Gaurav Harshad Pandya

दोस्त हालात बदलने वाले रखो, हालात के साथ बदलने वाले नहीं...

Any Government who are serious about Indian Economy, does talk to FIIs rampant selling of 11.5 lakh crores which is 125B USD. I am sure sooner or later current Govt too talk to FIIs & address their issues on taxes. Underlying reason for their exit is simple – their returns in dollar terms are 4-6% only, they don’t stay here, they will continue to sell. If Govt thinks – ‘how long FIIs will sell (they come & go, we don’t care them), we have SIP flow to support’. FIIs still hold 15-16% in Indian market, they don’t mind selling another 50-100 Billion USD if their returns in dollar terms are 4%. This selling have impact on: >Structural Market Crashes – 2008 kind of situation >The currency & inflation spiral – This weakens the rupee >Valuation “De-Rating” – Govt should act before our market become China & Brazil (PE Compression) >This impacts stocks (underlying organization) in – Fund raising, Acquisitions, Talent Retain & Borrowings >Negative Wealth Effect – Stock Market rises, we feel wealthier, buy cars, travel, invest & spend more The Indian retail investor has acted as an unofficial Sovereign Wealth Fund, keeping the economy resilient. However, this resilience isn't permanent. If the government dont get the LTCG out(0) & reduce STT, the incentive to invest vanishes. If the "SIP Cult" loses faith because of poor returns and high taxes, the market could return to the volatile, "boom-and-bust" cycles of the early 2000s or 2008.

Dear @nsitharaman @PMOIndia Many Finance Ministers in the past actively encouraged foreign investors to bring capital into India — be it Pranab Mukherjee, P. Chidambaram, or Arun Jaitley. They understood that India, as a capital-scarce country, needs patient foreign capital to fund its growth story. 👉There is no harm in listening to investor concerns. I remember when STT was first introduced, the Finance Ministry engaged extensively with market participants and made multiple efforts to understand their feedback. 👉Today we again face a situation where global capital is becoming hesitant. At a time when India needs investment across sectors — even areas like gas exploration where resources remain under-utilized due to lack of capital — attracting long-term foreign investment is critical. I respectfully urge the government to reconsider the current approach and take a fresh, balanced look at the entire issue.l🙏🙏

Honourable @PMOIndia and @FinMinIndia We are losing Foreign Capital of almost $1 Bn a day. Since July 2024, post hike in capital gain tax and STT, we have lost $100 Bn and our markets have become globally unattractive .we need patient risk capital to fund our growth story. It’s undoing the good work done through various reforms. A responsive govt like yours has always taken feedback on taxation - GST, Income tax and given relief. I urge you to reconsider.

Equitas small finance bank Deserves a closer look Looks like gearing up for something big #EquitasSFB #EquitasSmallFinanceBank #BankingStocks #StockMarketIndia #BreakoutWatch #MidcapStocks #InvestingIndia

Even if Nifty goes down from here to test a very important support zone of 21500-22000 (200 Wema + 4th June Election day's low) Then also, its quite certain that some stocks have already made a bottom yesterday and wont retest their lows

You have read endless analysis on oil, watched hours of videos, and heard innumerable conspiracy theories. Some facts: - Oil has risen sharply, but this still does not look like a classic old-style oil shock. Brent was about $71 per barrel on February 27, rose to about $94 by March 9, and March saw a record monthly jump of roughly 64% in Reuters-LSEG data. Serious, yes. But unlike past oil shocks, this crisis began with the world coming in well supplied, not with a structurally starved oil market. After more than 35 days of conflict Brent Crude is yet to surpass $120. This is lower than Oil prices spike of almost all previous crises. - This is best understood as a disruption shock layered on top of a market that was already in surplus. The immediate damage has come through shipping routes, insurance costs, transit bottlenecks, and forced export cuts, especially around Hormuz. That is very different from saying the world suddenly has no oil. - Global oil demand was already slowing before this crisis. The IEA says oil demand growth was just 0.8% in 2024. Advanced economies saw demand fall by 0.1%. China slowed to 0.8%. India was the standout, with demand growth of 3.4%. In other words, outside a few pockets, this was not a roaring demand backdrop to begin with. - The world economy is also less oil-hungry than in past crises. The biggest oil-consuming segment, road transport, is no longer giving the oil market the same structural demand impulse as before. The IEA expects gasoline demand, driven mainly by passenger cars, to peak and stabilise at around 27 million barrels per day, and sees total global oil demand plateauing near 105.5 million barrels per day by the end of the decade. - Markets do not wait for clarity. They move on the first credible hint that the worst may not happen. We already saw that in this crisis. From $160 intraday peak of March 23, Dubai Benchmark Murban Crude Oil has fallen to $106 as of now. Once the market gets even a whiff of de-escalation, it can move on very quickly. We will only know in hindsight. - COVID was the same lesson in a different form. Markets bottomed far ahead of comfort, confidence, and consensus. The S&P 500 bottomed on March 23, 2020, and reclaimed its pre-COVID high by August 18, 2020. That happened well before the economy felt normal and well before most people fully accepted how much policy action had blunted the economic damage from shutdowns. Markets discount the change in reality before they discount the headlines. This is a serious oil supply chain disruption, but not yet the kind of structurally tight, demand-fed oil shock that keeps markets frozen for long. And when de-escalation becomes even faintly visible, markets are likely to move on before the news flow does. It can morph into a bigger and sticky crisis. That signal could well be Brent rising past $120. This signal could be more credible than any other news flow. For now, it remains elusive, absent.

The Wrong Lessons of This Cycle That Investors Should 'Un-learn' 1. Stocks can't fall because there's so much money on the sidelines – SIP flows, FIIs, financial literacy, etc. 2. We'll hit $ XX trillion GDP, so buy stocks. 3. No need for debt, gold, or FDs – equities are the only game in town. 4. New-age themes and tech will change the world. Can't miss investing in them. 5. If the US Dollar Index falls, EMs will rise. 6. We don't need large caps – only SMIDs deliver alpha. 7. I can do it on my own. And the most blatantly wrong one: 8. Valuations don't matter.

MF returns in a 2 year period when markets have been flat...

आप सभी को महावीर जयंती की हार्दिक शुभकामनाएं। #MahavirJayanti #HappyMahavirJayanti

USD 13 Billion of FPI Outflows from India in March 2026, ₹ 122000 Crores Let that sink it Last full year was an outflow of ₹160000 Crores In fact outflows just in March in rupees are more than the outflows in any full year except 2025. Congratulations @FinMinIndia @nsitharamanoffc

Not a single minister or TV panel expert of ruling party is talking about rupee fall.. still they believe FII FLOW is not important??

@AdityaRajKaul “Aap ko kya laga, israeli hume nahi batayenge..” Ajay Sanyal knew how to get his boy out of danger ..that scene shows he was always 2 steps ahead of Pakistan n their supreme cowards.. 👏

What’s your favourite scene/dialogue from #Dhurandhar2‌TheRevenge?

While the recent fall in the Rupee can be attributed to the Spike in Crude Oil prices As a currency the INR has been underperforming for a long time mainly due to Anti Foreign Investor policies of the @FinMinIndia The Finance Ministry is the worst cog in the wheel of the @narendramodi government.

जय श्री राम 🙏🏻 #HappyRamNavami #RamNavami #JaiShriRam

Foreign investors exit crisis in India is bigger than LPG or Crude Crisis. I am surprised that there is not even a single meet or press conference by our dear FM to discuss this crisis. @nsitharaman

Indian currency, Indian bonds, Indian equities all cheap now. Just waiting for cheap oil to unleash a buying frenzy? Is it the dark hour before dawn… or the twilight before a dark night??!!! 🤔

Read this slowly and carefully. What Are We Saying: Buy Stocks We are dropping our conservative stance on equities. A few signs that make the current correction suitable to add equity allocation in moderate proportions: 1. Valuations, especially for large caps with Nifty Index at 22,500, are now close to long term average. Banks, IT, Healthcare, insurance, housing finance and a few FMCG names (these collectively constitute more than half of market cap) are at or below long-term valuations. 2. For several large caps with ROEs of 15% to 16%, and multiples of less than 17x, even at current earnings growth of 10% to 12%, it would make sense to have suitable allocation. Whenever earnings revive, they can deliver better outcomes than bonds. One can find many of these stocks today. 3. For SMIDs, a more cautious stance is needed or allocation to active managers with focus on valuations and quality is key, in a SIP mode. 4. The bond yield to earnings yield gap is now just 1%. This is an ideal zone to own stocks and has become more favourable only in full blown panics like COVID crash or GFC’08. 5.India VIX went over 25 and has started to recede. This is a sign that there is reasonable amount of panic. 6. Most indices and large cap stocks are at extremely oversold readings. Only 15% of Nifty 500 Index constituent stocks are over 200 day moving average. Only 11 percent are over 50-day average. These readings are approaching extreme reading, although aren't at extremes yet. 7. Indian Rupee, as per REER, is at an oversold reading. 8. Indian GSec stands at 160 bps premium to repo rate, limiting the extent of where rates could be. 9. A time to add aggressively to stocks can come when value starts to emerge in SMIDs as well. Hence this is a time to raise equity allocation by a notch. More details to follow in DSP Navigator, to be released shortly and in DSPNetra April 2026 edition.

$1.5 BILLION. Let me say it again - a $1.5 BILLION BET. Bigger than any futures purchases made at the time. 5 minutes before Trump's post. Who was it? Trump? A family member? A White House staffer? This is corruption. Mind blowing corruption.

540+ Days of Bear market 🇮🇳 This video still haunts ! There is no replacement to FII/FPIs. Apart from overvaluation, liquidity & other concerns - the biggest block is LTCG/STCG & STT ! Let’s hope that we get some relief ?

The best start to an investment portfolio is in a bear market. But you get to know it only later.