Josh (Creator of Town of Salem)

@Silver__Santa Problem is PMs & miners are going to tank the second war is back on and oil shoots over $100 yet again.

Everyone thinks they won’t let the stock market go down ever again. What if they need to crash the stock market to save the bond market?

@CoinvoTrading So it will be a 1 Quadrillion market cap in 10 years? LOL

🇺🇸 ANTHROPIC IS ABOUT TO IPO AND IT COULD LITERALLY CHANGE YOUR LIFE. In 2004, $GOOGL went public and had you put in $10,000, you would've had $1.83 million now. AI is giving you the same chance this year but with Anthropic. If it follows the same 10-year trend, you will become a millionaire. Do not miss your second chance.

@SpeculatorPL1 Picking a certain date for a big once in a lifetime “happening” is absolutely a black swan

Not a black swan. Revaluing gold to print more money isn’t some wild conspiracy - it’s a tool governments have used before (1934, 1971). When the debt burden becomes unsustainable, history shows they eventually turn to the only asset they can’t print: gold. I’m not saying it happens tomorrow. I’m saying it’s a scenario worth watching closely - especially for silver, which has much tighter physical fundamentals.

This could be one of the most important catalysts for precious metals in years. If the US government really revalues its gold to print more money, it would put enormous pressure on the entire paper system — especially silver. I’m watching this very closely. Game changer or just another rumor?

@SemperVigilant1 Now tell them 20% of tax revenue is going to just the interest on our current debt, that the debt is only increasing every year and that our debt is short term (like a variable rate mortgage) that will need to be refinanced at these higher interest rates. We’re fucked!

2025 Increase in National Debt = ~$2.3 Trillion Tax Paying Citizens in USA in 2025 = ~$150 Million Increased debt per tax payer = ~$15,000 Sandwich at home = $3 Lunch out = $28 Savings = $25 $15,000 / $25 = 612 lunches out stolen from you. More lunches that you could ever dream of in one year. The problem isn't a lack of frugality from private citizens. It is the lack of frugality from government.

@TheApeOfGoldST Gold diggers!

This is tiring to see in the DM’s daily :/

@KingKong9888 If they were smart they would’ve printed money to buy PMs and commodities before it was too late

If the U.S. stock market bubble were to burst, federal revenues would likely collapse. I doubt that any “flight-to-safety liquidity” pouring into U.S. Treasuries this time would come close to offsetting those losses. A stock market crash hits these hard: ⭕️ Capital gains realizations plummet — Investors sell at losses or hold off. Capital gains make up a meaningful chunk of individual income tax revenue (historically ~8-10% of it in strong years). ⭕️ Corporate profits fall — Lower stock valuations, reduced consumer spending, tighter credit → lower earnings → lower corporate taxes. ⭕️ Broader economic slowdown — Rising unemployment, lower wages/bonuses, reduced economic activity → drops in income and payroll taxes.

@Zac_Pundi Things you see at market tops

My Korean friend says the subtle flex in the dating market right now is wearing an SK Hynix jacket to your first date. My Taiwanese friend says he is wearing TSMC shoes to his reunion. Wonder if I can buy both on Taobao and wear them for morning jog at East Coast Park. Semiconductor drip is the new streetwear. No wonder Nike stocks tanking.

@potassium_phd I’ll be buying heavily as well

@EvnFrtherBeyond Thats exactly what I mean. It already spiked to $61 and couldn’t stay down there for even a day, it was so fast it was basically unbuyable. Imo waiting for those prices is a pipe dream, but if it does I’ll be buying as much as I can 🧘🏼‍♂️🥈

Silver 🥈 — $74.54 — sentiment in the trash, tons of comment warriors sidelined and calling for lower. Most excellent 🧘🏼‍♂️🥈

@ThHappyHawaiian Idk if one green day is enough to declare victory yet. I’m nervous still.

So far mirroring March 20th very well, it appears this crash was fake again SILJ vs Gold and Silver:

@GoldnGuitars @Dk56734025Dk Miners follow silver more than gold lately.

@Dk56734025Dk Honestly, even though silver has been outperforming here looking at it it looks topped. The decline was much harsher than in gdx or gold. If I'm right about a wave higher in miners, it's entirely possible that silver puts in a double top.

Gold Miners Cycle Map — Week of May 18 - A count question Typically the first DC out of an ICL is on the shorter side. For the bullish view to be maintained, we don’t want that to be the case. We want to be hitting a DCL here, as the day 30/May 4 lows in $GDX and #Gold have been violated. Losing that low means that we could be looking at daily cycle failure. That said, we need more candles to be sure. If we can see a swing-low emerge, that low can be used as a protective stop for any long position. From a PA perspective, $GDX also continues to hold the October top. #Silver is now on day 14 of DC2 - or is perhaps nearing a late DCL like Gold. It hasn't broken the April 29 low which we can consider a positive divergence for PMs - it has broken the inclining TL. If we see a daily swing-low, that could be the sign that silver is leading here. My overall view remains - as it was back in January - that $NEM and $GDX looked to be missing a 5th wave. But the bear case needs more attention than it did a week ago. Ultimately the previous ICL needs to be respected or the overall decline continues into Q4. Targets unchanged: GDX 135-140. NEM 165. Or higher.

@GoldnGuitars Still thinking gdx and nem are about to run?

#ETH $ETH gave us a weekly swing-high and is now in the declining phase of the intermediate cycle. I clipped the fractal from the 2022 decline and it matches up with this July, which would give a low around weeks 22-25, which is the typical timing band for an ICL. That said, given what are typically longer intermediate cycles, November 2026 remains the preferred timing.

@BroadLuis @WVerily GDX is about to fall through the $85 low and make an attempt at the $79 low in March.

The market is confused. I am not. There is a moment in every commodity cycle when the noise reaches its peak right before the real move begins. That moment is now. Gold is trading above $4,500. The XAU has moved well above its 2020 highs. And yet consensus is still doubting, still asking for confirmation, still waiting for the perfect correction to enter. That correction will not come the way they expect. It never does. What the charts are saying: Gold has spent three years building one of the cleanest bullish channels in its modern history. Every pullback has been absorbed by the Kumo. Every breakout attempt has been contained. The Price Momentum Oscillator remains positive. The structure since 2022 is a textbook impulse, with waves ① and ② already confirmed and price now developing the central extension. Fibonacci targets point to areas that look like science fiction today and could become newspaper headlines twelve months from now. But gold is not the most interesting story. The GOLD/XAU ratio is. The ratio nobody watches, and the one that says everything: For decades, when gold rises faster than its miners, that ratio rises. When miners take leadership, the ratio falls. It is the ultimate thermometer of capital rotation inside the sector. That ratio has just completed a failed Elliott wave 5. It could not break above the wave 3 high from 2008. In technical terms, that is exhaustion of the ratio’s bullish impulse. What comes next is sustained compression, and compression in the ratio means only one thing: Miners are going to outperform the metal. The critical support is 11.20. If it breaks, we enter one of the strongest historical periods of miner outperformance versus gold. This is not an opinion. It is what has happened every time this structure has completed in the past. The XAU has already broken above its 2020 highs. That matters. There is a widespread narrative saying miners have gone nowhere. That is false. The XAU is at 362. Its 2020 highs have been widely exceeded. What happened is that gold exceeded its own highs even more, creating the illusion that miners were left behind. They were not left behind. The metal simply ran faster. And that is about to change. But there is something the index does not tell you: Internal breadth across the sector is still very narrow. In my system, which tracks more than 1,300 mining stocks across 10 asset families, only 1.1% of gold miners are currently in LEADER or STRONG regime. In uranium, 3.9%. In copper, 1.2%. That is not a sign of structural weakness. It is a sign that the rotation is still in its early stages. The indexes are rising because a handful of names with flawless structure are pulling the group higher. The rest of the universe is still building its base. When that breadth expands, and it will expand, the move will stop being selective and become a sector trend. And when that happens, those positioned in the right names will have captured the most asymmetric part of the trade. The thesis in one sentence: Gold has already done its job. Now it is the miners’ turn. The capital that entered the metal as a safe haven will start looking for operating leverage. And that leverage lives in the companies that produce, develop, and explore the gold, silver, copper, and uranium the world needs. Not every name will participate. The market is never that generous. But the names with structure, confirmed regime, and real momentum are going to offer some of the most important returns of this decade over the next twelve to twenty-four months. I already have the map. And I am following it. Trends build wealth. Judgment protects it. #Gold #GoldMiners #MiningStocks #Commodities #MinerAlphaLab

Don’t worry the government says inflation is on track to hit their 2% target.

@Silver__Santa Gdx bottoms in the low 60s in the next 2 months

#MINERS VERY BEARISH Close to a bottom likely.

The DEI is strong

I’m an unc now. Someone else has to create a new genre.

@TheApeOfGoldST Inverse cup and handle breakdown in June to 4k support, but it will temporarily run through the support on a capitulation wick to number 1

#GOLD If #Gold would repeat any of the 3 last downlegs, here is were price would end up. Where do you think #4 will land? Comment below. Whoever gets closest wins one free month of access to my private Discord channel.