Joachim Eriksson

🔔@placerase - Gästkrönika: Svagare dollar kan vilseleda investerare Den svaga dollarn lockar Europa med löften om ökad export och billigare varor, men bakom den till synes positiva utvecklingen gömmer sig risker som kan vilseleda investerare. placera.se/kronika/svagar…

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[ $SPY vs $EXSA ] USA has outperformed Europe over the last few weeks, but there is bearish divergence on the weekly comparison. I doubt Europe will hold up if the US markets start to fall hard, but if they manage to stay somewhat resilient, maybe this will be Europe's summer?

[ bitcoin:native - Weekly ] I'm making a bold call that Bitcoin has topped for 2026 and is likely to trend lower throughout the summer and into winter.

[ $S5FI - Daily ] S&P500 stocks above the 50-day average are quickly losing momentum. Market breadth also continues to be very weak. This market would benefit from a healthy correction the next few weeks.

[ $HYG - Daily ] Hot PPI print today. This "recession risk channel" will be one to watch closely over the next few months. It has been in a downtrend since January.

Too early to say it’s a big rotation, but healthcare stocks in particular are looking very good after a few tough months. Showing relative strength today. $LLY $AZN $GILD

[EXV2 (Europe Telecom Sector) – Weekly] Breakout from a 12-week base. Generally a strong sector during tougher markets, this could be a sign of what’s to come. Rotation into safer/defensive assets could happen quickly.

🇺🇸 Both US30Y & US20Y over 5.00% today. Definitely something to keep an eye on.

A trader’s dream office... on the Strait of Hormuz.. Passing ships > candles on the chart

(Bitcoin - Weekly) Small update on Bitcoin. Broke out from a weekly base today. Would not be surprised to see 85000-90000 before June/July. Followed by a very tough end to the year, similar to the broader market. $BTC

Despite all the "good" news, oil is still holding up well. Feels like this is not over yet. Happy to be wrong.

(US Banks – Weekly) Down more than 20% over the past 10 weeks. Rejected at the weekly 50 MA. Next key zone around 4700 looks interesting. RSI is approaching 30, a level where reversals have historically occurred. Elevated credit risks and inflation concerns are not helping.

(Bitcoin - Weekly) I believe we are currently in an A-B-C correction. Very weak A-wave is soon completed, followed by a B-wave that could take us up toward 90,000 by mid to late June, in line with the broader market (war-relief-rally). This will be followed by a decline toward 40,000 by late Nov/Dec, as i expect all indices to weaken toward the end of the year. $BTC

Surprised to see Assa Abloy this weak. It usually holds up better in tougher markets. Very limited exposure to the Middle East, with solid growth and margins still in place. Also getting a boost from a stronger dollar, even if that may not last long. $ASSA

🔔@Marketmate_se - Krönikor: De flesta överskattar tryggheten i sin portfölj Du tror att du har spridit riskerna, men i själva verket äger du sannolikt samma tillgångar som alla andra. marketmate.se/de-flesta-over…

Otroligt bra verktyg för att fånga upp starka sektorer i en svag marknad.