Eric Randolph

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Eric Randolph

Eric Randolph

@EricWRandolph

East Africa Bureau Chief @AFP Previously Iran, Turkey, France, Culture Editor New Substack: 30 Months in Iran

Islamic Republic of Iran Katılım Temmuz 2010
591 Takip Edilen4.1K Takipçiler
Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
Are all of the Islamic Republic's fanatics really fanatics? I always remember my meeting with Omid, veteran of the last “imposed war” in the 1980s, who was outwardly devout and inwardly obsessed with disco. substack.com/home/post/p-19…
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Charlie Robertson
Charlie Robertson@CharlieTTEcon·
I'm less worried about oil going to $100-150/bbl than I am about fuel shortages Countries whose "strategic reserves" barely exist, at 3-4 weeks or less, are low income and vulnerable A big SPR release by OECD countries won't easily resolve this (wrong place/type)
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Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
Even surface mines can be hard to spot... dead sheep thrown away by livestock ships, whose legs stick out of the water when they bloat, could sometimes be mistaken for mines by lookouts. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/ac…
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Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
Some years ago I interviewed Massoumeh Ebtekar, "Screaming Mary", spox for US embassy hostagetakers in 1979. The self-delusion was fascinating. I recount the meeting on my blog and discuss how the poisoning of relations with the US was not inevitable. open.substack.com/pub/ericwrando…
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Tim Spalding 🇺🇦
Tim Spalding 🇺🇦@librarythingtim·
Thought this was a parody, but, no, the US Mint really removed the olive branch—but not the arrows—held by the eagle on the dime. The design goes back to the super-woke days of 1782. Link in next tweet.
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Living in Tehran (LiT)
Living in Tehran (LiT)@LivinginTehran·
🎼 A young man plays guitar and sings as the crowd watches an oil depot in northwest #Tehran burn in flames and smoke from a park afar after it was bombed by the US/Israel. Part of the lyrics: "I wanted my situation to be better than this I knew you deserved better than this I wanted to build a better life To your taste, how much better if it was A solid roof without a crack Two bedrooms, luxurious, warm and a bit cute One bedroom pink, with a red bed A chubby girl instead of a dog! I wanted your world to be colorful! To be relaxed and comfortable without any fuss!" 📷 Mohammad Mohsenifar
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The Spectator Index
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex·
BREAKING: Wall Street Journal reports that Iran is now exporting more oil through the Strait of Hormuz than it did before the war began.
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Chris Murphy 🟧
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT·
I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public. I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are. 1/ Here's what I can share:
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Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
South Sudan's oil revenues have exceeded $25 billion since 2011, yet only one percent of this year's budget was allocated to health and the UN has said that "vast amounts never reach the sector, let alone the population" in a country where 92 percent live beneath the poverty line
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Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
South Sudan's healthcare system has been so crippled by years of corruption that when a state governor experienced high blood pressure recently, he had to fly to Kenya for treatment. @AFP france24.com/en/live-news/2…
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Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
If we are at peace in the short run, that is something. The best we can do is put off disaster, if only in the hope, which is not necessarily a remote one, that something will turn up. While there is peace, there is peace. Keynes 1937 ht @adam_tooze
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Ali Alfoneh علی آلفونه
Updated edition: This is what open sources reveal about Mr. Mojtaba Khamenei. Anyone claiming to know more is likely a charlatan. Beware of overnight Mojtabalogists!
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Eric Randolph
Eric Randolph@EricWRandolph·
The wisest, sanest voice on Iran at all times.
Esfandyar Batmanghelidj@yarbatman

I’ve been thinking a lot about how so many Iranians in the diaspora have not been to Iran for decades, or if they are younger, have never been to Iran at all. We can call them the distant diaspora. Many of the loudest calls for military intervention came from people who had recent experience of repression at the hands of the Islamic Republic. Their calls for war were motivated by the intensity of Iran’s crisis. They felt the potential benefits outweighed the potential harms—something had to change. But I believe that for those who have been distant from Iran, a different dynamic mattered, one that was less about weighing the benefits and harms. For many in the distant diaspora, a lack of familiarity with the place made it inherently easier to call for military intervention—Iran did not feel real and the idea of the country being in a war was necessarily abstract. But I also believe, that at some subconscious level, many of these same people welcomed the war because they knew it would be destructive. It would be easier for them to remain alienated from an Iran that had been destroyed, than to grapple with the fact that they have been unable or unwilling to remain connected to a place of such profound beauty and meaning. For many Iranians, it has been difficult to admit that Iran remained beautiful and joyous despite the repression of the Islamic Republic. They told themselves that the Islamic Republic had destroyed the country, but the resilience and vitality of the true Iran was still clear in the stories told by friends and family or the images that would seep through on social media, piercing through all the dark news. By believing that the Iran they loved ceased existing in 1979, they could mourn its death. This mourning was easier than the daily, needling grief of exile, whether forced (as it often was, at the hands of repressive leaders) or self-imposed. For people struggling with these feelings, the prospect of Iran being destroyed by war and beset by insecurity may represent a kind of release. If Iran is a failed state, many in the diaspora will feel less regret about not being there. It will be easier to let go, or at least not to reach out. In the aftermath of this war, the question of why they do not go to Iran will no longer hang over the distant diaspora in the same way—they always said Iran was a ruined country, and it will finally be so. The war will make it easier to justify their alienation from their homeland and this alone will feel like a kind of freedom. I don’t say this with any judgement—ultimately, I am describing a kind of coping mechanism that allows people to deal with very heavy feelings of alienation and powerlessness. But I do think we need to understand why the diaspora pushed for actions that brought so much destruction to Iran. It was not out of naivety, at least not entirely. Many knew destruction would come and they were seeking its release.

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Simon Kuestenmacher
Simon Kuestenmacher@simongerman600·
With Russian, Ukrainian, and Iranian airspace closed, there's just a tiny needle eye left for international flights from Europe to Asia. Some airlines are profiting from the current situation more than others. Source: zeit.de/wirtschaft/202…
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John Hudson
John Hudson@John_Hudson·
NEW: A classified report by the National Intelligence Council, representing the collective wisdom of America's 18 intelligence agencies, found that even a large-scale assault on Iran would be unlikely to oust its entrenched military and clerical establishment 🧵
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Mohammad Ali Shabani
Mohammad Ali Shabani@mashabani·
Vital point missed in the Iran debate: most Iranians had until June 2025 no real personal motives to feel strongly about Israel. The two countries are far apart and had never gone to war. Neither had Iran and the US. Current war is creating new grievances and constituencies.
Barak Ravid@BarakRavid

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷President Trump tells me: "Unconditional surrender" could be when Iran "can't fight any longer". My story on @axios axios.com/2026/03/06/tru…

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