KB’s March 25th NBA Prop #2 🏀
Jimmy Neutron Goes OFF Tomorrow! ☢️
Labbed w/ @PropKitchen 📲
Duncan Robinson “O” 10.5 Points
We’re going right back to our sneaky wagon so far of the season Mr Jimmy Neutron as he has yet to let us down yet. He gets a very nice matchup tomorrow and we’re trusting him once again, let me explain why.
Cade Cunningham remains ruled out with a collapsed lung meaning we target Robinson once again as he hasn’t missed this line once this season without Cade yet. He’s over in 10/10 (100%) games without Cade averaging 15 points per game.
In this sample of games he’s averaged 10.1 FGA per game which is a bit higher than his season average of 9 FGA per game. Plus he also see’s a 2.5% increase in usage rate at 18.4% per game compared to his season average of a 15.9% usage rate.
With 10+ FGA he’s gone over this line in his last 10 STRAIGHT games averaging 16.5 points per game and is over in 90% of games this season averaging 15.3 points per game. If you add him playing at Home then he’s over this line in 11 STRAIGHT and 16/17 (94%) games this year averaging 16.2 points per game.
This brings me to my next point and that is his efficiency when he plays at Home compared to on the Road. It’s almost like a day and night difference especially from three, check it out ⬇️
📈 Home: 45.7 FG% / 44 3PT% / 13.3 PPG
📉 Road: 42.1 FG% / 35.2 3PT% / 10.3 PPG
As you can see he plays like a completely different player when playing in Detroit especially his efficiency from behind the arc which is a crazy difference. This has caused him to go over this line in 69% of Home games this season compared to going over in just 53% of Road games.
Now he gets a matchup against the Atlanta Hawks who are allowing the 6th most points to opposing SG’s this season. Versus teams that rank bottom 7 in points allowed to SG’s, he’s over this line in 16/19 (78%) games this season averaging 13.9 points per game.
In their last 5 games they’ve also ranked 29th in defensive efficiency versus ATB 3’s which is where Duncan scores the most % of his points from at 56% per game. They also rank 25th versus the Net area which is where he scores an additional 12% of his points from.
Robinson has had success versus the Hawks in his career as with 11+ minutes played he’s over this line in his last 7/8 games versus them since 2023 averaging 15.5 points per game. If you add him taking 7+ FGA then he’s over in his last 7/7 (100%) games averaging 17.3 points per game.
This includes two games from this season where he dropped 15 and 14 points against them taking 10 FGA in each game. Keep in mind that in both these games Cade was also active.
Along with him many other primary spot up scoring players have had success against this Atlanta squad this season ⬇️
🎯 Max Christie: 13 points / 11.5 line ✅
🎯 Quentin Grimes: 26 points / 14.5 line ✅
🎯 Grayson Allen: 16 points / 13.5 line ✅
🎯 AJ Green: 18 points / 10.5 line ✅
🎯 Marcus Smart: 16 points / 9.5 line ✅
🎯 RJ Barrett: 29 points / 15.5 line ✅
🎯 Alex Caruso: 16 points / 6.5 line ✅
The Hawks are playing at the 3rd fastest pace in the league and this game has just a 2.5 spread as well. We should hopefully get a pretty fast paced and competitive game here which should lead to more scoring opportunities for Robinson.
Backing Jimmy Neutron once again tomorrow to come through for us three times in a row. This could very much be a 1st half or 3rd quarter cash!
Drop a ❤️ if you’re tailing this play!
📊 @propsdotcash#Gambling#GamblingTwitter#NBA#PrizePicks#UnderdogFantasy#SleeperPicks#Chalkboard#PlayerPropBets#DraftKings#ChalkBoard
Pj Washington performance Yesterday was so fucking suspicius.
4 shots attempts in the first quarter, played 8 minutes.
The second quarter played 6 minutes he took 3 shots but, the last 4 minutes of that quarter he didn't take a single shot.
Then, he took one shot in the last 20 m
KB’s March 23rd NBA Prop #2 🏀
The Best Over For Late Night Hoops! ✨
Labbed w/ @PropKitchen 📲
PJ Washington “O” 13.5 Points
We like this spot for PJ against the Warriors who has been on fire, crushing this line in his last four games recording 20+ in three of them.
His role and production see a clear boost with key injuries. Without Brandon Williams (who is doubtful), PJ is 7/7 to the over, averaging 19.4 PPG. Caleb Martin is also questionable, and PJ is averaging +2.4 more PPG without him on the floor
This is a strong schematic matchup for PJ’s scoring profile. He generates:
📈 27% of his points from spot up → Warriors rank 18th
📈 22% in transition → Warriors rank 24th
Looking at shot distribution over his last 10 games, 61% of his shots are coming from <10 ft, where Golden State ranks 27th defensively. This is a key area PJ consistently attacks and where the Warriors have struggled.
We’ve seen similar archetype players find success in this matchup:
✅ Zaccharie Risacher: 17 pts (Line: 8.5)
✅ Jaden McDaniels: 15 pts (Line: 12.5)
✅ Christian Braun: 18 pts (Line: 11.5)
✅ Keldon Johnson: 21 pts (Line: 10.5)
✅ Naji Marshall: 30 pts (Line: 16.5)
✅ Andrew Wiggins: 18 pts (Line: 14.5)
✅ OG Anunoby: 25 pts (Line: 17.5)
✅ Kyle Kuzma: 13 pts (Line: 8.5)
Golden State’s defensive profile over recent stretches aligns with PJ’s strengths:
– 26th in defensive rating (L15)
– 26th in paint points allowed (L15)
– 25th vs paint non-RA (L15)
– 28th in mid-range defense (L10)
These are all key scoring zones PJ consistently utilizes.
In this matchup specifically, PJ is over in 4 of his last 5 games vs Golden State when playing 25+ minutes. His only miss this season came in a game where he was limited to just 22 minutes off the bench.
Only a 2.5 point spread which should lead to a close game and heavy usage for PJ. With 30+ minutes this season, he has went over 14 in 75% of games averaging 16.8 PPG
Overall, this sets up as a clean spot. Between increased opportunity with injuries, strong role-based production, and a defensive matchup that aligns directly with his shot profile, PJ has multiple paths to clear this number.
Drop a ❤️ if you’re tailing this play!
📊 @propsdotcash#Gambling#GamblingTwitter#NBA#PrizePicks#UnderdogFantasy#SleeperPicks#Chalkboard#PlayerPropBets#DraftKings#ChalkBoard
NBA’s BEST BET🏀
#NewYorkForever vs #ForTheDistrict
Mohamed Diawara O 12.5 PRA #Knicks
(-105 MGM)
3/22 NBA Prop #2
Mohamed Diawara. This guy has been a cash cow for us everytime his lines has a chance to reach the books.
Really solid performance last game vs Brooklyn recording 20 PRA on 13 RA chances.
The game was unexpectedly a battle so Mo’s ball-handling usage was low but with Josh Hart out, he had to stay in the game and he exceeded pass expectations.
Landry Shamet is now out tonight which should allow Mo to be the first wing off the bench.
If Josh Hart somehow calls out again, Mo will be the starter.
Washington has been willing to limit primary ball-handling guards and force others to beat them.
This will allow Mo to play off the dribble and make plays for himself and others.
It just showed last game facing a BKN defense that tried to limit Brunson and KAT.
Mo did very well against that defense.
H2H vs Washington was his 7 PRA in 4 mins game where he tweaked his ankle and sat out the rest of the game.
He was going to show out. We should see a 17+ minute show tonight from the rookie.
Hammering This Over🔨
Jaden McDaniels Over 21.5 PRA
57% Hit Rate This Season🎯
50❤️ For My NBA Play Of The Day
McDaniels has continued to develop into one of the best 3-and-D wings in the league and now steps into a massive role with Anthony Edwards ruled out. He’s cleared this line in 39 of 69 games this season, and without Edwards on the floor, his production jumps to another level.
On The Season McDaniels Is Averaging.
-14.58 Points Per Game
-10.7 FG Attempts Per Game
-5.6 FG Made Per Game
-4.25 Rebounds Per Game
-2.78 Assists Per Game
-31.8 Minutes Per Game
McDaniels and the Minnesota Timberwolves head to Boston tonight to face the Celtics. The Celtics are allowing the 20th most points, 28th most rebounds, and 26th most assists per game to opposing power forwards this season, a tough matchup on paper, but the absence of Edwards changes everything.
Last 5 PF's Vs The Celtics.
-Olivier-Maxence Prosper 23 PRA
-Draymond Green 23 PRA
-Oso Ighodaro 16 PRA
-Jaylin Williams 12 PRA
-Evan Mobley 33 PRA
In games without Anthony Edwards this season McDaniels has been exceptional, hitting this line in 12 of 13 games, while averaging 26.69 PRA per game. He's logging 34.3 minutes per game in those games on 13.2 FG attempts shooting 52% from the field, posting 29, 38, 24, 28, 27, 27, 26, 28, 26, 20, 27, 22, and 25 across those matchups.
Over his last 5 games with 30 or more minutes McDaniels has also been locked in, hitting this line in 4 of 5 while averaging 23.2 PRA per game. He's logging 34.6 minutes per game over that stretch on 9.8 FG attempts shooting 65% from the field, posting 24, 24, 16, 27, and 25 across those matchups.
Boston is a tough defensive matchup for forwards, but Edwards being out completely shifts the usage in McDaniels favor. With the increased role and opportunity, he’s well positioned to log at least 22 PRA tonight.
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bueno, os dejo un cacho del espectáculo PORNOGRAFICO que me tocó vivir junto a mis hijas Eva y Malenia, de 5 y 6 años, en el último concierto de Yeri.
Desgraciadamente solo tengo 2 manos, por lo que solo alcance para taparle un ojo a cada una de ellas.