Emil Panakhov
2.5K posts

Emil Panakhov
@EmilPanakhov
Co-Founder @alphaonetrade | Top CIS KOL | Market takes & alpha drops
Katılım Mayıs 2012
188 Takip Edilen896 Takipçiler
Emil Panakhov retweetledi

⚠️ Du hast #Ethereum seit 2021. Hast Merge, Dencun, Pectra mitgemacht. Jedes Upgrade mit derselben Erwartung: jetzt wacht der Bid auf. Jedes Mal gesagt, gleich kommt der ETH-Zyklus. Und während du gewartet hast, hat Solana dir die Retail-Liquidität vor der Nase weggefressen. Hyperliquid hat die Perps geschluckt. BTC hat sich nicht einmal umgedreht.
Gestern liefert Ansem (@blknoiz06) den Trade des Jahres: Short $ETH, Ziel $1.000 bis Jahresende.
Sein Take im O-Ton. Die Ethereum-These erodiert seit Jahren. Solana dominiert die Retail-Aktivität. Hyperliquid die Perps. Rollups haben nie Traction gefunden. Vitalik selbst hat die General-Usage-Rollup-Story öffentlich aufgegeben. Was Ethereum noch trägt, ist Security plus DeFi-Vertrauen. Die Aave-Situation ist ein Makel auf genau diesem Wertversprechen.
Zahlen dahinter. Enge Invalidierung bei $2.377. Locker bei $2.700. Wenn die Probleme wachsen, Ziel $1.300.
Danach die 2022er Bärenmarkt-Tiefs Richtung $800. Ethereum steht in diesem Moment bei $2.323. Unter der ersten Linie.
CT bricht in zwei Lager.
Die Bears liefern. @MonetSupply zerlegt die rsETH-Kette: 16,5 Prozent des ETH-Markts auf Aave sind durch restaked ETH gedeckt, Utilization pinned bei 100 Prozent, der Loop sieht einen Haircut von 10 bis 15 Prozent. @coinbureau zieht den Rahmen: 292 Mio. USD rsETH-Exploit, 5,4 Mrd. USD ETH-Outflows aus Aave in 48 Stunden, 280 Mio. USD Bad Debt. @philarekt meldet einen Trump-Insider-Wallet short ETH mit 20fach Leverage, Position 92 Mio. USD, Liquidation bei $1.392. Die Bear-Story schreibt sich in Echtzeit.
Die Bulls schweigen nicht. @RaoulGMI wiederholt seine These: Das ganze Bankensystem geht auf Ethereum. Banken denken Lindy, nicht Innovation. Vitalik bleibt kalt: ETH konkurriert nicht gegen HFT-Chains, ETH ist die sichere, dezentrale, verlässliche Chain. Tom Lees BitMine antwortet mit Kapital statt Worten. Weitere 101.627 ETH gekauft, 235 Mio. USD, genau während CT zum Ausgang rennt. Charles Schwab öffnet BTC- und ETH-Trading für TradFi-Kunden im Billionen-Bereich.
Mein Take. Der Aave-Schaden ist echt. Aber was da kontaminiert wurde, ist Kelp DAO über die LayerZero-Bridge, nicht der Ethereum-Core. Und während Ansem das 2022er Tief ausruft, öffnet Schwab eine Pipeline, die größer ist als der gesamte Krypto-Markt. BitMine kauft Hundertmillionen nach. Securitize tokenisiert Nasdaq-Shares weiter auf Ethereum. Vitaliks Framing hält.
Für mich läuft hier ein Leverage-Cleansing, kein FTX-Schock. Die Institutionen nutzen den Moment für unbemerkte Akkumulation. Wer jetzt mit Ansem shortet, wettet gegen die größte TradFi-Pipeline, die Krypto je bekommen hat.


Deutsch
Emil Panakhov retweetledi

And this is what the result looks like from the very first call of $Asteroid @Asteroidcto in Alpha Hub
Move before the crowd

Alpha One@alphaonetrade
This is what a good morning looks like $Asteroid @Asteroldcto has crossed the 150 million capitalization mark The memecoin season is back and our alpha traders are not missing this opportunity
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Emil Panakhov retweetledi

This is what a good morning looks like
$Asteroid @Asteroldcto has crossed the 150 million capitalization mark
The memecoin season is back and our alpha traders are not missing this opportunity

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GLOBAL ABSORPTION
Wall Street just executed the most coordinated move since 2008.
From Nov 24 to Dec 2, 2025:
• JPMorgan filed Bitcoin-linked notes with 1.5x upside and 30% downside protection.
• Vanguard broke years of resistance and opened its 11T platform to 50M clients.
• Bank of America authorized 15,000 advisors to recommend up to 4% BTC allocation.
• The same day, Goldman Sachs acquired Innovator Capital for $2B.
Four institutions. Nine days. AUM north of $20T. The odds this is random are near zero.
While retail panic-sold $3.47B in November, the largest monthly ETF outflow ever, institutions built the pipes to absorb it.
IBIT from BlackRock saw $2.34B out from retail. Abu Dhabi’s SWF tripled its BTC exposure in the same quarter.
This is the strongest handoff from weak hands to strong hands.
At the same time, on Jan 15, 2026, MSCI votes on excluding companies with more than 50% digital assets from global indexes. Strategy Inc faces a forced sale of $11.6B.
JPMorgan published research flagging this risk. JPM holds $343M of IBIT, up 64% quarter over quarter. JPM is launching products to catch the redirected flows.
Nasdaq raised IBIT options limits 40x to 1,000,000 contracts. That scale can dampen volatility and turn BTC from a speculative toy into a portfolio component.
An asset built to cut out middlemen has been enveloped by them.
Bitcoin was not defeated. It was captured
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Japan, the keystone.
10Y JGB yield spiked to 1.84% - the highest since 2008. More than an 11% jump in one session.
Why it matters:
For three decades Japan was the anchor of cheap money: zero rates, abundant liquidity, yield-curve control. On top of that stood trillion-dollar carry trades – borrow in yen near zero, buy USTs, EU bonds, EM debt, risk.
That model is ending.
BoJ can’t hold the line like before, and JGB yields now compete with foreign assets.
🇯🇵 Japanese institutions hold about $1.1T of U.S. Treasuries. When home yield goes from ~0 to almost 2%, the math flips. Capital that flowed out for decades starts looking back to Japan.
And this hits exactly when:
• The Fed is winding down QT,
• The U.S. must issue record debt to fund a ~$1.8T deficit,
• U.S. interest expense has pushed above $1T per year.
Two of the three biggest marginal buyers of USTs are stepping aside:
• Japan,
• Europe (slowing purchases),
• China isn’t eager either.
When the world’s creditors stop financing debtors at suppressed rates, the post-2008 financial setup has to reprice risk.
This isn’t a Japan story.
This is the end of a 30-year bond bull.
Most just haven’t woken up yet
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Good morning. BTC looks weak. The sub-80k pocket is still on the table.
What happened: this selloff is an institutional game. The pressure is on BTC, while many alts are holding up better.
My view: we’re in the bear-bottom phase, close to capitulation. Base case is a flush into 75–80k, then a news-driven reversal.
I’m calm and staying with my long-term plan

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Emil Panakhov retweetledi

🔥 Alpha Hub 3.0: trader social layer inside Alpha One
First we brought all signals into one place, then we added caller profiles with stats so you could see real performance. Now we are taking the next step: Alpha Hub is turning into a full trader social layer inside the terminal.
What’s new:
• You can now follow any caller and stop missing their signals
• The Subscriptions tab shows a feed only from callers you follow
• The Your subscriptions section shows the full list of callers with quick search by name
• Under every signal you can leave a like or dislike, giving callers clear feedback on their ideas
⚡️ Alpha Hub becomes a place where signals and caller profiles live in one space, and you build your own feed around those whose decisions you trust for your trading.
Open Alpha Hub in Alpha One, follow your favorite callers and try the updated feed in the live market

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💰💰💰 BE READY FOR BIG MONEY PRINTING IN 2026
Markets now price about a 67% chance of a rate cut in December. Crypto loves easy money.
Nothing has really started yet. These are quiet but meaningful trickles before a flood of newly printed dollars into the system.
I think this becomes the final act of the dollar fiat regime, ending with a global crisis in 2027.
After that they will “save” people with digital instruments where control is total: stablecoins, CBDCs, etc. The plumbing for this is being built under the hood by states, banks and corporations.
And the whole blockchain-based stack will be run by whom? Right: AGI. There isn’t much time left to get any real edge and move into the wealthy class
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🚨 BREAKING NEWS
The Federal Reserve quietly loaded $125B into the U.S. banking system in 5 days - the biggest short-term liquidity move since the 2020 COVID crisis.
On Oct 31 alone the Fed injected $29.4B via overnight repo, allowing banks to swap Treasuries for cash to ease funding stress.
Total for the month: about $155B. This is HUGE.
Banks exchanged Treasuries for cash to relieve funding pressure. Bank reserves are at a 4-year low, around $2.8T. That’s a good sign.
Powell talks tough on inflation, but quietly floods the system with cash - call it stealth easing. The man’s a strategist
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Emil Panakhov retweetledi

Monad network is now live in Alpha One
We’ve added support for Monad, a high throughput chain focused on fast and reliable transaction confirmations.
From day one you can use all core terminal tools on Monad:
• Limit, market and stop orders
• Alpha Orders
• Quick Trade
• Alpha Hub with signals
• Alpha Caller Link
• Nitro Mod
⚡️ Our dev team fast tracked the integration so you can start trading on Monad in the familiar Alpha One interface as early as possible.
Open the terminal, switch the network to Monad and put it to work in your strategies
#monad #mon

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Over the last 2 months, BTC has seen the sharpest drop in open interest of this cycle. Leverage got flushed hard - a record number of perp traders wiped out.
For me that signals peak bearish mood: apathy and no risk appetite. The futures washout looks done.
Now the same purge is running on spot. As faith in alts fades, we’ll get deceptive bounces and micro-pumps inside that process.
When the spot purge is over, I expect the next major leg up in 2026. This cycle is moving faster than the previous one, so timelines are compressed. I’m staying patient

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The man who trashed crypto for a decade just blinked: JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has filed to launch a Bitcoin-backed bond. I resurfaced a post from last year where we joked about how absurd this market can be
The Bitcoin Historian@pete_rizzo_
BREAKING: $4 TRILLION JP MORGAN JUST FILED TO LAUNCH A #BITCOIN BACKED BOND JAMIE DIMON BENT THE KNEE 🔥
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