Phil
2.1K posts


1957 Brooks Robinson finally showed up in my mailbox today. Been hunting this one for a while
@CardPurchaser


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The pull that launched me into the hobby a while back. She’s a beaut!
@BwittJr @CardPurchaser


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@DumbRookiehits If They’re PWE then it’s minimal updates. If they’re ground/bubble mailers use the kiosk. Way faster and email the receipt
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I recently started selling on eBay. First few sales went without a hitch. Today early afternoon I dropped off a couple of packages at the post office and since they had a long line the woman at the counter said anyone with shipping labels can just place they’re packages on the counter and go so I did. Now I’m checking eBay and it says USPS is awaiting package which means they haven’t been scanned yet.. I’m cooked right ?
@CardPurchaser
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@Schwartzcards2 Just think an 8 or 9 would hurt its value. My first big pull ever a year or so ago.


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@allthecards_mlb Wonder if you bought mine. It was first one sold on eBay. We went back and forth in a chat for a while if it was. Cool card!
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The Mick! Newest Mantle for the collection. On its way to SGC currently #MickeyMantle #Topps #VintageBaseball


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1959 Topps has some of my favorite inserts in the vintage world. Baseball Thrills is one of them #Topps #VintageBaseball

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@allthecards_mlb I pulled and sold the first golden mirror image variation on eBay. Thought it was a base card at first lol
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@Blake_Bruce @MarzCardz1 Last time I was in Ohio, I checked that shop out. I was impressed. Good to see it thriving!
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Phil retweetledi

2026 Topps Series 1 Analysis & Deep Dive
If you enjoy this kind of content, please follow me on Substack, where I keep my entire archive of product breakdowns like this.
@slabsquatch?utm_campaign=profile&utm_medium=profile-page" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@slabsquatch?u…
As is a full-on tradition at this point, Topps was fashionably late with the odds sheet for one of the biggest releases of the year. In the meantime, anyone paying even mild attention has already watched a small army of content creators rip this stuff on camera, making sure to notate that we have fewer hits in some formats, fewer packs in others, but all arriving at the same conclusion: “Wow… they printed this to the moon!”
Now that I've taken one for the team and sacrificed too many hours of my life combing through every detail of this massive odds sheet, I'm happy to report...we have some surprises in store! Well, not about print runs. That will surprise precisely no one.
On my deep dives, it's not my intention to go over every basic detail of the product and its dynamics. There are plenty of content creators that do a fantastic job of that. My specialty is going deeper, letting the numbers weave the narrative, and pointing out the elements that are buried down in the crevasses of the odds sheets.
Feel free to strap in for this one...there might be some turbulence:
Total cards in product:
614,818,654
(This encompasses all 25 formats listed on the odds sheet, but not the factory sets that will undoubtedly release later in the year. It also appears there will be something similar to the Celebration box of 2025 that will likely share the base checklist, so this number is bound to rise.)
2025 Series 1 production:
437,853,600
YOY +40.4%
Base cards per player:
2026 Series 1- 1,560,544
2025 Series 1- 1,092,061
YOY +42.9%
I'd like to start by addressing the elephant in the room. Production went up a little. However, I'm not mad at it. It's Series 1. Getting upset about Series 1 being overproduced is like getting mad that McDonald's makes more cheeseburgers because customers keep buying up all the cheeseburgers. It's kinda the point.
Total production by format:
Hobby boxes- 200,200 (16,683 cases)
Jumbo boxes- 116,288 (14,536 cases)
Hanger boxes- 1,102,500 (17,226 cases)
Fanatics Value Boxes- 63,200 (1,580 cases)
Fat Packs- 1,313,064 (12,158 cases)
Floor Display (I have to assume this is similar to what is typically called the Retail Display Box)- 24,144 boxes (2,012 cases)
Mega Boxes- 296,980 (14,849 cases)
Super Boxes- 245,184 (20,432 cases)
Tins- 2,511,950 (69,776 cases)
Value Boxes- 1,239,520 (30,988 cases)
There are some other formats on the odds sheet that I figured production for, but will not play a part in my comparisons. Japan boxes will likely not be readily available in the US. Even if they were, I would not recommend them.
Also, there are 4 different SKUs called "Club Super Box Bulk Packs A,B,C, & D". These are separate from regular Super Boxes. I have to assume they will end up in some different formats of mixed Super Boxes as we've seen in the past.
Finally, there are 1.4m "Little League" packs produced that will presumably be given out to young ball players.
Hit frequencies per box:
Hobby- 0.34 autos (1 auto per 3 boxes), 3.4 parallels, 10 inserts, 1.4 # cards, 0.66 relics
Jumbo- 1 auto, 9.7 parallels, 19.8 inserts, 2.7 # cards. 1.3 relics
Hangers- 44 boxes/auto, 3.1 parallels, 6 inserts, 4.8 boxes/# card, 22.9 boxes/relic
Fanatics blasters- 44 boxes/auto, 10 parallels, 10.7 inserts, 4.1 boxes/# card, 16.3 boxes/relic
Fat packs- 96 packs/auto, 0.5 parallels, 2.5 inserts, 18.2 packs/# card, 45.2 packs/relic
Floor Display- 5.3 boxes/auto, 5.5 parallels, 26.7 inserts, 1.4 boxes/# card, 2.3 boxes/relic
Mega Boxes- 18.2 boxes/auto, 3.5 parallels, 22.5 inserts, 1.9 boxes/# card, 8 boxes/relic
Super Boxes- 25.2 boxes/auto, 5.9 parallels, 15.4 inserts, 2.8 boxes/# card, 12 boxes/relic
Tins- 480 boxes/auto!, 2.4 parallels, 2.1 inserts, 32 boxes/# card, 135 tins/relic
Value Boxes- 129.2 boxes/auto, 3.4 parallels, 8 inserts, 4.3 boxes/# card, 54.9 boxes/relic
Things to note:
• Autos in Hobby are roughly what you’d expect for Series 1, though noticeably less frequent than they were in ’25 Update.
• Topps didn't bless us with extra autos in jumbo like they did in '25 Update, but it appears about 30% of boxes will have an extra relic over the stated 1/box.
• Hangers now have less than the typical 2 autos/case that we've seen recently.
• Fanatics blasters have really gone downhill from an auto perspective and can no longer be blindly relied upon to provide decent value. Though they technically provide the best $ per parallel cost, it's almost entirely from the Topps Foil parallels as there's not much else going on in those boxes.
• If you're looking for any sliver of value, I would not even think about buying Tins. Unless it's for a kid. Even then, there are better options where your kid may still like you after.
• Value boxes for Flagship have never been good. Now they're not even trying.
Value landscape:
Pricing based on release day pricing for Hobby formats ($100/hobby, $210/jumbo) and MSRP for retail formats.
$/card:
1) Fat pack- 19¢
2) Hangers & Tins- 25¢
$/parallel
1) Fanatics box- $3.00
2) Super Box- $3.62
3) Hangers- $4.92
$/Auto
1) Jumbo- $210
2) Hobby- $294.12
3) Floor Display- $369.60
4) Hangers- $660
Had to go to a runner-up retail format in case "Floor Display" has different dynamics than "Retail Displays" of the past.
$/# card
1) Hangers- $72.30
2) Hobby- $72.46
3) Jumbo- $78.95
Best formats for value:
From an auto perspective, it won't surprise anyone that Jumbo & Hobby are very close with the slight edge going to Jumbo.
For inserts & parallels Hobby is still solid, but Hangers and surprisingly "Floor Display" boxes provide a similar value. If we find that Floor Display boxes are not the typical $70, 20-pack retail boxes, then they would fall off, leaving Hangers as the clear retail winner as they are solid all the way around. Keep in mind, in small sample sizes, Hangers can feel pretty awful. But it takes ~7 hangers to reach the equivalent of 1 Hobby box, even more once the prices of hobby spike as it inevitably will. At one auto per 44 Hangers, they can feel exceedingly dry, but they are actually a cheaper way to pull desirable Inserts like Golden Mirrors, Heavy Lumber, All Aces & All Kings than either Hobby or Jumbo.
Print runs:
Unnumbered parallels:
Silver Crackle- ~2,335 ea
Diamante- ~6,300 ea
Pink Diamante- ~300 ea
Holo Foil- ~8,750 ea
Rainbow Foil- ~12,170 ea
Aqua Rainbow Foil- ~580 ea
Aqua Holo Foil- ~240 ea
Pink Holo Foil- ~1,070 ea
Spring Training- ~7,080 ea
Sandglitter- ~1,110 ea
Topps Logo- ~1,445ea
Golden Mirror Image Variation- ~80 ea
Golden Mirror Legend Variation- ~22 ea
Team Color Border Variation- ~1,360 ea
True Photo Variation- ~90 ea
Base Holiday Variations- ~7,180 ea
Base Holiday Polka Dots Green/Pink- ~3,590 ea
Base Holiday Polda Dots Purple/Blue- ~720 ea
Base Holiday Chicks- ~720 ea
Base Holiday Eggs- ~340 ea
Base Holiday Rabbits- ~130 ea
Unnumbered Inserts:
Cover Athlete Cards (10 card CL)- ~70 ea
2025 All Topps Team (12 card CL)- ~92,550 ea
2025 All Topps Team Pink- ~900 ea
Topps Profiles (25 card CL)- ~95,290 ea
Topps Profiles Pink- ~900 ea
Big Ticket Players (26 card CL)- ~91, 980 ea
Big Ticket Players Pink- ~900 ea
2025's Greatest Hits (28 card CL)- ~89,360 ea
2025's Greatest Hits Pink- ~900 ea
First Pitch (9 card CL)- ~92,940 ea
First Pitch Pink- ~910 ea
1991 Topps (100 card CL)- ~114,500 ea
1991 Topps Pink- ~910 ea
1991 Topps Crackle Foil- ~10,400 ea
1991 Topps Pink Crackle Foil- ~460 ea
Stars of MLB (30 card CL)- ~473,430 ea
Stars of MLB Crackle Foil- ~480 ea
Titans of the Game (20 card CL)- ~499,240 ea
Titans of the Game Crackle Foil- ~480 ea
Home Field Advantage (20 card CL)- ~435 ea
Heavy Lumber (20 card CL)- ~450 ea
All Aces (10 card CL)- ~260 ea
All Kings (15 card CL)- ~250 ea
Funko Base Cards (5 card CL)- ~490 ea
Oversized Base Cards (Super Box, 16 card CL)- ~15,325 ea
Companion Card (16 card CL)- ~15,325 ea
1952 Variation (25 card CL)- ~90 ea
1991 Topps Koi Fish (100 card CL)- ~3,000 ea
Unnumbered Autos:
Funko Base Autos (2 card CL)- ~10 ea
Major League Material Autos (86 card CL)- ~80 ea
Heavy Lumber Auto Relic (60 card CL)- ~25 ea
Baseball Stars Autos (83 card CL)- ~925 ea
1991 Topps Autos (185 card CL)- ~460 ea
75 Yrs of Topps Die Cut Autos (77 card CL)- ~75 ea
Flagship Real One Autos (48 card CL)- ~165 ea
Unnumbered Relics:
Major League Material (87 card CL)- ~2,470 ea
City Connect Swatch Relic (50 card CL)- ~420 ea
1991 Topps Relics (91 card CL)- ~2,150 ea
Real One Relics (80 card CL)- ~230 ea
#thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #2026ToppsSeries1
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Pulled a nice one out of Topps 2026 Series One! Roman Anthony Golden Mirror Image Variation
#Topps2026SeriesOne


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