Private Amit retweetledi
Private Amit
360 posts
Private Amit
@IROLLEK
Private Chatting Account breaking down tech, business, & stocks $PLTR
youtube ➡️ Katılım Aralık 2012
1.5K Takip Edilen842 Takipçiler
Private Amit retweetledi
well Mr. President, you are now getting a lower stock market and higher oil prices today 😂
amit@amitisinvesting
TRUMP: “You know, I thought oil prices would be up more and the stock market would be down more after the war. I guess the American people have faith in me.”
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Private Amit retweetledi
As ugly as this market has been, here's a pretty crazy statistic...
From Jan 1st to March 26th of this year, the S&P $SPX has had 29 out of 58 days close red. 50% of the year has been red and the index is down 4.2% YTD.
From Jan 1st to March 26th of 2025...
1. The S&P was down 10.2%, significantly worse than the current decline.
2. 61% of days, 35 out of 57, were red. 11% more than the 50% of red days this year.
As ugly as this market feels, likely because of the whiplash up and down based on the war headlines, last year was worse during the same time period.
Hopefully 2026 doesn't get as bad as 2025.
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Private Amit retweetledi
SPY loses $650
time to bust out the peter lynch clips
just exhausting
i will say, the covered call has helped this year if you aren't actively transitioning your entire portfolio into new themes every week
for the people buying calls on the idea that we will break out...all i can say is thank you for letting me sell them to you because id rather be stuck having to roll a position if we do get some huge V shape vs not getting SOME premium from the market when we chop every single week
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Private Amit retweetledi
@FLOTUS First lady posting about humanoids
@Figure_robot so bullish congrats 🙏
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Private Amit retweetledi
Well, we do have some official confirmation now from the White House that a framework agreement to negotiate a ceasefire was sent to Iran.
Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt refuses to say who the agreement was sent to or the content of the reported 15-point plan, but it does seem like conversations are happening.
The Iranians, obviously, are rejecting all conversations and have substantial demands (including the complete end of war and reparations) to even begin negotiating, but part of the reason the market may have been green today is on the belief that there are *some* level of discussions taking place.
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Private Amit retweetledi
Private Amit retweetledi
IRAN RESPONDS TO THE US 15-POINT AGREEMENT:
- Iran rejects ceasefire, says it will not negotiate with parties that violated agreements
- Will only end the war after achieving strategic goals
- Accuses Israeli journalists in Western media of spreading propaganda and denies any direct or indirect talks with the U.S.
This is according to the Fars News Agency, essentially the official media outlet of the IRGC.
Now, there are two scenarios here:
1) Iran is actually negotiating but denying all negotiations to place maximum pressure on the US so that credit markets continue to price in further escalation which could make Trump give more concessions
2) There are zero negotiations happening, there is no peace deal in place, all of the reporting on this has been wrong and the war is continuing like it was before any of these headlines came in.
If it’s the latter, markets may start to give up the move they made yesterday after hours. If Iran is just saying this to create more leverage and markets figure that out, then the idea of a ceasefire becomes more real and potentially could get priced in to a greater extent than the move we saw yesterday.
amit@amitisinvesting
BREAKING: The United States has sent a 15-point agreement with terms to a one month ceasefire to Iran, as per the New York Times. The exact terms have not been disclosed but broad ideas are around Iran giving up full control of their nuclear weapons and the US lifting sanctions.
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Private Amit retweetledi
$HOOD
ROBINHOOD INCREASES BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM $400M TO $1.5B.
“Robinhood is a generational company with a massive long-term opportunity,” said Shiv Verma, Chief Financial Officer of Robinhood. “This authorization reflects the confidence of our management team and board in our ability to continue delivering innovative products for customers and creating value for shareholders while returning capital over time.”
Robinhood bought back $1.1B of stock, 25M shares, at an avg price of $45 over the past two years.
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Private Amit retweetledi
BREAKING: The United States has sent a 15-point agreement with terms to a one month ceasefire to Iran, as per the New York Times.
The exact terms have not been disclosed but broad ideas are around Iran giving up full control of their nuclear weapons and the US lifting sanctions.
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Private Amit retweetledi
TRUMP:
- WE ARE NEGOTIATING WITH IRAN, MARCO AND JD ARE INVOLVED
- THEY REALLY WANT TO MAKE A DEAL
- IRAN HAS ALREADY AGREED TO US THAT THEY WILL NEVER DEVELOP A NUCLEAR WEAPON
once again, Trump is explicitly admitting that negotiations are real and a deal could happen
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Private Amit retweetledi
$NVDA
“Is it possible for NVIDIA to be a, you know, $3 trillion revenues company in the near future? The answer is of course yes. And the reason for that is because it’s not limited by any physical limits. There’s nothing that I see that says, you know, gosh, $3 trillion is not possible."
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Private Amit retweetledi
$IGV
SaaS down again today is just becoming exhausting.
Why? Claude released a new tool that got 40M views in 12 hours. More automation workflows for people.
Which makes the market think more workflows will leave enterprise adoption from $CRM $NOW $ADBE and the other major players…including $MSFT which is now at its lows of the year.
Nothing Jensen can say, nothing the software companies can say, no amount of buybacks…it is all now rooted in how the algos perceive software vs AI.
Once again, if Anthropic is gonna replace every software name…that needs a TON of compute. That should means semis are up today but they aren’t. Doesn’t make sense but it is the nature of the choppiness of the market.
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Private Amit retweetledi
$NVDA
First post in a few weeks — will be getting to a regular posting schedule again starting this week.
I am doubling down on Nvidia. I like that the market hates the name because either the market will be right or Jensen will continue to blow everyone away.
This really does feel like one of the better risk rewards in the market, assuming the macro stays somewhat stable, and the core premise around this is that we simply don't have enough compute.
Article (as always no paywall) linked below ⬇️
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Private Amit retweetledi
Private Amit retweetledi
TRUMP:
- IRAN WANTS TO SETTLE, WE'LL GET IT DONE, I HOPE
- VERY GOOD DISCUSSIONS WITH IRAN
- THIS TIME, IRAN MEANS BUSINESS
This is the 3rd time today that Trump has spoken to the media about wanting to get a deal done with Iran.
He is either seriously trying to find an offramp or really trying to calm the bond markets down…or both.
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Private Amit retweetledi
$GRAB
Grab gets a fair intrinsic value of $7.25 from Type-F Capital.
Emir @em013L is one of the strongest retail analysts and his equity reports look like they cost $10,000.
Feels institutional grade.
You can download the report (for free) from his substack below ⬇️
amit@amitisinvesting
$GRAB GRAB IS EXPANDING TO TAIWAN. They are scooping up FoodPanda’s delivery business in the region for $600M with the deal expected to close in H2 2026. Okay, I really like this. Here’s why: 1. The company has $6B in cash. We have been waiting for them to start using it in more strategic ways and this is one of the first expansions outside of SEA that makes sense given how synergistic the acquisition is to Grab’s overall business of delivery. Spending the cash pile they have on growth and expansion, especially if they can get discounted deals, is very good. 2. $UBER tried to buy this business for $1.25B last year. Regulators didn’t allow it. Grab is getting a 50% discount. 3. FoodPanda Taiwan did around $1.8B in GMV and is also profitable on an adjusted. EBITDA basis from last year. $GRAB did $14.2B of GMV last year so for $600M, they are adding 12% of GMV to the business in a profitable way. I really, really like this use of cash. Ultimately, I own $GRAB for the broader thesis around the SuperApp becoming much bigger and more entrenched in different parts of the world. They have the cash, are guiding for 20% topline and 40% ebitda growth for the next 3 years, and can use these deals to consolidate within various regions to create continued operating leverage. Their fintech business is going to begin showing significant leverage this year as well which should compound the overall growth. At these prices, I do think the stock is intrinsically undervalued BUT it is not in the thematic of drones/nuclear/energy/etc and the rising oil prices have been a very ugly headwind for them. Probably better opportunities out there short term but long term, these are the types of moves that continue to give me confidence as a shareholder.
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Private Amit retweetledi
The bond market is not pretty right now.
The 10-year US treasury just passed 4.43%.
Yields across the world are spiking.
Many people are wondering how Gold & Silver, which are supposed to be safehavens during these times, are now down more than 25% from their peaks…
The answer is in bond yields.
If the cost of capital goes up (people sell bonds, pushing the yield to own a bond higher) then risk assets get hit. It’s hard to take the risk and buy stocks when you could do nothing and get 4.45% guaranteed from the US government, which is 90 basis points above the Federal Funds Rate.
Gold and Silver have become risk assets. I know they shouldn’t be, but when anything starts fluctuating 5-7% DAILY, it has turned into speculation more than a safe haven. These assets, just like $BTC and growth stocks, are now being hit.
The worst thing about all of this is that if oil continues to stay elevated…and people sell off stocks…AND people sell off bonds…then we are just going to see higher inflation with no demand for bonds to bring it down because the credit markets will be demanding a higher yield. At the same time, if equity markets won’t be buying stocks, you’ll see yields going up and stocks going down at the same time which is a recipe for disaster.
Trump knows this. It’s exactly what got him to pivot during April last year.
I wonder how long he lets this continue, but at some point…the credit markets will dictate how bad this gets.
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Private Amit retweetledi
Private Amit retweetledi
first time I ever vibe coded something today
basic website to centralize information around the channel, meetups, etc. in one place
but it took an hour…and I didn’t see one line of code
at some point I even yelled at Claude to fix a mistake that kept popping up and it was then fixed…felt like a product manager yelling at an engineer lol
imagining use cases for the enterprise with this tech makes you realize how early we are…
i pay $20/month but if it said I had ran out of credits…I would have no choice but to buy more, there’s no way I wouldn’t have which explains why the foundation model companies are growing so quick, especially with the coding usecase
all of it flows back to $NVDA and the semis…
macro is holding everything down but this trend is not going backwards…we are going higher
website below ⬇️
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