Shaun Flamm

@TKL_Adam @KobeissiLetter Fed will always choose hyperinflation over recession

The Fed's worst nightmare is getting worse: As one-year inflation expectations exceed 5% and odds of a rate hike are rising, the US economy just posted its largest monthly job loss since December 2020, losing -133,000 jobs in February. In other words, the "Fed Pivot" is on halt at a time when the labor market needs it most. This is the hallmark of stagflation; inflation and the labor market are moving in opposite directions. This brings us to the next question: which will the Fed choose to save? Inflation or the labor market?

@KobeissiLetter He’d have to goto congress to get this approved and they’re too close to midterms to get anything done. Dems will win the house and looking more and more Iike the senate. Thankfully we’ll be in gridlock soon

BREAKING: President Trump is "strongly considering" withdrawing the US from NATO, per The Telegraph. Details include: 1. Trump called NATO a "paper tiger" and said removing America from the defense treaty is now "beyond reconsideration" 2. The White House no longer regards Europe as a "reliable defense partner" after their rejection to help open the Strait of Hormuz 3. "Iran was a test, and we were there for them, and we would always have been there for them. They weren’t there for us," Trump said 4. Secretary of State Rubio called NATO a “one-way street” Trump says "Putin knows" NATO is a "paper tiger."

@BlattMichael @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Tots bruh

@FlammShaun @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame When did I say I was a socialist? And by what you’re saying it really doesn’t seem like you understand the basics. How are you this confidently wrong?

How did this idiot get rich? I know he ain’t “self made”. He gives the dumbest advice

@BlattMichael @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Kid, come visit me in 10 more years when you grow up a little. Somehow you have a flawed understanding of the world and I’ve given more time than I ever should’ve. Gl with that non capitalistic mindset in this country. Let’s see who does better the next 10 years 😉

@FlammShaun @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Do you at least see the hypocrisy of benefiting from something and the. Siding in blind submission to people that want to take it away from others? I don’t understand this beta male thing where you can’t criticize the system like you owe it something.

@BlattMichael @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame You didn’t earn any thing you were given to the freedoms you get to enjoy. You’re not worried about bombs dropping on you. You’re not worried about clean water or your next meal. You didn’t earn any of that. You absolutely should have to earn that lol. But I’m beta? lol

@BlattMichael @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame I don’t care if you listen to me or not rere… this is the system. Regardless of your thoughts, it’s going to keep rolling. You can either get on board or left behind 🤷. Don’t invest. Give all your money to charity. See where that gets you

@FlammShaun @Steffen711 @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Why should we listen to the son of a welfare queen? God I wish I could go back in time and deny your family benefits so we could pay for 0.015 seconds of a war that benefits shareholders.

@retail_mourinho Uncertainty is what hurts the markets in short terms. US leaving prices out WWIII. Oil can stabilize, even if at elevated levels from Strait’s tolls. This would be better than the uncertainty of where this is all heading. Market is forward looking

The market pump doesn’t make sense to me. Not much has changed, the Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Even worse, Trump doesn’t seem to be trying to reopen it. Right now it looks like the US will just leave Iran as it is. Overall, this feels more bearish than bullish. Did I miss something? I’ve been busy with work today, so please correct me if I’m wrong. -RM

@InvestingAddict Or more than likely just overspend. For most people it’s not a wage problem, they just spend more than what’s in their pocket. Rack up bad debt that eats into their cash flows

The reason you think investing in index funds will take too long or won’t retire you early is because you don’t make enough at your 9-5.

@Gubloinvestor The problem with this is the market is forward looking. When oil goes to pre war levels, rate cuts announced, jobs reversed, and wars over there would’ve already been large rallies. You’ll be buying closer to the top than the bottom in those scenarios. 🤷

So you are planning to buy for long term like 2030. lets take $SOFI as an example in this market. Is $SOFI is buyable at this price for long term? i would say its no brainer at $15 and you will easily see new all time high sometimes next year or maybe in 2028. But why i wont buy even at $15, its because i have seen 2022. when most of the stock market saw insane correction. we just had 2023-2024 and 2025. 3 years of bullrun. Market is in correction mode and when market starting to correct, any bad news is enough to let it go down. You may get $Sofi at $12 so when things are going down, you just wait because even good stocks will be available at lower prices. We cant predict how low it can go. Now some may argue that stocks are already down 50% from its 52 weeks high. You have to keep in the mind that is the economic picture the same as it was when they made to 52 weeks high? i will simply wait into market like this where * Oil price is high * No rate cuts lined up * massive job losses in place * War is in place

@KobeissiLetter Daddy China would throw a bitchfit if they did this. Apple alone is a large part of china’s entire revenue

BREAKING: Iran's IRGC issues a warning that they will target 18 US technology companies if the US continues "targeted assassinations" of Iranian leaders, beginning on April 1st. The companies include Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Tesla, Intel, Oracle, IBM, Meta, Boeing, and others.

@Kross_Roads I like my expectations like I like my oil. Low

The $SPX has never been down so much when earnings estimates are up so much. Interesting graphic from Robinhood's Sherwood Media.

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Social security is incredibly dumb. The idea that the young pay for the old is stupid system. Invest in America is a far better idea and doesn’t cost you 6% of your paycheck

@FlammShaun @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame And, while your comfortable with most of us fighting over the leftover scraps of the Epstein class, I am not. Go defend the billionaires who don't give a flying shit about you. But I can't continue to have a convo with a class traitor.

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Fuck therapist. You need to see a travel agent lol… you seem to think that millions are dying on the street. That people are slaving. No they’re not… we live a very cushy life compared to the rest of the world. Go visit some of them and come back. Tell me how tough you have it

@FlammShaun @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame So damn everyone else if it works in your tiny little bubble? You should see a therapist man. You were just shown the failures of the system, but you dont care cause in your mind it worked for you. You haven't been outside your bubble in a long time. And it shows.

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame That’s not a bubble..: that’s 100s of millions who live very comfortably. 60% of households still have a net worth of 100k. They’re not starving. Hopefully they’re investing and will get to that 500k level. Over half of America benefits from capitalism. That’s how this works

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Everyone else? What on earth are you talking about? The top30% of households have a networth north of 500k. In Japan, that number is 10-15%. China that number is 2%. That’s while their work weeks are 48 hours. Americans is 34. Japan is 31. That’s the system that allows this

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Sorry, I misread your message. I thought you were trying to say they own 95% of americas wealth. I didn’t realize you meant they own more wealth than 95% of the world. No duh? They’re the 1% of the richest country in the world. Why does that matter or would that surprise you?

@FlammShaun @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame oxfam.org/en/press-relea….

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame I do not… I think I’m living proof the system works, just where I’m at. I will retire by the time I’m 50. Compound interest has allowed me this

@FlammShaun @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame You just think one day you'll be in that club. And you won't.

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame This is wrong… 1% owns 22-28% of total adjusted gross income

@FlammShaun @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Of course you can. 1% of the population owns more wealth than 95 of the world. The dudes boots your licking in this post, is worth 450 million. The war in Iran over the first few days alone, could pay for Bernie Sanders free college for all.

@Steffen711 @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame Which I’m ok with. They don’t want to eliminate all. Often, they just want more accountability. People to show they are looking for work or drug testing. They want to cut down on fraud and abuse. Those are fair requests.

@FlammShaun @BlattMichael @NotHimNope @ImToBlame And you could always just eliminate the billionaire portion and just have a system/society that includes more benefits for more people instead of having a dude rock a fuckin Kobe Bryant diamond encased card while you have people living on the street.