Geofutures

Futurist at the movies microreview: "In the Blink of an Eye." I found aspects of this moving, despite the lack of one of those, uh – what are they called? – plots.

Old wisdom about Iran.

"Allowing the United States to dictate the shape of Cuba’s political future is almost certainly a bridge too far for Havana." #Cuba #future foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/17/the…

Futurist at the movies microreview: "Limitless," which came out 15 years ago today.

Some people have wanted this for a long time -- this is a 10-year-old photo. #Iran

How to write prediction market contracts badly. Really badly. goodjudgment.substack.com/p/let-me-get-t…

Futurist at the movies microreview: "V for Vendetta," which came out 20 years ago today.

"Iran’s new leadership could well take a more dangerous view that nuclear deterrence requires an arsenal, not just a potential capability, and when other regional actors might follow suit."

"At least some in Tehran believe that a prolonged confrontation plays to Iran’s strengths and that stopping now – before the U.S. and the global economy have been made to pay a heftier price – risks inviting renewed attacks down the line."

War on Iran -- "Continuing the war would mean greater economic havoc ... and a growing political liability. Nor is it clear what more the war can achieve on the ground other than deepening the present economic and strategic dilemmas." crisisgroup.org/stm/middle-eas…

"The Iranian regime is not only still standing but has also exacted real costs. It could emerge emboldened and more aggressive."

Maybe he wants house atomics, like the leading families of the Dune universe? axios.com/2026/03/16/axi…

A blatant First Amendment threat is another data point that soft authoritarianism is a wholly plausible scenario at this point -- theguardian.com/us-news/2026/m…

Futurist at the movies microreview: "War Machine." This is a run-of-the-mill man-vs.-monster, alien invasion movie, but not a bad one, as it avoids the usual pitfalls of Netflix sci-fi. #WarMachine #scifi

@mroth78 @DebPearlstein @nytopinion This is another move against truth-seeking entities, a trend with potentially disastrous results across the board.

Read @debpearlstein “The move against state bars is of a piece with the administration’s broader strategy against universities, the media, law firms — any set of organizations capable of challenging the president’s power.” nytimes.com/2026/03/13/opi… via @NYTOpinion

Military AIs have begun to kill large numbers of innocent people. The question is just whether it is more, fewer, or just different people. technologyreview.com/2026/03/12/113…

Six years since this ironic movie announcement from @NewAmerica / Future Tense --

"From a security standpoint, the abrupt collapse of the Cuban state could lead to internal conflict, mass exodus, and expanded trafficking routes in the Florida Straits." #Cuba foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/10/tru…

The Iran war unintended consequences: "terrorist attacks in the West, an oil revenue bonanza for Russia, instability in Iraq, ..., civil conflict or the territorial breakup of Iran, or the rise of a repressive military regime in Tehran." foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/10/tru…

Futurist at the movies microreview: "Battle: Los Angeles," which came out 15 years ago today.