xB | Expected Birmingham

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xB | Expected Birmingham

xB | Expected Birmingham

@ExpectedBham

Football data, Blues bias. Player analysis, squad strategy and Championship trends - three times a week on Substack.

Birmingham Katılım Kasım 2025
85 Takip Edilen718 Takipçiler
xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
And Danny Imray - right back, but apparently he has another year on his contract?
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
A few out of contract players that I would be looking at if I was a #Championship club: Bardelli / #10 / Dunkerque Ito / #10 / St Triuden Reinhart / 8 / Reggiana Brierley / 8 / Brentford (loan at Exeter) Mitchell / 6 / Millwall Soumaré / LW or 9 / Le Havre
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
Dragged my girlfriend to the Fenerbache stadium though to cheer myself up. Told her one of the greatest right backs in world football used to play here (Bright). She didn't care.
xB | Expected Birmingham tweet media
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
Holiday ruined. Two days in and I saw that Leonard did his achilles and is out for 6-12 months. Shite news. Hope he's doing alright, esp as he had a decent chance at the World Cup. Sounds a horrible injury. Good article on it here: nytimes.com/athletic/72047…
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Chris
Chris@_chrisquinn·
@ExpectedBham Browne's continued failures from the penalty spot for Ireland mean I cannot forgive him, I'm afraid
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
Off on hol until next week. No Twitter on my phone so if anything big happens, I won't be around (I realise my presence is not important, but thought I should let people know!). Got some articles scheduled for Saturday, Sunday and next Wednesday though - hope you enjoy them.
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
Also, Vicente is a much better finisher than his Alaves data suggested (0.34 xGOT p90). Behind Kone, but ahead of Kjerrumgaard, Conway, Priske and Stanno. Priske is (0.30), equal to Lankshear and ahead of Stanno and Heggebø. Behind Maja and Mubama. Hopefully both kick on.
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
Went down a rabbit hole. xGOT measures the likelihood of an on-target shot resulting in a goal. 🥇Toure - 1.26 🥈Simms - 0.82 🥉Larin - 0.77 31st - Ducksch (#BCFC #1) - 0.39 Kelman - 0.39 Osmajic - 0.38 __ Macaulay Langstaff - 0.27 Stanno - 0.24 Emil Riis Jakobsen - 0.24
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham

Kyogo's xGOT/90 (shot quality metric): 🟢Celtic 22/23 - 0.85 23/24 - 0.69 24/25 - 0.92 🔵#BCFC 25/26 - 0.15 Positions were there. Goals weren't. Bad year, wrong system, or something more permanent? I still think it can work. I'm a sucker for him tho. Thoughts?

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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
@Jaytoday1297 Bit harsh😂! The data shows his finishing has been consistently excellent up until about 18 months ago. That usually doesn't change too much, even in different leagues. It's a strange one.
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Jack
Jack@Jaytoday1297·
@ExpectedBham He has the composure of a toddler, worst finisher I’ve ever seen and I watched Jonathan Leko, his pace and work ethic means he can do it in poor leagues but not the championship or any decent league
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
Kyogo's xGOT/90 (shot quality metric): 🟢Celtic 22/23 - 0.85 23/24 - 0.69 24/25 - 0.92 🔵#BCFC 25/26 - 0.15 Positions were there. Goals weren't. Bad year, wrong system, or something more permanent? I still think it can work. I'm a sucker for him tho. Thoughts?
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xB | Expected Birmingham
xB | Expected Birmingham@ExpectedBham·
@JeanBluesejour Think we'll still persevere with 1 up top & Priske still needs time to adjust. Can't rely too heavily on him. I'd love to see Stanno more on the left though. Personally, I'd be happy with Priske, Stansfield, Kyogo and someone like Sam Surridge, Ballard, Kyle Joseph or Ohashi.
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JeanBluesejour
JeanBluesejour@JeanBluesejour·
@ExpectedBham Streaking past Priske, who's won a header and flicked it onto him. I would love it to work for him. Think we could have Wagner overlapping LWB, Stanno LW drifting inside, Vicente RW, Kyogo and Priske as top 2?
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