Eric 🤿

I don't post dollar amounts because they don't matter. What matters is return %. Speaking of that... YTD: 3840.39%. I'm probably the only one in the world. Who called out multiple names that 10x'd in a short timeframe. Do you remember these thesis anon? 1. $AXTI 2. $SIVE 3. $AAOI 4. $LITE 5. $IQE 6. $AEHR 7. $CRCL 8. $EWY 9. Unimicron 10. Nitto Boseki 11. $OSS 12. $GDRZF 13. $RPI 14. $SOI 15. $ALRIB 16. $SNDK 17. $SIMO 18. $VPG 19. $TSEM 20. $ARM 21. $MRVL 22. $INTC 23. $LPK 24. $NBIS 25. $MU They're all up 100-1000%+, because... 1. I post a thesis. 2. People can see how the stock performs months later. 3. They turn out right (thesis validation) because they're up hundreds of percent + hold their returns. I really dislike the traditional X influencer who shows large dollar amounts or fancy watches/cars/private jets. Then use that to get more by selling expensive subscriptions rather than through market returns. So trying to set a new trend off pure information discovery/synthesis from free thesis posts and the results that follow in terms of return percentages. TLDR: Market returns in terms of percentages matter the most to validate a thesis. Not the dollar amount made.

I had a meeting with two of my financial advisors on Monday to review my accounts. They were amazed by the success of my self-managed account. They asked me about my strategies, and I mentioned that I follow a guy named “The Professor” on X. I truly appreciate all your assistance. You’re helping so many individuals achieve financial freedom.

$LPTH LT Wave 3 PT = $26 🟢 Base Case Perfect! Consolidating since February, it appears that LightPath Technologies is preparing for its LT Wave 3 higher here as it attempts a Bull Flag breakout off the running flat ABC correction for LT Wave 2. It could not quite come down to my entry target of low $8s, but the upside in store remains desirable, especially if able to confirm the ongoing breakout. The stock is now attempting a Bollinger Band squeeze higher on the Daily chart as it potentiates a Daily 8/21EMA Bullish Crossover. All this while reclaiming the Major Volume POC between $11-$12 today. There is always risk of a double top for these speculative names without aggressive PRs or growth on the horizon. The 1.618 Log Fib ($15s) will offer resistance, but a Weekly close above should confirm the rally higher. A vote of confidence comes from the Weekly Bollinger Bands being extremely tight so the chart points towards it moving with strong momentum if it decides to continue higher.

I still am bearish on $IREN. Algorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. However, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. So $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 ATM into retail investors. It's the equivalent of a startup using AWS and saying they have an Amazon partnership so give them $6B. This wasn't Nvidia directly funding $IREN yet, just a risk free option to. There's a "5 GW deployment" but I'd rather not be the one buying into the dilution to fund it.

Just for the visual learners about CPO: This is what the CPO market growth looks like from GS + $LITE transcript confirmations. There's certain names that are very high-beta correlated to CPO. Maybe... not the best idea to copy firms named after Orange Peels on $AAOI to $SNDK to short names. At the very beginning or middle of supercycles? Especially if you're retail, live in Europe, and only look at last 12 months revenue instead of forward growth.

$RBLX Q1 2026 earnings: Safety Initiatives Trigger Massive Guidance Collapse Roblox's narrative reversed violently in Q1. Just three months after boasting about a 'spectacular' year and guiding to 24% full-year bookings growth, management slashed expectations to a meager 10%. The culprit? A mandatory age-check rollout that restricted on-platform communication and severely choked new user acquisition, compounded by a platform ban in Russia. DAUs fell sequentially by 12 million. While management defends these safety initiatives as establishing a 'Global Standard' to amplify long-term potential, the immediate reality is a nearly $1 billion downward revision to bookings. Aggressive strategic shifts toward older gamers and photorealism are promising, but the short-term growth engine has stalled. Full article with charts - link in bio 🐂 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗢𝗹𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗨𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗦𝘂𝗿𝗴𝗶𝗻𝗴: The O18 cohort in the US grew 40% YoY and monetizes over 50% higher than U18 users. Roblox is actively accelerating this by rolling out massive DevEx rate hikes specifically for developers targeting adults. 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗵 𝗚𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗥𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗰𝘁: Despite top-line headwinds, Q1 Free Cash Flow grew 40% YoY to $596M, proving the underlying unit economics and operating leverage of the platform remain highly profitable. 🐻 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗦𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗚𝗿𝗼𝘄𝘁𝗵 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: The FY26 bookings growth guidance was cut from 22-26% down to 8-12%. The friction from age verification is causing a much deeper shock to user acquisition and engagement than anticipated. 𝗦𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗨𝘀𝗲𝗿 𝗕𝗹𝗲𝗲𝗱: DAUs fell from 144M in Q4 to 132M in Q1. Management explicitly guided for another sequential decline in DAUs in Q2 as algorithmic tests and safety friction persist. ⚖️ 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁 🔴 Bearish. A nearly $1 billion reduction in full-year bookings guidance completely overshadows a decent Q1. The strategic pivot to safety and older users carries immense short-term execution risk. — • — • — 𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗺𝗲𝘀 New: 🔴🔴 𝗦𝗮𝗳𝗲𝘁𝘆 𝗙𝗿𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 & 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗖𝗿𝘂𝘀𝗵 𝗨𝘀𝗲𝗿 𝗚𝗿𝗼𝘄𝘁𝗵 Despite management's claim that setting the 'Global Standard' for safety amplifies long-term potential, the immediate data shows a severe contraction. The mandatory age-check rollout restricted chat and slowed acquisition, while the December 2025 Russia ban compounded the pain. DAUs reversed, falling sequentially from 144M in 25Q4 to 132M in 26Q1, contradicting the narrative of unhindered network effects. 🟢 𝗔𝗴𝗴𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗣𝘂𝘀𝗵 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗢𝟭𝟴 𝗚𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗿𝘀 To offset broader headwinds, Roblox is aggressively targeting the O18 demographic. In the US, O18 DAUs grew 40% YoY and monetize over 50% higher than U18 users. To accelerate this, management is introducing a massive targeted DevEx rate increase—from 26.6% to 37.8%—for creators building novel games that utilize R15 avatars and attract age-checked US adults. New: 🟢 𝗣𝗵𝗼𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗺 𝘃𝗶𝗮 '𝗥𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗼𝘅 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆' Moving beyond blocky aesthetics, the company unveiled 'Roblox Reality.' This hybrid architecture blends the Roblox Game Engine with Video World Models and over 400 AI models. It allows creators to stream photorealistic, hyperscale multiplayer environments to low-end mobile devices, a critical technological leap to attract traditional hardcore gamers. New: 🔴 𝗔𝗹𝗴𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗵𝗺 𝗧𝗲𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝗧𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗤𝟮 𝗘𝗻𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 A new headwind is emerging in Q2: recommendation engine overhauls. Roblox is running large-scale experiments to optimize for 28-day retention rather than immediate engagement. Management explicitly warned these tests will weigh on Q2 engagement and bookings, adding another layer of friction to near-term performance. New: ⚪ 𝗟𝗲𝗴𝗮𝗹 𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝘁𝘀 The push for youth safety carries tangible costs. Roblox accrued $57M in Q1 for settlements with states over youth-related consumer protection. Furthermore, unaccrued elements like public service campaigns and new law enforcement liaisons will create a lingering drag on operating expenses. New: 🟢 𝗥𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗼𝘅 𝗣𝗹𝘂𝘀 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗮𝗺𝗽𝘀 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗠𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗹 Roblox is replacing its allowance-based Premium with 'Roblox Plus' ($4.99/month). It focuses on deep retention perks: item discounts, free private servers, and exclusive trading rights. Roblox funds the discount so creators earn a higher effective share, aligning platform economics with subscriber growth. — • — • — 𝗢𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗞𝗣𝗜𝘀 𝗙𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗵 𝗙𝗹𝗼𝘄 (𝟮𝟲𝗤𝟭): $𝟱𝟵𝟲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 Stable. Up 40% YoY. Operating cash flow remains robust at $629M, indicating that despite the top-line shocks, the company's unit economics and working capital management continue to generate massive liquidity. 𝗗𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗿 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲 𝗙𝗲𝗲𝘀 (𝟮𝟲𝗤𝟭): $𝟰𝟮𝟯 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 Grew 50% YoY, continuing to outpace revenue growth (39%). DevEx consumed 29% of revenue, up from 27% a year ago. This reflects the full impact of the 8.5% platform-wide rate hike implemented in late 2025, continuing to act as a structural drag on margins. — • — • — 𝗚𝘂𝗶𝗱𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗙𝗬𝟮𝟲 𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀: $𝟳.𝟯𝟯 - $𝟳.𝟲𝟬 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 Decelerating. Implies 8-12% YoY growth, a violent slowdown from 2025's ~50% growth rate. This represents a nearly $1 billion cut from the previous FY26 guidance midpoint provided just three months ago. 𝗙𝗬𝟮𝟲 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘂𝗲: $𝟱.𝟴𝟲𝟱 - $𝟲.𝟭𝟯𝟱 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 Decelerating. Implies 20-25% YoY growth, stepped down from the prior guidance of 23-29%. The revenue deceleration is softer than bookings due to the delayed recognition of deferred revenue from prior high-growth quarters. 𝗙𝗬𝟮𝟲 𝗙𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗵 𝗙𝗹𝗼𝘄: $𝟭.𝟬𝟱 - $𝟭.𝟮𝟳𝟱 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 Reversing. Down from ~$1.35B generated in FY25. This is a massive $500M+ cut from the prior $1.6B-$1.8B guidance, reflecting the flow-through impact of the bookings collapse. 𝗤𝟮 𝟮𝟲 𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀: $𝟭.𝟱𝟱 - $𝟭.𝟲𝟭 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 Decelerating. Implies 8-12% YoY growth, down sharply from 43% in Q1. Management explicitly projects a sequential decline in DAUs, citing ongoing age-check headwinds and algorithmic optimization. — • — • — 𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗤𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗗𝗔𝗨 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻 DAUs fell by 12 million sequentially. How much of this specific drop is attributable to the Russia ban versus the friction from the age-check rollout? 𝗗𝗲𝘃𝗘𝘅 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗶𝗻 𝗜𝗺𝗽𝗮𝗰𝘁 The new 37.8% DevEx rate for O18 US users is a massive premium. If this cohort grows as aggressively as targeted, what is the modeled impact on overall gross margins? 𝗥𝗲𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗹𝗴𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗵𝗺 𝗧𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 You noted that Q2 recommendation experiments will weigh on engagement. How long is the optimization period expected to last before these changes yield a positive inflection in 28-day retention?

$ASTI Primary Wave 3 PT = $20 🟢 Base Case Although I anticipate myself being vested in both $TE and $FSLR, I want to chart this name for my followers that are keen on this speculative solar stock. From what I've gathered, the fandom stems from the company offering Space Solar technology and this will be key to space-based data centers years from now. Currently, the stock is experiencing weakness similar to $TE and is in the midst of a Primary Wave 2 ABC correction, where it has recently tagged the .5 Fib as support and is hovering over the 1.414 Log Fib S&R. I anticipate one of the Daily 50MA ($5) or Daily 100MA ($3.50) acting as support alongside the massive Volume Shelf located at $3.70. It may very well find its bottom here at the lower end of the Logarithmic Uptrend Channel; however, a breakdown from it makes sense as RSI Bearish Divergence builds up on the Daily chart. All in all, the range to accumulate is likely $3.50 to $5 before it begins to ascend towards $20 for PW3 (Base Case) ... would require strong PRs and affirmation of the space-based data center theme by the company.