hassan makwayod

SoSoValue Flash: Iran Deal Denials Muddle Sentiment, Fed & BoJ Pivot Hawkish 💥 Core Catalyst: Truce Extensions & Tehran Shadows The market’s "peace rally" hit a snag as the White House and Trump administration officially denied the leaked MOU terms regarding sanctions relief and shared control of Hormuz. While both sides remain motivated to resolve the conflict, the transition from back-channel leaks to formal negotiation has proven volatile, leaving oil prices sensitive to every headline. 🔍 Key Logic Shifts: 1️⃣ Fed Pivot: The "Warsh Era" at the Fed has begun with a distinctly hawkish flavor. By signaling support for removing "easing bias" and emphasizing the costs of entrenched inflation, Warsh has effectively shifted market focus toward potential Q4 rate hikes rather than cuts. 2️⃣ BoJ Shift: Governor Ueda’s characterization of the current energy crisis as a "fifth oil shock" has served as a formal warning to markets. With OIS pricing now suggesting a 75% probability of a 25bp hike in June, Japan is moving toward a decisive normalization phase. 3️⃣ AI & Market: AI remains the primary anchor for U.S. equities. While speculative headlines caused semiconductor volatility, the fundamental narrative—fueled by robust hyperscaler capex and NVIDIA’s structural dominance—persists. Markets are currently treating macro-headline "wobbles" as opportunities for consolidation within the broader AI uptrend. 📊 Trade Setup (SoDEX Assets to Watch): Core: $USTECH-100 | $CL (Crude) | $XAUT | $BTC MAG7: $NVDA | $AMZN | $GOOGL | $META | $MSFT | $TSLA | $AAPL AI Hardware: $SNDK | $MU | $AMD | $INTC

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