Excalibait

@KrownCryptoCave Agreed. I have built so much with Codex 5.4 and 5.5 on the Pro plan. It is insane

do not underestimate what you can accomplish with light level autism and a $200 chatgpt shubscription

@bitcoinjack Considering how dim witted most people are, if this actually saves lives, I would welcome it.

Buying an old car will become a flex

@bitcoinjack @Dr_NEOphyte They nerf 4.6 to feel like 4.7 is awesome. There will be improvement no doubt, but I find that Claude/OpenAI do this shit every time.

I was running 4.6 on steroids, maxing 5 hour limits in 2 hours, now with Opus 4.7 I get better results doing the vision, planning, deep spec work, coordination of the implementation that gets executed per ticket by Sonnet, at significantly lower cost, roughly maxing my 5 hour window in 5 hours

Opus 4.7 really thinks on another level

@bitcoinjack Have you tried Codex 5.4 xhigh? It’s very good.

Claude login is telling me it is experiencing downtime but their status page says all systems operational Did they vibecode their status page?

@law_ninja 100% agree. Also a lot of muggles will hate this post because it will challenge their core beliefs and thinking. Excellent post

Think about what the Indian education system actually trained you for. Memorize the textbook. Reproduce it in the exam. Don't ask why. Don't challenge the teacher. Don't try a different method. Just follow the process. CBSE. ICSE. State board. Didn't matter. The output was the same: obedient instruction-followers. Now look at what AI does better than any human alive: follow instructions. Perfectly. Without complaining. Without needing chai breaks. Without asking for a raise. The entire value proposition of the "good student" has been automated. This is not a future prediction. This is happening right now. Fresher IT hiring: 600,000 in FY22. Down to 120,000 in FY25. An 80% drop in three years. (Source: Xpheno) Who got cut first? The instruction-followers. The ones who could write code from a spec but never questioned the spec. The ones who were "reliable" but never "original." TCS didn't cut 12,000 people because they were bad at following instructions. They cut them because AI follows instructions better. Now look at who is thriving. The kid who dropped out and built a SaaS tool from his hostel room in Indore. The CA who learned n8n and now automates entire accounting workflows for 15 clients. The lawyer who taught himself prompt engineering and drafts contracts 10x faster than his seniors. None of them were "good students" in the traditional sense. Most of them were told they were wasting their time. Building side projects when they should have been studying. Questioning the syllabus when they should have been memorizing it. Tinkering with tools when they should have been preparing for placements. The education system called them unfocused. Undisciplined. Rebels. Turns out, they were training for exactly this moment. Here's why rebellion is now a career strategy: Curiosity beats compliance. AI can follow a process. It cannot ask "why does this process exist?" The person who questions the workflow is the one who can redesign it. Side projects beat degrees. A portfolio of things you built matters more than a transcript of things you memorized. Every side project is proof that you can create, not just consume. Cross-disciplinary thinking beats specialization. The most valuable person in any company right now is not the best coder or the best accountant. It is the person who understands the business process AND knows which AI tool can automate it. That person was never produced by a single department syllabus. Comfort with failure beats perfection. The education system punished mistakes. AI rewards experimentation. Every failed prompt, every broken workflow, every crashed automation is a lesson that no textbook contains. The "AI Workflow Architect" I keep talking about? That person is almost never the class topper. That person is the one who was always building things on the side. Who was always asking "what if we did it differently?" Who was always told they were distracted. They were not distracted. They were exploring. India has 1.5 million lawyers drowning in manual work. 63 million MSMEs running on WhatsApp and Excel. Thousands of CA firms where article clerks work until 2 AM doing things AI can do in 3 minutes. The people who will fix this are not the ones who memorized the Companies Act section by section. They are the ones who thought "there has to be a better way" and actually went looking for it. The skill set is learnable. In months, not years. Prompt engineering: 2 weeks Claude Code: 3-4 weeks API basics, connecting tools: 3-4 weeks Understanding a business process and mapping it: ongoing Three months of focused learning. No CS degree needed. No advanced Python. But you need one thing the education system tried very hard to beat out of you: The willingness to question everything. The education system told you to sit down. AI told you to stand up. The rebels were right all along.

@MetaSignals It also bleeds you with a thousand cuts. It punishes lack of patience and conviction.

The market doesn't punish small losses. It punishes the ego that refuses to accept them.

@RokoMijic What essentially happens is that govt/insti step in to add "process/framework" to the mix so that they can cut their share of profits. This balloons out of control under the premise of "maturing the fruit" (innovation vs maturity tradeoff) and strangles progress.

Many people don't understand just how brutal diminishing returns in theoretical physics were. Physics barely existed before 1820. After 1970, there was essentially nothing left to discover. In 1819 there were probably less than 100 full-time paid physicists in the whole world. By 2026 there are probably about a million physicists across academia and industry, and that number was already huge in the 1970s when physics sort of "ended" with QCD and electroweak unification. A small, brave band of gentlemen-scholars and amateurs worked out the most important parts of physical law in the 1800s. People doing it as a hobby! Today, vast armies of professionals equipped with supercomputers toil away in the quantum gravity dungeon, unable to make progress. Diminishing returns are brutal.

@filbfilb Yup. Looking at 50-53k bottom formation.

... However, deviation history suggests that there will likely be another dump at some stage. Notice how there's normally weeks and weeks to go in the bottoming process (ex. covid)

Update - finally reached a level where things typically slow down a little...

@trading_axe $ASTER

I know CZ is seeing Jeff do a MADNESS with HYPE right now and he's SEETHING BIGLY. It takes a narc to know a narc. I'm a reformed narc these days. I WAS a narc because I'm extremely handsome, But then I learnt how to kill the ego. It's a weird feeling walking around in random towns and being "scouted" left and right by modelling agencies. Thank you for the card, but I'm GOOD. CZ is one of those guys who will NEVER kill "the" ego. His worst vice is HAVING to be the face of crypto. Unless he's in the SPOTLIGHT 24/7 for anything and everything crypto related, His mind is not at rest. You think he's sitting there relaxed and feels no type of way about Jeffery Yan? Another Asian too? Do you understand how Asians function? CZ's parents are telling him right now that he's bringing SHAME to his family that ANOTHER ASIAN is doing better than him. YEARS OF BUILT UP CHILDHOOD NEGLECTION. He's getting PTSD flashbacks to his school days getting straight A's and his parents saying it's not good enough. The Asian "race" in itself has a social order. It is THEM VERSUS EACH OTHER. Why do you think it's IRAN VS IRAQ, PAKISTAN VS INDIA, RUSSIA VS UKRAINE and so many other examples? INTERNAL RACE COMPETITION. This is WAY DEEPER than just crypto. I expect CZ to be COOKING UP in the kitchen right now and I ain't talking about sushi or noodles. ~ Dr. Axius.

@filbfilb I have placed a punt on JP because the odds on AJ are terrible. Might as not well bet if siding with AJ lol

@CaptToblerone Looking at the past fractals, the older chart makes more sense. Down to 0.15, then up to 1, slow bleed down to 0.30, and then up.

$FET - Chart update.

@woof_gbbarkoff @GMB @susannareid100 @edballs Vote bank.

@GMB @susannareid100 @edballs I dont understand why the child benefit cap has been lifted but not capped again - I get that families are struggling but having less kids will ease the burden. Why not set the cap at 3 or 4 kids or have a sliding scale per child?

'How can anyone believe anything you say?' @susannareid100 and @edballs question Chancellor Rachel Reeves on being accused of breaking promises this morning after announcing a budget which could see millions of workers pay more tax.

@Crypto_Chase Hype unlock. Also a big sell order was twapped by High Stakes Capital which caused additional sell volume. A big whale got liquidated on his hype long which contributed to this whole move.

$HYPE update En route. Although, I'm not a fan of how price action was artificially held up for days while $BTC was crashing. Makes me think there was some major distribution going on and now they let the floor give way. I'd be interested in $23.26~ liquidity level. And yes I know that wick is not on all exchanges, idc about the wick, it's about a sweep of the consolidation on the left into demand.

@trading_axe @bloss_garrett Yes. Could be July/Aug 2023 cluster or complacency shoulder. But I too believe that BTC.D will drop to 50 or lower soon and then BTC rally will help TOTAL3 break above previous high. Let’s see

It's trading into the first HTF structural support zone, 100K or 90K was psychological support but really nothing tangible backing it. Now it's really at a demand zone - so buyers stepping in soon for a lil Santa rally is more likely. If it's a complacency shoulder followed by more down after, then previous cycle ATH as support makes more sense than 40K. Shabbat Shalom. ~ Dr. Axius.

MANY PEOPLE are asking for my MARKET THOUGHTS. Most of the onchain/trench kids who SPAWNED into existence in 2023 [after SOL started picking up speed] DO NOT KNOW what 2022~ entailed. It was an INFINITE MONEY CHEATCODE to be shorting FDV shitcoins [and during that time, there were SO MANY free shorts because of how parabolic 2021 was]. Nowadays, there's not really TOO MUCH considering everyone realized long ago that 99.9% of VC coins are scams [hence why onchain became so big]. So you've either had people short BTC / ETH / SOL with size, Or you've had people obtain information about XYZ team unwinding the supply of a coin and they position short for that. Shorting 100m~ FDV shitcoins isn't really enticing. It requires a lot of mental work [assuming it's size] to supervise altcoin shorts when there are 100 different variables that could play against you [scam pumps etc.] THE GAME IS NOT THE SAME. Not to say you can't do it, maybe I'm just too lazy these days. BUT. Relative to BTC, some alts are STILL showing outlier strength. So when BTC finds a footing, You can either SELL into that pump and treat it as a complacency shoulder [the mean reversions if you're holding spot will outperform all short sellers], Or you can hold and wait to see if BTC gets above the 10/10 wick it set [in which case, you'd have likely bought the bottom on some alts leading into 2026]. If you've been here before, you know higher is preordained no matter what - so who cares? If you've played with more than you could afford to lose and not taken a single cent off the table, Blame yourself only. ~ Dr. Axius.

@lookonchain How much more does it have? A few weeks ago he had over 40k

This #BitcoinOG(1011short) deposited another 665.9 BTC($55.18M) to #Binance over the past 3 hours. intel.arkm.com/explorer/addre… x.com/lookonchain/st…

@lookonchain BlackCock deposits the most. Once you go black, you can’t go back.

BlackRock just deposited another 4,198 $BTC($348M) and 43,237 $ETH($117M) to #CoinbasePrime. intel.arkm.com/explorer/entit…

@sell9000 If Asia keeps dumping on Japan news, speed run to 53k. My bags are down. I am not short. But the monthly RSI has not reached a low yet, and bear divs are playing out. It is what it is.

@CastilloTrading Considering how funding is staying flat but OI up and price down, it’s clear that someone has a big short open from top and is selling spot to liquidate big positions from 80-805k and then they might close their short as well. Annoying, but CEXs control crypto

They are just dog walking this shit down on us right now. $BTC #Bitcoin

@mlmabc @bnshiv23 Did you manual add those entries/markers in HL, or does hypurrscan also show an orderbook sort of layout? Sorry if it’s a noon question. I can see his position in the perps tab

@bnshiv23 No, he placed an order $5 above price at his liquidation price to close 10% of the position

Market’s so dead that no one cares about a $70M+ ZEC short on 12x leverage, with liquidation sitting <5% away for two days straight lmao. hypurrscan.io/address/0xaafc… hypurrscan.io/address/0x26cc… hypurrscan.io/address/0xc072… hypurrscan.io/address/0x7b7b…

@Crypto_Chase Looks like Binance stopped selling spot

$BTC LTF PA Frontrunning that local low is a good sign. Want to see that left unfilled and can be convinced of a local bottom. Once a bottom is in, you want price to move away quickly, not give easy technical retests etc.