Ernesto

@blizzard219 @CaptainAdvance1 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene ...before without precision is like flipping a coin.

@blizzard219 @CaptainAdvance1 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene Radiative imbalance measurements before 2000 had a very wide resolution range, and cloud evolution was not well modeled, particularly low cloud cover over the oceans. Even today, there is still a lack of precision in radiation measurements; calculating the level of imbalance...

@blizzard219 @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 Il vostro sacerdote Ryan mi ha bloccato. Buona continuazione con i vostri salmi della Chiesa Climatica.

@blizzard219 @CaptainAdvance1 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene Yes, but how much? That's the key.

@Ernestops78 @CaptainAdvance1 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene The trend of global warming would exist even if clouds stayed exactly the same.

@CaptainAdvance1 @blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene The uncertainty of the oceans and cloud cover is not exactly a small uncertainty.

@Ernestops78 @blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene I support continued research to reduce uncertainties, more fully understand mechanisms & so increase support for explanations. Small areas of uncertainty don't invalidate our overall conclusions about trends & caused.

@Cplong10 @morodelsur Eso de que está lleno de moros? De los 50 millones de habitantes son 2 millones o 2'5 millones. El mismo porcentaje que en Italia, el problema grave lo tienen en Francia, Bélgica, Reino Unido...

@morodelsur No, estúpido. A España mandamos las q sobran, el descarte, estas q ves acá a lo sumo van a Ibiza en julio-agosto de vacaciones. Además no se por qué protestan si dentro de poco en España las mujeres van a vestirse con burka, se llenó de moros, nunca las apreciarían como acá.

Las latinoamericanas que queremos que vengan a España son estas y no las que miden 1,40 y tocan la flauta de pan en el metro

@CaptainAdvance1 @blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene Red flag? I don't know if you know that depending on the ENSO phase, it favors a state of IOD and SAM, and coincidentally, the La Niña phase favors negative SAM and IOD, and coincidentally, these phases favor low cloud cover.

@Ernestops78 @blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene Your claims warrant multiple studies to quantify effects & connections. Since they are so interrelated, failure to mention the SAM & IOD a flag. You actually named the AMO as a determinant of other currents + cloud response + overall energy imbalance. Nobel prize or the Goat!

@CaptainAdvance1 @blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene Yes, I take that into account, but variability reduces or increases cloud cover.

@Ernestops78 @blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @ryankatzrosene Low cloud cover is generally decreasing (remember you are pushing ASR up due to less clouds?🤷). Oceans are warming. Bullshitting in this thread is increasing faster than actual climate changes.🤯

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene It's a long story, it would involve touching on many topics that I initially thought you understood, but I see that's not the case (or you're playing dumb).

@Ernestops78 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene Especially at the scale we've seen.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene I think you lack a good understanding of atmospheric physics; you would have understood the AMOC-AMO-ENSO-PDO relationship, the ICTZ dance, the Hadley cell, the trade winds, stability, and changes in cloud cover the first time.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene Ocean oscillations cause changes in ocean surface temperature and atmospheric dynamics. I didn't see the need to explain it; I assumed you knew.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene Yes, but the conversation turned to oceanic oscillations, centuries-old and millennia-old.

@Ernestops78 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene wdym indirect data. Is CERES indirect data? The Tselioudis (2025) study uses actual photographs of the sky.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene But it can be deduced, knowing for certain that the lower surface temperature of the oceans leads to greater low cloud cover, among other causes and consequences that it produces.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene Yes, they exist, but representing global cloud cover with indirect data is frankly impossible.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene in the same way that they increase when the pattern changes.

@Ernestops78 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene Don't the clouds move to another area in these ocillations? Not just disappear entirely. clouds are being pulled back across the entire mid-latitude belt of both the Pacific and the Atlantic simultaneously.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene A negative AMO not only affects the North Atlantic, indirectly it affects ENSO, changing the frequency of El Niño-La Niña events, which in turn affects PDO and all together with cloud cover and albedo, and therefore, the radiative imbalance of the planet.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene The AMOC in decades? The decadal oscillations you're familiar with change depending on the AMOC, which ranges from centuries to millennia. For example, the oscillations during the Little Ice Age are not of the same magnitude as those during the Medieval Warm Period.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene AMOC-AMO-ENSO-PDO for example.

@Ernestops78 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene what

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene oceans

@Ernestops78 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene If it was caused by cosmic rays there also shouldnt be regions different from one another. Is is well known that some regions warm more than others.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene theory, and other regions where it does.

@blizzard219 @marco_borrano @djcoates_ @CaptainAdvance1 @ryankatzrosene Yes, but the discussion isn't about whether cloud cover is decreasing, but rather how much of that reduction is caused by emissions feedback and how much is caused by internal variability. There are regions where cloud cover is increasing that doesn't align with the feedback...