Micky Elavia
1.3K posts

Micky Elavia
@Elavia69
I am married and I am a dad to three good kids that have there moments !!!!
england Katılım Ekim 2010
145 Takip Edilen79 Takipçiler

@DFrankcom Couldn’t agree more mate. Since being part of the telegram group I’ve learned loads. Yes I might not bet like some in it but I do it within my means
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Reiterating why I tailor my stakes, as I talk about it daily.
Let’s start with why I don’t like Lucky15s.
A L15 is 15 bets. A yankee (11 bets) plus the 4 singles.
Reasoning… the singles shouldn’t be the same stake as a 4fold. How often do you get 4/4? Once or twice a year. So why waste such a high percentage of the bet on such small chances?
What has the highest chance of landing? The single
What has the second highest chance of landing? A double
What has the next chance (after the 4 single opportunities and the 6 double opportunities)? A treble
What has a tiny chance of landing? The 4fold
So why are the singles the same stake as a 4fold?
Bookies dream.
An example here:
Let’s just say I had £33 to bet on 4 horses at decent odds (let’s say 4/1 and above) … I wouldn’t do a £1.10 each way lucky15 (£33) or a £1.50 each way yankee (£33).
I would probably do:
- £2 each way doubles (£24)
- £1 each way trebles (£8)
- 50p each way 4fold (£1)
£33
Tailored stakes.
This works for the smaller odds horses too.
Let’s say they are all evens. A lucky £15 would be £1 singles, £1 doubles, £1 trebles and a £1 4fold.
If one lands… you get £2 back. What is the point?
If two land… you get £8 back. Still not much point. I would want more than £8 back if I landed two winners.
I’d be thinking here, ok… the singles are pointless. So with that £15 I’d probably go for:
£1.75 win doubles (£10.50)
£1 win trebles (£4)
50p win 4fold
Tailored stakes with the £15.
I may even just do trebles and the 4fold. For example…
£3.50 trebles and £1 4fold… because let’s be honest, if I’ve found 4 shorties at evens… I’d be wanting at least 3 to win… especially with £15.
Anyway, the first case study is a better example.
Lucky15s are the bookies dream.
Be smart. Maximise your returns in the long run.
Caveat… if all 4 do win of course your return would be higher with the yankee at ratio stakes… but let’s be honest, when do all 4 ever land? If only 2 land (far more likely) you’ll make more money this way. If 3 win (small chance) it depends on the folds and stake choices. In the long run you’ll make more money for sure IMO.
Be smart.
I’m not suggesting my way of doing it with 4 selections is the best way for sure as it depends on how much you fancy the horses and the odds etc however, if this post helps just one person think about their staking properly… and benefits their mindset… then it’s worth it
Over and out
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Cheltenham Telegram is finally open!
t.me/+ItPygZXxiy5jM…
Lets goooooooooooo 🐎
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@DFrankcom Sir Gino as Henderson quite openly said if con hill doesn’t win he will send sir Gino down the hurdles route. Lavender hill mob as I don’t think it’s going to get the hill at Cheltenham
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Help us name our new AUTHENTIC colt. The dam is RUBY TRUST. Post your ideas in the comments. If we pick your name, @rresoluteracing will treat you and a friend to his first graded stakes race and you can get some cool Team Resolute swag.


Kentucky, USA 🇺🇸 English

🏇 𝗖𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗧 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗚𝗢𝗟𝗗𝗘𝗡 𝗛𝗢𝗥𝗦𝗘 𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗘𝗦 🏇
Like this post and comment with how many golden horse shoes pass the winning post 👀
Five random entrants with the correct answer will win a £20 free bet! 🙌
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#GetReadyToRoar
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@BBCMOTD No pen botman got the first touch. The ball was never under control from then onwards . If that touch never happened goalkeeper saves all day long
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Competition time 🏇🙌
We have a £50 cash prize up for grabs 💷
Simply follow @itv7, answer today's question, use the hashtag #ITV7InItToWinIt and you could be our lucky winner announced at 10am tomorrow ⌚️ #ITVRacing
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@ZanqeeBHAFC TAA. Sitting in that position he’s a liability like he was Sunday against arsenal. Against a top quality team like France he will be destroyed
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@BBCMOTD Both should have seen red cards. The first challenge was awful and could have broken his leg. The reaction was just as bad
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#WHFreeBet competition
⚽️ Which player signed for Manchester Utd from Tottenham in September 2008?
💰 One correct answer that replies using #WHFreeBet will be randomly selected after 5pm tonight to win a £50 free bet.
18+ | Terms - wh.bet/WHFreeBet

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@racingblogger Same as all bar a couple of Mullins horses all looked like they could do with the run. This time last year Gordon Elliot was going great guns. Went to the Christmas meetings and got smashed by all of the Mullins big guns
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@ggcouk Wasn’t paying attention to the horse behind him thought he was going to trot to the finish line
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It's #FreeBetFriday time! ⚽️
We have FIVE £20 free bets up for grabs 🎁
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