera Americas. My added point: good clarity on the sensitivity to energy costs. Now you can bake these in to the model if you’d like. $1,925 to $2,400. Still generating FCF and operating cash sufficient to fund their plans and then some. CdO largest development NAV right now but Copperstone potentially taking the title on that over next 2 years if they can refine the OP into the profile that would be something to be watch out for. They paid in MAI stock somewhere between $20-25M for it. Check my math may be off by a few million but that just gives you an idea on what they are working with and how much it could be worth relative to what they spent. 🚜⚒️🌎🥇


We're proud to welcome Darren M. Pylot as the incoming Chairman of $MAI.V, effective following our AGM on June 25: bit.ly/4wpikpy Mr. Pylot is a Canadian mining entrepreneur & executive. Over a 30+ year career, he has played a significant role in building and financing mining companies. He was the founder & long-time leader of Capstone Copper (fmr. Capstone Mining), where he served as President, CEO & later Executive Chair. He led Capstone’s transformation from a small exploration company to a multi-asset, multi-billion-dollar copper producer with operations in North & South America. His proven track record of building multi-asset, multi-billion-dollar mining companies is exactly the kind of experience we're bringing to the boardroom as we execute on our growth strategy. Welcome, Darren. 🤝




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