Granny

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Granny

Granny

@FtiksB

The harder something is to predict, the easier it is to make money on it @Polymarket

Katılım Aralık 2022
58 Takip Edilen399 Takipçiler
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
@Polymarket is already shitting out more real fucking truth to the planet than all your precious national media combined. And this isn’t some hipster opinion — it’s cold hard cash talking.While your beloved CNN, BBC, and all those other propaganda clowns are jerking off to the next hysterical hype — 'the world ends in two weeks', 'Trump/Harris/whoever is winning by 99 fucking points', 'the regime falls tomorrow at 3 PM sharp' — they’re just pumping a giant steaming information bubble full of bullshit. Clickbait, fake outrage, ideological cumshots, paid narratives. All for ratings, not for a single drop of truth.And Polymarket? People aren’t just yapping their mouths off there — they’re putting their own goddamn money where their stupid beliefs are. Every single cent is a vote on actual probability. No room for wishful thinking, no safe space for delusion: if you overestimated — you bleed money. If you underestimated — someone else takes your wallet. The result? Real fucking probabilities, not the wet dream of some tie-wearing 'expert' who hasn’t been right since 2016.2024–2025 examples are already legendary: Polymarket saw Trump as the favorite when every poll was screaming '50/50' or 'Harris is ahead, you bigot'. It spotted geopolitical shifts while CNN was still jerking off to 'everything is stable, comrades'. Accuracy a month out — 91%. Four hours out — 95%+. That’s not magic, that’s skin in the motherfucking game.National media? They sell drama and fear porn. Polymarket sells truth in numbers. While you morons are doomscrolling sensationalist garbage headlines, smart people already know the real odds — and they’re printing money off your stupidity. So next time some talking head says 'experts agree' — just open Polymarket, you lazy fucks. There are no experts there. There’s just money. And unlike journalists, money lies a hell of a lot less.Easy 'no' to media hype bullshit = easy fucking money on real probabilities. Wake the fuck up.
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
My take as phd economist the market prices ceasefire by dec 31 at 78 cents but i see only about 55 percent chance max. Too much historical baggage and trumps post epstein nixon style paranoia showing. This is overpriced yes big time value on the no side.
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
Folks building on my last thread about those fed rate cuts where i called the bluff on too many easings now lets talk this iran ceasefire market. Trumps latest moves in iran are straight chaos. What the heck is the strategy here really.
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
The crowd is sleeping on this one folks. Oil shock and policy chaos mean higher chance of real pain ahead. Its a value play buying yes shares right now. How long till everyone catches on?
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
Folks listen up. Building on my earlier thread where I called that inflation spike right the stagflation risk is skyrocketing bigly. Oil prices over 100 dollars thanks to the Iran mess plus those tariffs piling on. What a total disaster!
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
So obvious value play screaming at us. Yes on 0 (0 bps) cuts trading around 25-26¢? Thats a steal if im right you turn 26¢ into a buck beautiful 3x plus profit. Dont sleep on this folks the Fed isnt your mommy.
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
Folks another day another Fed mess. Building on my last thread where i said the March no-change was a lock and it printed 100% easy money. Now look at this garbage: How Many Fed Rate Cuts in 2026? Market thinks maybe one measly 25bps like theyre scared of their own shadow. Pathetic!
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
I figure real prob of oil pushing 110+ by summer closer to 55-60% not the timid 20-30% some bins show. Prolonged conflict means persistent premium folks. Value hunters should eye those higher strikes before the sheep wake up.
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Granny
Granny@FtiksB·
Folks everybody thought this Middle East mess would be over in weeks like some quick beautiful victory. Wrong! Its dragging on like a bad deal that nobody wants to close. Oil prices sitting around 99-100 bucks WTI and Polymarket crowd is pricing in some real pain ahead. Building on my earlier calls this prolonged slugfest changes everything.
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