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355 posts
Today's been technical perfect & now we have volatility to work with. Today's target slate given at 8am was 7160, 7166, 7180. We hit 7180 exact, and went "elevator down" in #ES_F.
7105 must reclaim now to see 7122, 7129, 7135+. 7085 below (watch traps), then 7072, 7058
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Action is as precise as it gets today in #ES_F. 7129 Failed Breakdown got us long last evening. Today's targets given 8am were 7160, 7166, 7180 final. We hit 7180 exact, topped out. Vol finally. 7129 must reclaim to see 7135, 7147+. 7111, 7085 are next supports down now
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@AdamMancini4 During this runner's time last week
"Trading in the Zone" was a good read.
Thank you for the recommendation @AdamMancini4
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Closing update #ES_F: All the action went to the morning traders. 7147-53 was resistance/final target today and we've been stuck here all afternoon. 7160, 7166, 7178 next if we breakout. Newsletter out soon talking next entries
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Absolutely no volatility in #ES_F - just hold runners. 7120 to 7147-53 remains a tight consolidation now. Total chop in this range. 7085 was support posted Friday, and it held to the tick at 6pm last eve. Today's targets were 7137, then 7147-53.
7160, 7166, 7178 when ready
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
No volatility at all now for #ES_F as we rest & rebuild structure after Friday's rally. 7085 was support as posted, held to the tick. Targets today were 7137, 7147-53 (both hit) 7120 (watch traps) to 7147-53=total chop now. Just hold runner. 7160, 7166, 7178 are bonus targets.
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@AdamMancini4 Agree, as you always say, Gap down, same setup, wait for acceptance.
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@GS13x13 Appreciate it and thanks for the subscribe! Been a massively lucrative few weeks
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We are now hitting the bonus slate of targets in #ES_F. At 8am today, I posted the 6809 reclaim long trigger. Core targets were 6822 (hit), 6832 (hit), 6848 (hit). Bonus slate were 6872 (hit), then 6886 (almost).
Easy day - just let runner pay now. 6892, 6903 next bonus set
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Our #ES_F long keeps paying. Two triggers were given. Trigger 1: Posted at 6:01PM last eve, the 6793 Reclaim. For those who missed it, Trigger 2: Posted at 8am, 6809 reclaim. Targets given were 6822 (hit), 6832 (hit), 6848 (hit). Ride runner. Bonus slate was 6872 (almost), 6886
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@AdamMancini4 Resistance level at 6864 might give us a dip, no prediction though, but that level was good in the past.
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Volatility remains very low in #ES_F as we digest Tuesday's 250+ point long, but we are getting trades. *Lock in gains lvl to lvl aggressively*. 6809 reclaim was long trigger given at 8am. We triggered
Targets were 6819 1st (hit), 6830 2nd (not yet). Bonus slate 6846, 6854, 6872
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
No volatility now as #ES_F is in day 2 of digesting Tuesday's 250 point 6593 Failed Breakdown long. Be very careful trading 0 vol - traps and fakeouts are extreme. No change: 6793/88 to 6830=pure chop. 6809 reclaims see 6819, 6830+. 6788 fails, sell 6781 (watch traps), 6766-70
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0 volatility now in #ES_F and market waiting on a catalyst. Just hold runner, do nothing. 6592 reclaim was long trigger given 6:15PM last evening. Targets given were 6604, 6616, 6624 (all hit).
Today's set was 6638 (hit), 6646 (hit), 6670 (not yet). 6624=support (watch traps)
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Little to do now but let runner work in #ES_F as I said at 8am - there's no volatility. 6592 reclaim was long trigger given 6:15PM last evening. Targets given were 6604, 6616, 6624 (all hit). Today's targets were 6638 (hit), 6646 (hit), then 6670. Just 6670 left. 6624=support
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@AdamMancini4 "If ES can flush 6615 down to 6613 and recover 6615," is it worth paying attention?
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Last night, we got the standard Sunday long trigger in #ES_F, given live 6:15PM and in Friday's newsletter. Gap down, into Failed Breakdown. I posted 6592 recovery sees 6604, 6616, 6624. All hit
Plan today: Just ride runner. 6624, 6604=supports. 6638, 6646, 6670 bonus. Sell<6592
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Its the typical Sunday gap down in #ES_F and everyone knows the drill. 6592 remains key support which was gapped below at the open. Bulls need to backtest it now and recover to see 6604, 6616, 6624+ If the dip continues, 6553, then 6525-30 are next supports down from here
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@saltyairlife @AdamMancini4 Oh yeah if there is a gap
ATR jumps like NY live sessions
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@AdamMancini4 @GS13x13 Sunday worth trading with volume gone?
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Big Picture View #ES_F: Since February's highs, ES has been locked in a clear downtrend channel/flag with 6624 resistance. This week, we hit resistance
Plan Next Week: As long as 6592 holds, breakout attempt likely. Targets 6677, 6716, 6820. 6592 fails, retrace to 6553, 6499 1st
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@AdamMancini4 Let’s see what we get on sunday night.
If it’s gap down we already know the drill
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@GS13x13 Technicals on their own are very bullish (most so in months to the point I'm even considering rare swings once we trigger) - headlines do need to cooperate though
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@AdamMancini4 @AdamMancini 3 months following your NLs transformed my trading after 2 years stuck. Your entries are precise, your system works. Today's 100-point runner says it all. Thank you for sharing your methodology. As you say, "My work for the day is done."
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Work done today in #ES_F and its been an incredible run. Long was given live at 8am: The 6525 reclaim. We triggered around the open. Targets given were 6544 (hit), 6562 (hit), 6592 (hit), 6624 (hit).
Now, just hold a lotto runner for 6647, 6677 bonus. 6592=support, 6562 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
This market is handing out 100 point Failed Breakdowns like nothing in #ES_F & enormous payout here. 6525 reclaim long was given live here 8am + newsletter. Targets given were 6544 (hit), 6562 (hit), 6592 (hit), 6624 (hit) Work is done, ride runner. 6647, 6654, 6677 bonus slate
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@AdamMancini4 @OnTheHooch that's true, 6432 seems like a good level now, I t was support in the morning 5:45 to 6:45
now acting as a resistance.
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After running 100+ points from last evenings 6367 long, #ES_F finally getting the actionable dip of the day. I posted at 8am that 6425, 6412 had to hold on retracements today. We held ~6412 and this is a huge shelf from July/Aug 2025
6425 recoveries see 6437, 6454+. 6385 below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Strong start in #ES_F. Newsletter readers got 6367 reclaim long, but I posted live 6pm 6385 reclaim. We based below, then recovered. Targets I gave were 6412 (hit), 6420 (hit), 6454 (hit), 6492 Plan today: 6425, 6412 must hold on retraces. 6460 reclaims see 6476, 6492, 6520
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We've got some volatility in #ES_F and levels respecting well. Trade #1 was the 6842 recovery given at 9:18AM. Targets were 6855 (hit), 6863-66 (hit), 6876 (hit). Down went.
6813 was bottom support and we hit 6814 and popped. 6842 must reclaim to rally again now same upsides
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We remain in chop but at least have some mild vol now in #ES_F. 6842 reclaim was long trigger given 1hr ago. Targets were 6855 (hit), 6863-66 (hit). I warned to take profits there. We hit it, and dipped. Bulls must recover 6842 to do it again. 6829, 6822, 6813 next below
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@AdamMancini4 Hi
@AdamMancini4
Would you take FBD of 6814 @7:15 to 7:30 or FBD of 6774
@1
:15 am --IF Price breaks any of those? In yesterday's NL, why didn't you consider FBD of 6784
@12
:30 pm low? just trying to learn which Lows to consider and which to ignore.
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Quick start for #ES_F. I posted at 750am that the reclaim of 6822 starts us higher with 6832 1st target (hit), 6838 2nd (hit), 6848-52 (hit) stuck here for the last hour. 6866, 6876, 6884, 6904 are next up.
6843, 6822 now supports. Same levels otherwise from morning tweet
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Everyday has seen a Failed Breakdown in #ES_F. Yesterday's trigger given 9:22AM was 6742 Failed Breakdown. Targets were 6832, 6843, 6852. We hit 6852 overnight Plan today: 6822, 6813 (watch traps)=supports. 6822 recoveries see 6832, 6838, 6848-52. 6813 fails sell 6795, 6782
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@AdamMancini4 Hi @AdamMancini4
Would you take FBD of 6814 @7:15 to 7:30
or FBD of 6774 @1:15 am --IF Price breaks any of those?
In yesterday's NL, why didn't you consider FBD of 6784 @12:30 pm low? just trying to learn which Lows to consider and which to ignore.
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Note: This is now incredibly choppy, poor quality action. If trading it (unless we get a clean, fast elevator down sell) be sure to keep things small and take profits level to level. Do not look for home runs ever
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Everyday has seen a Failed Breakdown in #ES_F. Yesterday's trigger given 9:22AM was 6742 Failed Breakdown. Targets were 6832, 6843, 6852. We hit 6852 overnight
Plan today: 6822, 6813 (watch traps)=supports. 6822 recoveries see 6832, 6838, 6848-52. 6813 fails sell 6795, 6782
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We are now +100 points in #ES_F. The long setup was the 6742 reclaim given earlier. We got it. Targets were 6808 main (hit), then 6832 (hit). Bonus were 6843 (hit), then 6852, 6873, then 6899 next. Just hold runner now Lots of action to go absolutely nowhere from last few days
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@br0k3st0ck3r @AdamMancini4 even in that there might be some condition right ?
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@GS13x13 @AdamMancini4 Can only tell from screen time and back testing
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On Friday Failed Breakdown of Thursday #ES_F low got us long with 6925 target. Been a ceiling. Last eve, we got a tiny retrace. Per newsletter, 6870 traps were long trigger. Back up we went
Plan today: 6888, 6870 (watch traps)=support. 94 reclaim to see 6898, 6907+. Sell<6870
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
All targets today hit but lvls still respecting in #ES_F. The 6847.75 yesterday low Failed Breakdown got us long given 8:50AM.Targets were 6884 main (hit), 6898, 6913, 6925 bonus (high of day). 6954 is next I posted 1hr ago 6876 support, held, back up. Hold runner. 6876=support
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@AdamMancini4 @AdamMancini4
Is there any way to find out those fake outs by looking for candle patterns, RSI, ATR or any other trick from experience?
will appreciate if you can explain here or in NL...
thanks
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@AdamMancini4 Hi @AdamMancini4
Question regarding the FBD, is there any technique or price action you use to determine that now bears are weak besides the acceptance? because sometime price shows clear non-acceptance, and after +5 points + 5 minutes price will again continue the down trend.
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@AdamMancini4 @AdamMancini4, how about FBD of 7008, that was almost 20 points. FBD at 6:35 am
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After +120 points from yesterday's 6899/6935 Failed Breakdown's which got to 7022 bonus target, little to do in #ES_F but hold runner & wait for next bear trap. Low volatility now. 7022-7006=a flag
No change. 7006 (watch traps), 6990=supports. Sell 6978 below 6990. Same upsides
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Runners paid overnight in #ES_F. 6899/6935 Failed Breakdowns were long triggers given in advance. Targets were 7002 (hit), 7014, 7022 bonus. 7022 is overnight high Plan today: Ride runner until next bear trap. 7006 (watch traps), 6990=supports. 7027, 7036-40, 7052 next. Dip<6990
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