JM

19 posts

JM

JM

@HanRiverVictim

Polymarket Investor

Los Angeles, CA 90010 Katılım Kasım 2025
11 Takip Edilen169 Takipçiler
JM
JM@HanRiverVictim·
@ithinkthisisgod In this case, insider account bought five different “Yes” positions in the Top 5 market, bet on “Anora Yes,” which was the movie I had my eye on, and also showed similarities to another (suspected) insider I’d been watching in the Gemini market — so I trusted it and followed in.
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GOD
GOD@ithinkthisisgod·
@HanRiverVictim how do you spot insyder acc,is it jus if someone make new acc and put a large order ?i mean anyone can do that too right
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
1/2 After I spotted an insider account, I took a position on d4vd to be #1 in the People category, but d4vd’s Google Trends numbers didn’t actually look that high, so even as I entered I wasn’t sure if it really made sense.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
@ithinkthisisgod You have to synthesize a wide range of factors — the overall vibe, the account’s past behavior, my research findings, and so on — and of course I could be wrong.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
Going crazy over some random Indian guy's $91M prediction, and it's total nonsense that it's not moving up from 90c even after the Deadline Monday numbers came out. Anyway, this market was exhausting.
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0xSntx
0xSntx@0xSntx·
Less than 24h until the premiere of Avatar 3 Last chance to enter the market at very good prices Opening weekend: >90m - 46c >123m - 1.7c (for ex., Superman: 125m) Market - polymarket.com/event/avatar-f… Domestic gross: 1st place (>$424m) - 2c 3rd place (>$354m) - 3.2c Market - polymarket.com/event/highest-… As I expected, closer to the premiere date, prices have adjusted downwards, which only gives us more opportunities I’m looking forward to tonight
0xSntx tweet media0xSntx tweet media
0xSntx@0xSntx

BUY 1$ for 0.07$ RIGHT NOW The bet that Avatar 3 will gross over $123M on its opening weekend is heavy undervalued - 6.5c There are multiple plays on this movie via @Polymarket, but here we'll dive deep into just this market Here's exactly why Avatar will easily break $123M: What were the competitors opening weekend (3-day) grosses: • A Minecraft Movie - $163M • Wicked: For good - $147M • Lilo & Stitch - $146M • Superman - $125M Let's examine the production budgets for these films: • A Minecraft Movie - $150M • Wicked: For good - $150M • Lilo & Stitch - $100M • Superman - $225M • Avatar 3 - $400M ⚡️ A common belief is that with film franchises, each new sequel gets worse and earns less accordingly but: • Wicked - $113M opening weekend • Wicked: For Good - $147M • Zootopia - $75M opening weekend • Zootopia 2 - $100M • Avatar - $77M opening weekend • Avatar 2 - $134M Let's sum it up We have - the highest-grossing franchise in history - $400M budget - pre-Christmas weekend - and mid-tier competitors that easily crossed the $123M mark doesn't all this literally scream "free 15x on your bet"? Market - polymarket.com/event/avatar-f…

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JM@HanRiverVictim·
@ShowMeTheMon3yy It's more important to check who is buying. A safe 80c is better than a risky 30c. Not that it's completely safe yet, though.
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The-Joker
The-Joker@Joker_Poly·
@HanRiverVictim Saw you come in to get 1000 shares at around 80c, missed your opportunity to buy them for 30c each when someone decided to "hedge". Either way we'll make some money today I'm sure :)
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The-Joker
The-Joker@Joker_Poly·
Fade the rumors, follow the flows. 📉🐋 While everyone FOMO'd into the Dec 16th release hype, I stayed calm and averaged down on NO. The real insiders know the launch isn't today—liquidity provided, alpha secured. 💼💸 Don't mistake excitement for execution. #Gemini3 #Polymarket #Trading
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
@ShowMeTheMon3yy Hello I'm on No for the 16th as well.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
2/2 But within just a couple of hours of getting in, Google’s Year in Search 2025 page leaked, and I was able to sell all the d4vd I’d bought at 99.8¢. Trading on insider information is risky, but it’s great for making big profits in a short time.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
Mention markets tend to give good results when you’re just having some light fun with them. At the last Cabinet meeting (Oct 9), Trump said “thank you” 20 times and “please” 11 times. Buying “Thank you / Please 15+ times” at 90¢ is a +EV, low-risk bet, and luckily it hit.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
Literally free money. @Polymarket
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
5. That made it possible to buy No and lock in a high, essentially risk-free return. This was probably the least stressful profit I’ve ever made on Polymarket. If I’m lucky, the next set of markets will attract another wave of traders who make the same mistake.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
1. This round of markets tied to the Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction was genuinely fun. Let’s walk through what happened in contract "Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+"
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
4. In other words, the number displayed there includes the buyer’s premium. Once you strip out the premium, the actual hammer price is only 14,000,000 USD, which is below the 15m threshold. But a lot of people seem to have looked only at the sold price and piled into Yes.
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
3. The reason is that the sold price is not the hammer price. At the top of the results page, Sotheby’s clearly notes: “Please note that the results listed on this page are inclusive of any Sotheby's Premiums ...”
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JM@HanRiverVictim·
2. Lot 7 Matisse – 15m The rule was simple: If the work’s hammer price exceeded 15 million USD, the market would resolve Yes. Otherwise, it would resolve No. On Sotheby’s official website, the result is shown only as the sold price. However, this market is about to resolve No.
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Taikatalvi
Taikatalvi@polytalvi·
In 2 hours, I will be a little richer than before or go bankrupt. 😂 @PolymarketTrade
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Keşfet

@ithinkthisisgod @0xSntx @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao @dv_dimitrios @mark_k @GoogleDeepMind