Goku

125 posts

Goku

Goku

@GokuMoneymaker

Stats / ML - Penn 14 / Harvard 23 - statistical sports analysis - @codedcourtside ML engineer 💸

USA Katılım Aralık 2023
150 Takip Edilen38 Takipçiler
Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Also it's MLB opening day! Definitely going to be cooking up plays all season. I have a handful of models already up and backtested profitable over the last 3 seasons 👀don't miss out. Stats, models and projections will be live on codedcourtside.com soon
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
A few nice opportunities in the first basket market too 👀 yesterday 2 of the guys off the data sheet hit. I might make a little play with Wemby and Derrick Jones Jr. tonight. Who are yall feeling?
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
@jdburrr yessir. Day 3 play
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Verdict - let’s go with Pistons game o214.5, and Tobias Harris o9.5. In the Cleveland game we’re going o228.5 and Donovan Mitchell o22.5. Day 3 play is live!
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
We've got a ton of options on the board today for 100+ in 3q. FD has ATL at +830, massive opportunity there I'm definitely grabbing. Also looking at the Cavs and Jazz tonight. The spurs and nuggets odds just aren't there. But I know a few of these are gonna hit tonight! Send those slips
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Building on that - I'm looking at the positional edges in these matchups and going to take a couple player points overs to complement. Cleveland has a big edge at guard in an offense that's heavily driven by Mitchell, And the Pistons have a bit of an edge at forward scoring-wise. There I'm looking at Tobias Harris tonight.
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
For tonight I'm looking at a couple overs. The ATL/Detroit game and Miami/Cleveland. Atlanta has been playing at a fast pace lately, averaging over 125 in their last 5. The 3 times these guys have met this season they've averaged 229. I see them driving the pace of the game tonight. As for MIA/Cleveland, it's a similar story. These guys have sailed over both times they played each other this season, not to mention they've both been running up totals lately.
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Day 3 of this 25-2500 challenge - full slate tonight so no excuses. Today's play will take us from 90-188 so I hope yall have been tailing! Hop on now before it's too late. About to get into it
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
And the first basket data for today. Jalen Green is looking hot. Jamal Murray too. And I just know Bane is due:
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
That being said - here's the projections for today. Skimming the odds on FD not a lot of great opportunities.. ORL is slightly +EV but that's about it smh.
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
In case yall don't believe me about this 100+ in 3q model, look at this calibration plot. Our predicted probability on the X-axis, actual % of the time the team hits on the Y. Perfect calibration follows the dotted line. Above the line works in our favor (hits MORE often than predicted). We're on to something here. Taking these straight at the right odds is easy +EV. I'm too much of a degenerate and need to parlay them together though lol.
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Final verdict for today, NYC, CHA, and CLE on the moneyline and under 246.5 in the Knicks game. Don’t overthink it. Let’s cash tonight and move on to day 3 tomorrow 🙏🏽
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
For the Knicks game, I just don't see New Orleans keeping up. NYC have them outmatched pretty much across the board. Plus both of these guys have been slowing down in the last few weeks - I don't see this game hitting the over, not to mention after we crank the line up:
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Cleveland, New York and Charlotte are all locks on the ML. TBH I like all 3 on the spread, but on the moneyline I don't see any upsets here. Sacramento and Orlando should get blown out.
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Goku
Goku@GokuMoneymaker·
Need to make it over this day 2 hurdle. Made it to the second leg of this 25-2500, and I'm feeling confident about today. A small slate with a few safe plays.
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