Graham Hesketh

@jdpoc @two_truths Presumably you feel that way because of recent polling? Recent polling also uses data from 2024. It asks who did you vote for at last election etc then maps it to population models based on the last election to estimate how views are changing

@Hesketh_GD @two_truths In these times, that data is not just outdated, its positively prehistoric.

Watch carefully for this in the future, it’s bound to be a scary trend. Here’s a polling organisation using AI models to answer their own polls, based on information from 2024 Madness. Complete madness.

@jdpoc @two_truths Here's a paper on the concept in using latest AI in consumer behaviour analysis where it appears to do quite well: arxiv.org/abs/2510.08338

@jdpoc @two_truths yes they use data from 2024, that was the last general election. that data would feed into a model

@jdpoc @two_truths but thats what all polling is. even a MRP model or logistic regression or random forest. these are all statistical models that essentially create synthetic voters using weights from past behaviour and a sample of recent real voters. no idea if it's accurate but not new concept

@two_truths “Synthetic respondents super population model” sounds pretty much like imaginative and manipulative use of AI to me.

@JohnDCook Try QWEN3.5 supposed to be very good for OCR stuff, on early experiments with math papers that seems to hold up.

I did an experiment this morning, asking Grok and ChatGPT to reproduce sheet music from a photo. The results were hilariously bad. 🧵 1/n

@DamianSurvation Interesting

@Hesketh_GD Sample / panel effects.

A fair few of us now showing Greens up substantially since the general election, but in the low double digits (we’re on 12%) - and *not* currently leapfrogging Labour.

English translation of Sophie Kowalevski's "On the problem of the rotation of a rigid body about a fixed point" Sophie Kowalevski (translation by Graham Hesketh) arxiv.org/abs/2603.07154 [𝚖𝚊𝚝𝚑.𝙷𝙾 𝚖𝚊𝚝𝚑.𝙳𝚂 𝚗𝚕𝚒𝚗.𝚂𝙸]

@nikitabier Why can't we just have control over what appears on the timeline and not see content from people we don't follow? Like things used to be.

People come X to get a pulse on humanity. Because of that, the platform must make every effort to resist anything that misrepresents or adulterates that pulse. There is nothing more unsettling than expecting you’re reading the words of a human -- only to find it was a machine, or an account operating at the direction of an undisclosed commercial or governmental entity. In the AI era, our product, policies, and approach will need to evolve meaningfully. Some things may not work, but we intend to employ every available tool and strategy to secure the global town square.

Complete Weierstrass elliptic function solutions and canonical coordinates for four-wave mixing in nonlinear optical fibres Graham Hesketh arxiv.org/abs/2601.11740 [𝚗𝚕𝚒𝚗.𝚂𝙸]

"The science of mathematics is becoming too vast in its details to be completely mastered by human intellect and the time is approaching when the whole of the executive department will be transferred to the unerring power of mechanism" - Charles Babbage 1856

@WeAreTheOverlap @IanWright0 You are all hypocrite's. All you ex United player's did the same thing with Rashford. In Amorim's first game he scored 1, next game he scored 2, next game he was dropped from the squad because of his clothes. premierleague.com/en/news/418306… footballtransfers.com/en/transfer-ne…

“I don’t think they are ready for a black superstar!” 🗣️ A powerful response from @IanWright0 following Jude Bellingham’s recent criticism in the media. Watch the full conversation now on The Overlap YouTube channel.

@OndrejCertik @asmeurer @SymPy I use it every day. It's crucial that we have open source software tools and open access publications so thanks a lot to you and the team.

Credit goes to @asmeurer for leading @SymPy for over a decade and the rest of the hundreds of developers. Thank you! But I started it and spent most of my twenties helping getting it off the ground. Too late for my own university time (although I did use it a bit during my Ph.D.), but it enabled a lot of younger students to use it, so I am very happy with the outcome.

@AnthropicAI ive just now regained access to use it again and carry on with what I was doing. If you think this makes me more likely to "convert" to Max rather than close all accounts completely you are silly.

@AnthropicAI Completely broke my flow. I was in the zone on that task making good progress. Come back in 5hrs??!??! What were you thinking.

Nominated for the 2025 Ballon d’Or ⤵️ Scott McTominay @sscnapoli @ScotlandNT #ballondor

@BBCNews x.com/Hesketh_GD/sta…

Taylor Wimpey's profits wiped out by cladding fixes bbc.in/45t8Uhq

@ChetuyaGamma Related: #4586267" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">math.stackexchange.com/questions/8799…

Integration By Parts to the rescue. #math