Edwin Lu
178 posts
I’m very happy about my $sivef ! Someday if I ever drop dead a man will come on this account and ask you guys what to do with these holdings please guide him
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
To make things even spicier. $SIVE is run by UC Berkeley CEOs and $LITE executives. And the ownership cab table is now controlled by American institutions/investors. I’d expect things to speed up on NASDAQ listing as American institutions are heavy fond of executive teams + cap tables like this. US/Silicon Valley is now speedrunning a Swedish in name photonics company.
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@fundmyfund Thoughts on a fair price for KOPN to you? Did they give any guidance also?
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$KOPN share count surged to 186.9M per 10Q
I had 169.5 on my financial model but that might have been 2 quarters ago - anyhow ~10% dilution in a short period
At roughly $5.30 that is $990M market cap
Forward guidance is $52-$60M revenue (described as conservative). The tricky part is they have operational revenue and non operational revenue now - i.e. one time grants, agreements etc - which is not part of an ongoing business. So that revenue is not really revenue in the normal sense. Normally you'd discount that since it is not from producing widgets.
i.e. half their sales this quarter was that sort of revenue
Anyhow assuming you don't discount it
At $52M that is forward 19x sales
At $60M that is forward 16.5 sales
If they beat everything at $70M and you include all the non operational revenue as real revenue that is 14x
I like 12x forward for fast growing companies
It just means it is not cheap like it was at $2.50 or $3.50
My metrics mean nothing to the market. If they want to price it at 70x price to sales it can happen. Or 4x sales.
Just showing the metrics
sec.gov/Archives/edgar…
Fund.Drone.DefenseTech.Photonics $LPTH $UMAC 🐋@fundmyfund
$KOPN flat revenue year over year +7% in pre $LPTH +110% revenue year over year -9% last Friday You have to love the stock market Anyhow if this earnings reaction holds will get back into the $KOPN sold off ahead of earnings for safety and the train just keeps going Obviously people are looking to the future (but should for both) - anyhow we have the right companies in our scope. Just a matter of when the market recognizes said companies - that is what the charts are for. kopin.com/press-releases…
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THIS IS INSANE!!!
PEOPLE WILL BECOME MILLIONARIES OFF THIS! ARE YOU ONE???
Bloomberg@business
President Donald Trump’s Golden Dome missile-defense shield will cost as much as $1.2 trillion to deploy and operate, six times above current forecasts, according to a new estimate — and would still likely fail to stop an all-out attack bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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@PolarizingLit Market overreacted it looks like. Was able to scoop some for a low price
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@EdwinLu25417787 no guidance on call... no news on SK Hynix license renewal. blah but will buy more when it pulls back more I think not t today
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@Thebullwhisper Agreed. I’m disappointed I forgot to re enter this
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@EdwinLu25417787 If this truly is the ASPI of graphite... Don't know..
Alot of stuff going on here with batteries, graphene etc aswell.
Good story, very good.
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$TORVF been on a TEAR last couple of days.
200% since first mentioned.
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$prso earnings after close .... Last earnings they had a decline, along with $gcts because both are phasing out their legacy tech ... Last earnings didn't plummet them but if they can show increasing sales this time around I think it could be a nice catalyst .. gcts is tomorrow
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@JacksonDiek @PolarizingLit same question here. But I dont have enough money to keep buying stuff😅.
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@PolarizingLit Dang I missed MRAM. Lol I was going to jump in Monday. I bought your list of stocks the other day. What do you think I still have time to grab next week before its to late lol. I saw GCTS went up too. Should I wait for a pull back or jump in? Lol
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I'm wondering if $mram rise related to $hon they have a partnership ...
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@PolarizingLit A lot of your picks are amazing! But how do you know when to sell?
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Spencer Pratt is running for mayor in LA and his campaign is hysterically good
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THIS IS INSANE!!!
I bot $SNDK 2X ETF last Friday in the $1020s pre mkt (see linked post for timestamp)
ONE week later $SNDK is up almost 50%
You could have made nearly 100% on $SNXX - its just that easy!
If I can do it, anyone can do it!
Follow this account for all my TED talks! 😂
Fund.Drone.DefenseTech.Photonics $LPTH $UMAC 🐋@fundmyfund
I put a starter position of $SNDK via $SNXX on here in the $1020s I put a green box on the chart for my target acquisition near the 9 ema where I will acquire. Would add to it if it rebounds up and thru the 5 ema. If it crashes out of this range I'll be out with a very defined risk control. It will be under 1.5% risk on the common, thus 3% on the ETF I exited this position Tuesday at a similar price point to where I am adding now, locking in some gains on an earlier trade and avoiding earnings risk.
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$MP DROPS 11% IN 3 HOURS
What did I say the other day?
“The sector won’t be easy. There will be twists, turns, chaos, and things nobody expects… but the story is only just beginning.”
cek@cekdrew
I’ve gone so deep into rare earth research that underground monster sightings barely phase me anymore. $MP $USAR $UAMY The sector won’t be easy. There will be twists, turns, chaos, and things nobody expects… but the story is only just beginning.
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@Thebullwhisper What type of testing do they do? Is it similar to AEHR? You maybe want to look into TRT if that’s the case
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Added $RVSN and $CLIR to my bag of cashed up, fresh out of split, alongside $IPWR.
New tech takes time to mature, all three targeting painfully slow industries testing/adapting.
When everyone's given up and hype has died is sometimes the inflection point. Could be long and boring holds until the right PR sends em or not.
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@EdwinLu25417787 American leaders once led a revolution to oppose 1% tea tax. Only to end up charging their citizens more than 30x this themselves.
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Even if strait is opened gas prices stay elevated.
Same as Covid induced inflation and so-called supply chain woes. Most grocery prices increased at least 20% around the board and they stayed that way even after supply chain issues were rectified. We are all exit liquidity.
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Exit $MU $SNDK $TNA (just got the latter on about an hour ago took a quick loss)
Want to lock in my gains in the former 2 as I have 2X ETFs so they can go south fast, and then approach tomorrow with a fresh look. Still think both charts are fine.
I have no major size trading longs on atm.
$OMER $ABCL $KOPN $WATT are my mediums with $SOXL hedge
Portfolio -5% today
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@EdwinLu25417787 Float is small. Anything can happen.
I don't know tbh.
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Reading up on a setup similar to where $MIGI were three months ago.
Where $NUAI were one year ago.
Market got zero trust in business succeeding, with multiple potential catalysts upcoming quarters.
Potential for massive hype-spikes but also sustained rerating, higher highs and higher lows should they execute.
Been in long discussions with grok and gpt about contracts, PRs, cash, TAM etc..
Probably going bawlls deep on Monday. Need to read up some more, gauge how deep I dare to dip it.
Don't want to VIVK myself or any of you again.
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@Bluebird091988 @Thebullwhisper 36k holy smokes. Can I ask your cost basis?
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@Thebullwhisper @EdwinLu25417787 I have 36,300 shares ready for the squeeze to 35-40 in 3 months
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