César de Nostredame

❗️ As a result of absolute transparency, a 10-15 kilometre zone of constant death has formed in front of the front line. This zone is constantly expanding, as is the probability of being killed there. It is therefore safe to say that:

Russia is set to halt Kazakh oil supplies to Germany, cutting off one critical lifeline for the EU as it seeks alternatives to the volatile Persian Gulf. Moscow is intensifying its "Grand Oil Game," exploiting glaring EU vulnerabilities in the face of the ongoing Iran crisis. 🧵

During talks between U.S. and Iranian delegations in Pakistan, the topic of Ukraine unexpectedly came up. While discussing U.S. guarantees in the event that Iran halts uranium enrichment and abandons the development of nuclear weapons, the Iranian side asked how the United States is fulfilling the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, in which it pledged to respect and protect Ukraine’s sovereignty. The U.S. delegation left the question unanswered.

We have already reached 10-year agreements with three key countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar. We already have requests from 11 countries – the Middle East and the Gulf, plus we’re also gradually turning our attention to the Caucasus. Within this Drone Deal, there will be at least 10 different agreements covering various categories of Ukrainian weapons exports. Co-production is planned – the construction of our production lines both in Ukraine and in other countries. New technologies that we are developing jointly with various countries, in which they are investing. There is also an agreement on annual funding for a specific amount, along with a fixed number of years. Second: the European track. Work has already begun with Germany, Italy, Norway, Sweden, and the Netherlands. Of course, we have good relations with the United Kingdom and France. I am confident that all of this will also be implemented there. From an interview with the “United News” telethon.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 New footage shows black smoke rising over Tuapse after Ukrainian drones hit Russia's Black Sea port. At least 1 dead. Second strike on the same port in 3 days. Ukraine keeps knocking on the same door.

The dream of China surpassing the U.S. as the world’s largest economy is fading. In 2021, China’s GDP was about 78% of the U.S.; by 2024, that share had fallen to roughly 64%, back to around 2017 levels, with the gap between the two economies doubling in just a few years.

What we often forget about how important Ukraine was/is important to Russia is the militaro-industrial capacities : Losing Ukraine meant losing 25 to 30% of the russian military industry : ▫️Missiles and rockets engineering in Dnipro ▫️Mykolaiv shipyard ▫️Tank factories in Kharkiv ▫️Motor Sich in Zaporizhzhia (all motors for planes) ▫️Antonov production in Kyiv All those factories were part of the soviet production line. If Ukraine is able today to produce massive number of drones, more and more missiles, naval drones and armoured vehicles, it's because it still has the engineers and industries. The 2nd point Russia wants is the civilian industry. You have big industries in Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Krivi Rih, Kremenchuk, Kamianske... the coal and steel industries are located both in Donbas and Krivi Rih regions. However, Russia obliterated most of the factories they took (Azovstal and Illitch in Mariupol, Coke Plant in Avdiivka, Pokrovsk coal mines...). Since 2022, Russia only managed to capture large rural areas and destroyed the few cities they took. So the 3rd russian objective is obviously the big agricultural sector in Ukraine. With large lands taken in southern Ukraine in 2022. BUT, these lands are now largely unuseful because of the war and there is a critical point with water. Southern Ukraine and Crimea are slowly turning into a desert, since water is not coming from the Dnipro anymore. This will be the same for Donbas as soon as Sloviansk will fall. The war Russia launched could continue for long time because Donbas cannot work without Zaporizhzhia and nearly all the objectives have not been met.