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@AdamMancini4 You should do a youtube video about failed breakdowns so we can see the trade done correctly.
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Closing update #ES_F: 5438 was support as posted and it held to the tick. This is make or break now for bulls. 5482 must reclaim to trigger to 5502, 5511+. If 5438 fails, we sell. Newsletter was just sent out with full plan for FOMC tommorow/MSFT today. tradecompanion.substack.com
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Incredible follow through in #ES_F as we head into earnings. 5438 was support of the multi-day range and sell target/bounce zone. We hit it to the exact tick, and squeezed 42 points.
5482 remains res, bulls must reclaim to see 5502, 5519+. 5438 remains support, and its weak now
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
It doesn't get more precise than that in #ES_F. 5438 has been range support since last Thursday. I posted bulls must push there fast, and we held it to the exact tick and bounced 23 points. Lock in gains lvl to lvl Now, bulls must reclaim 5484 to work back up the range to 5530s
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The grind down the lvls continues in #ES_F as warned hourly, bears control until a resistance reclaims (5547). We are now 120 points down from yesterdays 5630 backtest. ~5511 was next supports down, and we based there 30mins
5502, 5493 next if ES wants. 5511 reclaim could pop
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
We continue down the levels at rapid speed in #ES_F now down 115 points from the 5630 major backtest point yesterday. 5519 was next down, hit. Then 5511, almost here. I will warn again, bears control until a resistance reclaims (5547 now). 5511 major fails, 5502, 5493 next
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✍️✍️ $NVDA
Wow - Well over $1200 now and cruising into the split
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Incredible follow through. Key to remember this rally is no surprise. As posted for 3 days now (and written in newsletter), #ES_F spent the last week forming a perfect bull flag, with 5209 support, 5302 res. It broke out & now at 5341 target.
Keep riding runners until it ends
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Reminder!!
FOMC meeting minutes come out today at 2pm!
$SPY $QQQ $NVDA
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@fluid_capital @AdamMancini4 What time are the fed minute coming out tomorrow?
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@AdamMancini4 @AdamMancini4 still long from this am only runners now 2 left most out at 38 some at 46 now holding 2. Nvda a fed min tomorrow. I feel most thought nvda ER was eod. Lol
Sit on hands and enjoy the day tomorrow brother.
Be blessed 🙌
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It took literally all day, but ~5342 first target just hitin #ES_F. If long, lock in those gains here and leave a runner, one cannot be greedy with profits in a range like this. 5329 is key support still, and its held *12x* now
5347 next, then breakout. 5329 must hold, dip below
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
5329 would be the key support today as posted at 8am in #ES_F, and its been a brick wall, testing *12x* and defending each times (with a couple actionable failed breakdowns below). Magnet. We are coiling, and compression leads to expansion 5342, 5347 when ES is ready. Dip<5320
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Yesterday, #ES_F broke out downtrend line from April. This is what breakouts look like. 5213 was next target, hit 430AM. As posted since Thurs, nothing to do but ride runners until 1st postbreakout dip
Plan: Flagging. 5218, 5230 next. 5197, 5186=supports, no dip until 5186 fails
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
There's 5196 next target hit in #ES_F and I'll say it again keep trailing up the stop on the long runner from Thursday higher, until the move ends We have broken out the April downtrend 5145-50. As always, the first post-breakout dip will be key. 5213 next, same supports
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Clean price action continues in #ES_F. As discussed at length, technicals are clear: As long as the 5242-45 FOMC breakout level holds, we rally, and we did
5269 was 1st target, 5282-84 next, close now. Lock in more here. Big res. Base out here then 5298-5300 above if ES wants
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Excellent follow through and straight forward in #ES_F. Plan was simple, as long as 5242-45 holds, we rally to 5268+. We hel, and rallied to 5268+. Lock in part profits here, let runners go, protect it all day now. 5282-84 is next up, basing zone, then 5300. Same supports apply
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Yesterday, the major sell target/bounce in #ES_F was 5243. This back-tests March 20 FOMC breakout.Took all day, but we finally rallied to 5257 1st target off it. Still here
Plan today: 5242-45=support still (5232 underthrow). Keeps 5268, 5282 (major) live. 5232 fails, hard sell
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
5243-46 was key support today as posted all day, and #ES_F agreed, spending all day there. This back-tests the big FOMC breakout. It took its time, but we finally got a level to level bounce. 5256 was 1st up (hit). Lock in some 5267 next, 5280. 5243-46 must keep holding though
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On Thurs, 5320 (breakout lvl) was my final target in #ES_F as long as ~5300 held. We held 5300, rallied to 5320.75. We retested 5300 4pm Thurs, broke out last night
Plan today: 5316=support. As long as holds, 5329 1st up (breakout), 5337, 5347. 5316 fails, dip 5307, 5300 again
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Closing update #ES_F: Extreme precision today. I gave three targets this morning with 5320 being the final for the day. We hit 5320.75 high of day, dipped. That takes us into the long weekend. Breakout next from here. Newsletter out soon talking triggers Monday (link in X bio)
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Fantastic follow through in #ES_F. 5205+ was next target as posted, we got there overnight. Easy move done, Lock in gains now, CPI in 30 mins. As always, expect traps first 30mins
Plan: 5181, 5168=supports. Must hold on CPI dips to keep 5220, 5248-50 live. 5168 fails, sell 5140
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
There's 5187 next target up in #ES_F hit (5188) then rejected. This was today's final upside target, anything more is just bonus from here to be handled by runners. All eyes on CPI tomorrow now. Bulls want to see basing now, with 5187 reclaim triggering 5205+. 63 fails, we sell
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@AdamMancini4 Adam, thanks for the plan, education, the NL! Cool comparison day traders = hunters, laughed, it's so accurate!
May I ask about this channel inside the megaphone - it seems price respects it, so
can we assume the tighter chop inside the channel and more sustained move out of it?
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