Hedge Hammer

UBS Downgrades $NOW to Neutral from Buy, Lowers PT to $100 from $170; confidence that ServiceNow is “better positioned for this artificial intelligence era” Analyst comments: "To date, our view has been that ServiceNow is better positioned for this artificial intelligence era relative to other application software firms, and hence it has been our only Buy-rated application software stock as we have been quite cautious on the broader group. Given that our confidence in that view has weakened and we are hearing more anecdotes of non-artificial-intelligence application software budget pressure, we are moving to a Neutral rating despite the material year-to-date de-rating in the stock to 15x 2026 free cash flow. We now also expect skinnier-than-normal beats in the coming quarters, more limited upside to the guidance for stable organic constant-currency subscription revenue growth of 19% in 2026, and we are trimming our current remaining performance obligation growth estimates to exit 2026 at 16% constant currency, down from our previous estimate of 20%." Analyst: Karl Keirstead

"SaaSpocalypse" I think this analysis makes it pretty clear! 1. $ADBE is the clear winner! The stock is absolutely mispriced! 2. $FICO is the most expensive stock, but we see why! We talk about an exceptional business. PEG < 1 3. $NOW is still more expensive than the others, but they are a beneficiary of agentic AI. Margins and ROIC will probably increase in the future 4. $WDAY, $HUBS and $TEAM are cheap! But they cheat through SBC! If you subtract these, the stocks are significantly more expensive, even after Drawdowns of 63% to 87% Mediocre businesses - They are out! Note: Calculations by @fiscal_ai Visualisation by draw.io

I'll only say it once. These 8 names are the BEST dip-buying opportunities available, & will create generational wealth for many in 2026: 1. ServiceNow - $NOW 2. Rocket Lab - $RKLB 3. Ondas Holdings - $ONDS 4. Eos Energy - $EOSE 5. POET Technologies - $POET 6. Robinhood - $HOOD 7. Figma Inc - $FIG 8. SOFI Technologies - $SOFI Don’t miss out… People ask, “Why don’t you charge?” I’ve made enough. Sharing is my passion — that’s why I post for free.

@wallstengine No brainer. 🚫🧠.

Bernstein out with a note defending ServiceNow $NOW: "Bears worry ServiceNow is at risk from AI Agents directly replacing its core business process automation and AI Agent platform use case. Claude Managed Agents may appear to make this even more possible, offering the platform to replace ServiceNow’s underlying 'rails' on which AI Agents are built. Or if an AI Agent is not ideal because the process needs to be repeatable and predictable, bears say Claude Code could easily write traditional programmatic software to handle the automation along with a nice user interface for user engagement. Plus, bears believe analytics and management of ServiceNow’s system-of-record data can be directly queried or modified through Claude Cowork, or other AI copilot. In reality, ServiceNow is an enviable 'Switzerland' AI Agent platform. First, most ServiceNow business processes are not naturally replaced by Agents, as they require predictability, auditability, security, and efficiency. In addition, coding copilots are not a threat in writing programmatic code, as the real value is in the underlying rails where the code runs, for example CMDB. Finally, ServiceNow is better positioned as an Enterprise AI Agent platform. We believe large enterprise buyers will likely balk at LLMs being a standardized Agent platform provider for three reasons: to avoid LLM lock-in and maintain flexibility to utilize the best model matched to the task, the desire for fine-grained control of performance, cost, and security, and the lack of foundational process rails below the Agent layer, such as CMDB and ontology. ServiceNow remains in a very strong 'Switzerland' position, with its CMDB and process rails a foundational requirement to execute both programmatic business processes and the AI Agentic layer."

@aleabitoreddit When IPO fever is everywhere, that’s your exit signal, not your entry. But we’re not there yet. Looking forward! ;)

Cerebras soon to IPO at $35B+ valuation. This is the holy grail of OpenAi contagion. -> $8.1B valuation few months ago -> Sam Altman hints at $20-30B deal over 3 years. -> $23B valuation. -> Now it’s $35B+ to the public. If OpenAI promises $BIRD $5 trillion in orders, does it suddenly make it a $6 company? Might be fine for a year… but this is not going to end well if OpenAi goes down.

@antibearthesis Can't. There is more value in $ADBE (nevertheless $NOW is also very undervalued). So just hold both and reduce relative risk.

@Hedge_Hammer agreed but swap now and adbe

I will not stop pounding the table on SaaS $NOW, $ADBE, $CRM & $ORCL are all down -60% Investors are panic selling due to AI fears But AI is CLEARLY a tailwind, not a headwind for SaaS Let's look at the facts; Revenue growth CAGR forward 3 years: - ServiceNow: 20% - Adobe: 10% - Salesforce: 10% - Oracle: 39% EPS growth CAGR forward 3 years: - ServiceNow: 54% - Adobe: 22% - Salesforce: 30% - Oracle: 38% Forward P/E: - ServiceNow: 23x (all-time low) - Adobe: 10x (all-time low) - Salesforce: 14x (all-time low) - Oracle: 22x (5-year low) Fundamentals are accelerating; valuations are collapsing Are you buying any of these?

@SergeyCYW Just to help: $PLTR > $AXON > $APP > $ZETA > $NET in terms of of how undervalued they are.

Top 5 SaaS Stocks With the Highest Estimated Growth (+AI Tailwinds) SaaS is still compounding fast, driven directly by AI adoption and new monetization layers. Here are 5 names where forward growth and AI leverage stand out 👇 $PLTR — Palantir | +62% NTM growth Palantir is compressing enterprise sales cycles through AIP Bootcamps, moving prospects into live deployments before contracts are signed. In Q4, the company closed 180 deals above $1M and 61 above $10M, while remaining deal value reached $4.38B. AI drives expansion inside existing accounts. Each deployment becomes embedded infrastructure, increasing switching costs and expanding contract size over time.

@pdicarlotrader Value is what counts, and now is slightly overvalued. Nothing bad, it has a tendency to be, but entering now is not wise.

$NFLX -8% after earnings and rejected right off the 33FVB

@Venu_7_ Yes but entering now is just too late.

$CRDO - Credo designs high-speed connectivity solutions (SerDes/optics) powering AI data center data movement. made first higher highs and now forming first higher lows after a downtrend breakout with solid accumulation. a backtest to the 9/21 EMA offers good risk/reward.

@CernunnosCap @pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 There is a bit of credit risk, but it is looks ripe to recover.

@pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 We still bullish on $ENPH ?

$HOOD is up more than 40% in the last month. In this video I walk through: • if this looks like a real bottom or just a bounce • the 2 exact rules HOOD must meet before I even think about going long again If you trade $HOOD, watch this before your next entry.

@rafajuarezdl @pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 $RDDT is quite undervalued agree is probably a good time.

@pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 Peter can you cover $RDDT & $NKE? Especially Reddit is showing some strength

@Tannermikel1 @pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 $COIN undervalued (could be more undervalued so if one were to enter I would enter with 1/2

@pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 I understand your charting and would agree with you that on the chart…this doesn’t look like a buy. I have no position so I’m unbiased however we had a very big catalyst- the SEC approved a FINRA rule change that removes the old $25,000 pattern day trader minimum. Look at $COIN

@AP21981373 @pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629

@AP21981373 @pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 $HIMS is undervalued yes

@pdicarlotrader @6174Kr @KingTimmy0629 $NKE just 6% undervalued and no signal to buy (there was a brief one a bit ago but for a quick trade) so must wait for next.

@6174Kr @KingTimmy0629 Exactly $NKE Dip buying and holding here would’ve been catastrophic. Dip buying only works if it actually bounces. My goal is simple: avoid catastrophic losses at all costs

@pdicarlotrader @KingTimmy0629 $HOOD is 8% overvalued and there is no signal to buy

Correct. And I totally get why “big discounts” are tempting. Buying at a huge discount only works if you’re actually near the bottom. If you buy because it looks cheap and it keeps bleeding, you don’t have a deal… you just get smoked. I’d rather be “late” and join the next multi‑month move with structure and confirmation than try to nail the exact low and risk getting wiped out. Discounts are great when they mark the bottom. But a discount on its own can quickly turn into bag‑holding if the worst case plays out. $DUOL, $HIMS, etc. are perfect examples. They looked like great discounts on the way down and just kept bleeding.

@MMatters22596 It’s 12% overvalued.

$FLY is one of the hottest space stocks right now. But not a buy for me. Up over 100% from the recent low. My $47 wave 3 target will soon be reached, and there's still more upside in this cycle. However, if you missed this move, I don't think this is a good opportunity to buy in. $RKLB is way better positioned right now, and $FLY is still trading at a massive premium. I think a lot of people will turn into bag holders here, because they bought in late. Congrats to those who cought this move early.

SaaS stocks may be the best setup for stock pickers right now. The entire group is getting punished, but they won’t all be losers.

@brent_e_trader It looks like #NOWISTHETIME for $NOW. Pun intended.

$NOW stock price massacre. At least hear the CEO pump the stock. Worth a listen, IMHO.