Grayden
684 posts

Grayden
@Grayden_Garrett
3yr Futures Trader | The Collective
Outside the Simulation Katılım Ekim 2022
46 Takip Edilen91 Takipçiler

4h Timeframe:
- There is a 4h gap that we formed right before taking ATH. Now we could tap that and continue higher, but I would say that is lower probability considering that expansion we got last week.
- I would favor a deeper retracement into the daily gaps to frame a higher probability low.
- In order for me to confidently trade higher I would like a move lower into the daily gaps and show a manipulation of the relevant lows.

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Bias: Bullish
Context: We have expanded higher all week and are now only 130 points from ATH. There is no reason for me to be shorting right now.
Daily Profile: The daily opened lower and we formed an SMT with a 4h gap on YM. So we have a Asia reversal -> London and NY continuation.
Execution: I will take a continuation signature from a 15 or 30min gap most likely. Unless we just rip to ATH then I might just sit tight until next week.

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Bias: Bullish
Daily Profile: We seen an Asia and London consolidation with a NY reversal.
Context: Price opened lower into a 4h gap and is now showing clear displacement and relative strength is in the YM to catch up since it was the lagging decoupled asset yesterday.
Execution: Since YM has now gotten the SS I would favor trading YM as the leading asset. Ideally we see a move lower off of the open to then trade higher. Since NQ is consolidating a bit we could see NQ manipulate the LOD for a possible 2 stage SMT. If NQ does not manipulate lower then I would aim to just trade the continuation.

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Daily Bias: Bearish (for now)
Context: We have had the first 2 days of the week expand aggressively higher, and price is now slowing down to offer a potential retracement to the 4h IRL
Profile: Asia and London consolidated -> NY pre market manipulating the HOD and forming an SMT
Execution: Bias on the higher timeframe still remains bullish, but with the extended leg of expansion we could see a retracement now that price consolidated. If price is going to continue expanding it will most likely continue off of the 4h gap, so that will be my main objective if a short is presented.

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Intraday Bias: Neutral
Narrative: After a large expansion day with very minimal rebalancing, we have hit a higher timeframe objective. We can now be introduced to a new phase of price (POP). I will watch to see if we get a reversal to trade back lower into the range, or if we are just getting a retracement to continue higher today.
Daily Profile: The daily profile so far was an Asia (consolidation) -> London (reversal into expansion) -> NY (reversal or retracement for continuation)
Execution: Now that NQ has reached a higher timeframe relevant swing with no close targets beyond I will either need to see a failure to manipulate on NQ to then trade the lagging assets higher or see NQ reverse and trade it lower to the unfilled imbalances.
Notes: After reaching that high on NQ we have been consolidating, so I will wait for the 9:30 open to get a clearer picture going into 10am. We also just formed a 1h C2 with an SMT at the highs.

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Intraday Bias: Mixed (at the moment)
Narrative: On the higher timeframe I am still bullish expecting a move from the daily IRL to ERL. Nasdaq had a 330 point gap down (NWOG) to start the week.
Daily Profile: The daily candle opened low into the daily gap, but we failed to form a 4h swing to trade away from. Off of the initial move higher YM got an aggressive move lower back towards the LOD.
Execution: With a bit of decoupled markets (YM trading below EQ near the sell side, and NQ trading near the HOD). I need to see a clear manipulation before taking a trade. There are a couple ideas I see going into the day.
Scenario 1: NQ manipulates the HOD and we see a continuation lower on YM to the LOD out of the 1h gap.
Scenario 2: YM delivers out of the 1h gap and takes the LOD to form the reversal (large daily wick).

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4h Timeframe:
- On the 4h we have a bit of a decoupled market. ES is in a consolidation, YM is trading lower, and NQ is trading higher.
- There is 2 places I am watching for the potential reversal higher. The first is the 4h gap off of the PDL, and the second is the daily gap.
- Seeing how close YM is to the daily gap I would like to see that get tapped and then see the reversal higher.

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