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Michael Fiddle
33.6K posts

Michael Fiddle
@FiddlesPicks
My content helps you beat the books in sports betting. NBA/NFL/WNBA sharp bettor and +CLV getter. Contributor @YahooSports & @ActionNetworkHQ
Katılım Mart 2022
18.1K Takip Edilen20K Takipçiler

@R1729amanujan Yes I said i make numbers prior to any adjustment for matchup and have Cavs +3.3 on market, power rating, model.
That would have no value to play at +3.5 with vig.
Factor in a matchup advantage, im playing it.
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@FiddlesPicks I think you said the Pistons line of 3.5 is about right but the Cavs is a play because they match up well. But if they match up well shouldn’t that move your own perception of the line?
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Breaking Down Every Round 2 Game 1 & Series Bets x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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IF ITS REFLECTED IN MARKET, THE TREND IS DEAD
All 3 Game 7s have gone over.
Its crazy to go to the "game 7 under trend"
All Game 7 totals dropped ~10 points from the respective Game 6 lines.
The market clearly adjusted.
wes@paynis_island
@FiddlesPicks That game 7 under narrative! lol you crushed those 2 with the over
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Get ready for a banger.
Also appreciate you for listening and today in YT comments there was sooo many people from different countries present that blows my mind.
Thank you everyone. Humbled by the support.
kafkaWASright@dickie_thon
Bro @FiddlesPicks you just made my long drive tonight bearable seeing the new episode hit Spotify.
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@FiddlesPicks I always thought the books didn’t research or know this stuff. That’s what the trends bettors have told me.
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@CallingOurShot This is hitting criminally negligent levels
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❌ Day 2 🪜
Jarrett Allen is the greatest Center in the NBA. Shoutout Poeltl for sucking, and Mobley for hacking, forcing Allen into playing big minutes.
Tip the cap. Ladder will take a few days off as new series start.
Calling Our Shot@CallingOurShot
Ladder Challenge: Day 2 The Best Play for 2 Game 7s. Tail this slip and climb to $10,000.
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@IronLinebook Hahaha yup and we as bettors need to adjust to the adjustments. It’s ping pong
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@FiddlesPicks Wait, your telling me sports books know how to adjust lines?
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@FiddlesPicks Hear me out!
LAL @ OKC
Okc 1st Q spread at -3.5
Okc 1st q winner
Okc 1H spread at -8.5
Reason: homecourt advantage and hot starts
LAL under 98.5
Reason: The terrible rockets kept the lakers multiple times under 100. OKC defense is much better.
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Link to YouTube stream (please subscribe to the channel!):
youtube.com/watch?v=lk8I_J…

YouTube
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@FiddlesPicks Round 1 game 7’s don’t go under. Round 2 and 3 usually go under just simple math.
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@Emp5452118461 +8.5 is a play for me, didnt play ML its just no a fair comp price the spread value
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Jalen Duren Double Double +135 ✅
Pistons ML Live -315 ✅
I got one more spot in Raptors/Cavaliers... any guesses?


Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks
Game 7 lines feel very sharp today. I have two small bets. I’m always looking to add. What did you play?
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@Steelers200404 slight typo but you, you meant denver team out of sorts
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@UnderdogNBA Dillon Brooks when the lights are off, Lebron when the lights are on
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