Graduate Oracle

@snowy0g Same here!!

@GraduateOracle Hyped for June 2!

11 days into a 14-day forward-validation window on our 3-tier signal. I have the numbers in front of me. I'm not going to post them. The whole point of pre-registering success criteria is that the verdict doesn't depend on which day I happened to look. If I tweet a screenshot today, I've contaminated the window I told you to trust. Verdict reads June 2. Whatever it says, it says.

@cowboy_ox Exactly. But I have to say.... I like it so far.

@GraduateOracle Whatever it says, it says.

@Clive_99 Holy crap

ARE WE HAVING FUN YET?

@iamfwangshakx Interesting, I just tried it and it worked... Let me know if I can help

@GraduateOracle The tg link isn’t working

Locked in yesterday: a 14-day forward-validation window on our 3-tier signal. Success criteria hashed, timestamped, and frozen before we can see a single result. Verdict reads June 2. If the numbers clear the bar, we publish them. If they don't, we publish that too — and the design dies on the spot. No "we'll just tweak it" — the criteria forbid us from touching the classifier mid-window. A predictor you can't game your way into is the only one worth paying for.

@cowboy_ox You the man!

@GraduateOracle Locked in!

@cowboy_ox Thank you sir!

@GraduateOracle This isn’t only based, this shows so much transparency

Most "alpha" accounts show you their wins. This morning we took two weeks of favorable data and threw it out — restarted the clock under success criteria locked, hashed, and timestamped before we're allowed to see a single result. A number you can't game your way into is the only one worth paying for. Calibrated track, untouched: predict ≥50% → 51.2% real. n=3,766, every prediction hashed before its outcome existed.

Every alpha account posts its winners. None post the misses. We publish the opposite — a graduation predictor that's calibrated, not optimistic. When it says ≥50%, reality is 51.2%. 3,766 outcomes. Resolved on-chain. Every prediction hashed before the result existed. Not "we called it." Just: the odds are real, and you can check them yourself → graduate-oracle.fly.dev/accuracy

@cowboy_ox @ProofLaunch Yes!

Building toward launch: rock-solid escrow + smooth automatic mechanics for creators, collectors & innovators. Every single detail locked in perfectly, full transparency from day one. The receipts and mechanics will be public the moment we flip the switch. Not open yet, by design. It drops when the final audits and community validation confirm it’s bulletproof, not before. Days, not weeks. Founding access, locked for early riders: • Early Supporter Tier, custom • Community Builder Pass talk to us • VIP Unlimited priority + full support Follow for the drop. The day it’s earned, it’s live. 🚀

Building toward open: the graduate-oracle TG bot + API. pump fun graduation calls in the first 60s — every prediction hashed before its outcome, resolved on-chain. The receipts are public and live now: graduateoracle.fun/accuracy Not for sale yet, by design. It opens when the live forward-validation verdict confirms the signal — not before. Weeks, not months. Founding pricing, locked for early subscribers: • TG Bot — 0.2 SOL/mo • Builder API — 0.4 SOL/mo • Premium API — 1 SOL/mo • Unlimited — custom, talk to us Follow for the open. The day it's earned, it's open.

@mistor True.

AI is going to take all the jobs The only way out is crypto

Most pump fun "alpha" is a screenshot posted after the fact. Ours is the inverse: every graduation call is cryptographically hashed before the outcome exists, then resolved against on-chain truth. You don't trust the call — you check it. The live receipts: of mints we flag at ≥50% confidence in their first 60 seconds, 51% actually graduate (n=3,700+). The ≥70% band: 58%. Every band, every prediction, verifiable. graduateoracle.fun/accuracy

@obitokenpai @yrickey01 Exactly. We push everything to the git. Not just what we want to show people. All data, wins and losses. Transparency is the discipline.

@yrickey01 @GraduateOracle The transparency is what stands out most. Forward validation > cherry-picked backtests.

the noisy, high velocity arena of Pump.fun launches, where thousands of new mints appear daily and most signals prioritize narrative over substance, @GraduateOracle stands apart through deliberate methodological rigor. Today they published their live receipts page not a polished backtest, but a transparent ledger of forward-validated predictions. Every probability was cryptographically hashed and committed to the record before the outcome was known, then resolved against immutable on-chain truth. The numbers are instructive: 51% of calls at ≥50% confidence actually graduated (n=3,725), while only 44% of graduates held meaningful value 30 minutes post-bonding curve (n=13,475). They publish the uncomfortable statistics alongside the favorable ones. Particularly noteworthy is their rapid iteration on the signal filtering logic. After observing that earlier gates were suppressing the majority of actionable graduations and high-momentum movers, the team rebuilt the system into a three-tier framework ACT, WATCH, and SCOUT calibrated directly from the resolved-outcome curve. This adjustment was pre-registered, criteria frozen, and is now forward-validating in public with a 72-hour verdict window. Early outcomes prompted an honest same-day follow-up acknowledging small-sample noise while reaffirming the underlying model integrity at scale (~71% on larger cohorts). This is the discipline that separates credible infrastructure from typical memecoin noise: public pre-registration of decision rules, immediate transparency when data challenges assumptions, and a refusal to optimize for short-term optics. No retroactive edits. No victory laps until the corpus demands it. Just continuous sharpening of a self-correcting oracle. The 3-tier signal bot is currently in pilot, releasing only when empirical performance justifies it. In an environment where most participants chase volume and hype, @GraduateOracle is optimizing for calibrated, auditable edge. I’ve been following their public build closely, and the combination of intellectual honesty, cryptographic commitment, and real-time model iteration positions them as one of the more serious efforts toward probabilistic intelligence in this space. As the dataset grows and the tiers mature, the accuracy receipts will become increasingly valuable for disciplined decision-making. For anyone serious about data-driven participation in Pump.fun launches rather than gambling on narrative keeping @GraduateOracle on your radar is advisable. Building in public with receipts. That’s rare. That’s worth watching. #GraduateOracle #CalibratedPrediction #PumpFun #OnChainIntelligence #ProbabilisticModeling

@yrickey01 @BraysonGrowth Absolutely

@BraysonGrowth @GraduateOracle Yes man

@snowy0g Nailed it.

The receipts page is live — no backtests, only forward predictions, hashed before outcome and verified on-chain. 51% of our 50%+ confidence calls graduated (n=3,725). 44% held value 30 min post-bond (n=13,475). Both numbers are public. The 3-tier signal bot is in pilot, forward-validating in public. It launches when the data says so. graduateoracle.fun

The receipts page is live. Not a backtest — forward predictions, every one hashed before its outcome, resolved against on-chain truth. 51% of our ≥50%-confidence calls actually graduated (n=3,725). And we publish the number that complicates the story too: only 44% of graduates held value 30 min post-bond (n=13,475). Both are on the page, not in a deck. The 3-tier signal bot is in pilot — forward-validating in public. It releases when the data earns it, not before. graduateoracle.fun

@snowy0g Thanks Snow!

@GraduateOracle This is really cool!

1/ Feeling really good about this right now. This morning I posted "watch it hold or break, no edits, no excuses."It's night. Here's the honest follow-up — same day, like I said.

4/ Rebuilt it from the resolved-outcome curve the same day. 3 tiers — ACT / WATCH / SCOUT — keyed off the model's own confidence gradient. SCOUT exists to surface the strong stuff the old gate was burying.Pre-registered, frozen criteria, forward-validating now. Verdict in 72h — you'll see it break or hold either

3/ But the receipts exposed something worse than a precision wobble: we were firing on ~32% of graduations and ~12% of the big tradeable movers. The filter was silently burying most of the signal. Missing good calls you never see is the worst failure a signal product can have. [media: precision/recall-by-threshold table]