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Football Town
@FootballTownOK
In this Town, Football lives - 100% premium football-inspired apparel
Portugal Katılım Kasım 2019
20 Takip Edilen7.5K Takipçiler
@dlacalle_IA Daniel talking about gold sounds the same as bitcoiners talk about bitcoin when there is a correction. The main difference is that people trying to leave the Middle East are realizing how difficult it is to transport or even sell their gold. Bitcoin is truly superior
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Gold. Volatility creates opportunity.
The monetary excess and insane fiscal policy of developed economies have not changed. Demand from central banks remains. Supply and demand fundamentals are as robust as ever.
via Bloomberg
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The Tartan Army 🏴
#Scotland
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"But you can never be sure it's the top when you sell"
That's correct.
But you can deal in probabilities and act accordingly.
If you think there's a significant chance of downward price action, then you have to ask yourself what amount you'd like to have in BTC vs. out of BTC
On September 23rd @ $113K BTC I wrote to my StackWisely members:
I've not been bullish on BTC since we had the bearish crossover on the weekly MACD at the end of August.
If you look at the attached picture, you'll understand why.
Every bearish crossover on the weekly that happened after a new all time high has resulted in a significant period of bearish price action.
Furthermore, if we look at the Stack Wisely cycle index, you'll see that this latest top pump to $124K set a lower high.
All of this indicates that our current bull run has lost steam.
It needs a big catalyst to inject some life into it, or it needs to fall to prices that entice investors to start stacking hard.
I don't want this to be true, but it's what the charts are telling me. So I act accordingly.
My own personal strategy is not to be 100% in Bitcoin right now, waiting for a final top to sell everything.
I don't see that as a wise path because there's no guarantee that we will get another impulse higher. And even if we do get one, how much higher than $124K will it be? Perhaps not high enough to justify holding 100% and risking a bigger fall from here.
So my strategy has been to secure enough of a "win" from this bull run and now I'm letting the rest of my BTC ride for the next 5 years no matter what happens.
We are up ~600% from the 2022 bottom. It's normal that many market participants are harvesting these gains at this point of the cycle.
^So I wasn't certain that we'd crash, but I saw enough reasons to take some chips off the table and prepare for a bear market.
Just sharing this in case it's helpful to see how my mental models evolved from the 2021 bull market to the 2025 bear market
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This will be very unpopular.
But at least 3 of you will get value from this, so f*ck it:
Many Bitcoiners would benefit from swapping a single belief:
Replace "selling Bitcoin is a moral failure"
with
"My family's financial security and quality of life is my investing priority"
If you're experiencing anxiety, malaise, or heart palpitations because BTC dipped into the low $70K level...
It's because you hold a core belief that lead you to be in that position.
Take full responsibility.
Because that's the only way to improve.
A lot of Bitcoiners saw posts from people that were getting cautious on BTC in August / September / October
Momentum was clearly stalling despite the best news imaginable...
But their belief system made them ignore the warning signs.
"Everyone's bearish"
"They're just dumb bears"
"they don't understand Bitcoin"
"so and so says we're going higher"
But if their core belief was "my job is to protect my family's capital" they would have been far more likely to consider the possibility that Bitcoin would drop down to $72K
And they may have sold enough where they would actually be pleased to see $72K
The guy whose belief system told him to sell between $98K and $114K isn't having heart palpitations right now - he's licking his chops at the idea of scooping up cheap Bitcoin.
Or maybe he took profits on BTC in August and allocated to gold at $3,000 / oz
Now he's up 66% in five months instead of being down 40% over the same period.
All because his belief system guided him to the best opportunity for his family.
When BTC crashed in 2022 it hit me way harder than it should have.
I had millions in BTC and my belief was as strong as any bull.
But my priorities were aligned more with BTC than my family, and my expectations were misaligned with reality.
So I suffered.
My biggest realization from that period was that I was putting way too much attention, focus, and personal identity into something I had zero control over.
For some people, riding through a 70% drawdown is a point of pride.
A badge of honor.
"I don't have weak sissy hands like you"
Great. I'm happy for you.
I've been there and done that too.
But personally I'm no longer interested in playing that game.
Do I wish that the world would move to a Bitcoin standard because it's a fairer system that can't be as easily manipulated?
Yes.
But my first priority is to be the best father, provider, and protector I can be.
Bitcoin isn't my God, it's merely a tool to help my family.
And like all tools, there's a time and a place for it.
You don't have to be all-in on Bitcoin.
There are other real, non-shitcoin opportunities out there.
There are legitimate equities that have absolutely smoked BTC over 5+ years.
$CCJ (uranium miner) and $POWL (electrical infrastructure) and $WPM (precious metals streamer) have all outperformed BTC over the last 5 years with very simple, easy to understand theses.
Even physical gold has outperformed, with way less volatility.
"but you're cherry picking timeframes!!"
Not really. $CCJ and $POWL have outperformed BTC since 2018 (!)
Not saying you need to become a stock picker,
But if your goal is to multiply your capital there are opportunities out there for those who look
You identified Bitcoin.
You can identify other opportunities too.
If you allow yourself.
And if you want a more passive approach, then some diversification (gold, cash, AI/energy/commodity related equities) may or may not help you outperform BTC...
But it could help you become a healthier, happier version of yourself during Bitcoin bear markets.
Bitcoin is finite.
But your time is deflationary.
You don't have enough time to be living like a shell of yourself because of something that's entirely out of your control.
Brad Mills 🔑⚡️@bradmillscan
Have you noticed a major shift in your mood and behavior since the Bitcoin price crashed a few days ago? Over the last 2 years I’ve gone on a journey to build a citadel mind and body to be able to handle the 10X problems that will come with a Bitcoin 10X. Even after all the work I’ve done in myself, I’ve gone into fight/flight/freeze. I got into an argument with my wife which I normally would have navigated with my new relationship tools. Here’s what I noticed, maybe you felt similar… Body Signs: -Chest tightness -Elevated respiratory rate (WHOOP) -Traps/chest guarding -Extremely tight shoulders -Sighing & deep uncomfortable breaths Freeze: -Low motivation -“Stuck” feeling -Narrowed perspective (focusing on gaps rather than gains) Flight: -Doomscrolling Epstein posts -Avoiding conversations -Wanting distraction, junk food, vegging out Fight: -Irritability -Overreacting to wife & daughter -Agitation I started to think “is this Depression?” … but when I described everything to ChatGPT, it started making sense. I realized that this is not depression or a mindset failure, it’s a nervous system response to the threat of a Bitcoin price crash. If you’ve been “all in” on Bitcoin for a long time, you physiologically associate Bitcoin with safety, sovereignty, future security, identity, purpose, competence, etc. The longer you’re in Bitcoin and hold through long deep drawdowns, you develop psychological anchor to price. Price goes up = safety Price goes down = threat financial trauma is real. When bitcoin is at the top of your identity stack and your financial life is tied to it over years (15 years for me) price drops like this will activate your sympathetic nervous system. All of these physiological responses are a conditioning response. GPT calls it “acute nervous-system dysregulation” triggered by a know cue. In the last couple of years I’ve identified activities that help me regulate these feels and reduce price induced back pain: -Exercise (gym/lifting) -Massage -Disconnection from news/macro/politics -No social media debating -No scrolling social media/twitter -Fill my mind with positive inputs & healthy mindset routines When the price crashed I re-exposed myself. I went on Twitter and started scrolling (Epstein files made it worse) & listening to Twitter spaces. My system said “oh we’re back here…” My old pathways relit…the old responses came back. The difference now is I caught myself early. I used AI to help me figure out what is going on with me and I didn’t spiral for days or weeks. Now that I know what’s happening, the work is to decouple identity/safety from price. My body is doing exactly what it learned to do under prolonged financial intensity of previous cycles. If you’re feeling this way too, I hope this helped! ChatGPT suggests somatic therapy, EMDR or brainspotting. “Even when the number drops, I am still safe.” I apologized my my wife, took responsibility for my over-reaction and we both went to the gym and have changed our day around. My mindset coach @danmartell says “you can start a diet half way through a bag of chips.” He also says don’t let a bad morning turn into a bad day. Your mind understands Bitcoin volatility, your body does not. My next step is to break to reflex of price drop > body panic to remove the flooding component. Do this work and you won’t need to “sell to the sleeping point.” My goal is to HODL through hellfire and stay at my baseline & still be able to show up and stay consistent.
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Is bitcoin in a bull market?
This is my best explanation 👇🏼
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«Rise up, my dream is to fly over the Rainbow» 🌈
Yves Larock
Coming soon to Town
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@HHorsley Hinter how does this impact the price of Bitcoin, at all?
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Watch this. This is the CEO of Bank of New York Mellon —
- the oldest bank in America
- the largest custody bank in the world ($53T)
- one of the most widely used service providers in tradfi
Hard to imagine a simpler, clearer indication: crypto is going mainstream.
It’s underway now.
Buckle up —
Securitize@Securitize
"Tokenization is a megatrend." - Robin Vince, @bnyglobal CEO
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Possibly the greatest music video of all time.
Tony Adams loving life 😂
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