IUAENA

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IUAENA

IUAENA

@IUAEDINA

I enjoy sharing my investment Journal and Insights in Traditional Chinese, English, and Korean. Trade idea & records in X post; Detailed insight in X article.

Strawberry Moon Katılım Şubat 2025
21 Takip Edilen148 Takipçiler
铁手
铁手@0427SMtieshou·
我打赌特朗普爱死这个调调了。 老头在心里盘算,在美国找到这么多身高身材都差不多的军人太难找了。 🤣🤣🤣🤣
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
@JEFE__TRADES I highly recommend you to be a good man, don't do deception.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
“Robotics may be the biggest product category of all time” - $CDNS CEO. “The projection is $25 trillion. The whole GDP of the world is $110 trillion. So this is huge if this happens.” Extremely bullish on robotics/humanoids directionally. But maybe it’s time for $TSLA and America to really start prioritizing how we build it outside Chinese supply chains?
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$GLDM I just added GLDM at $92.4
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$ILMN I just bought a little bit ILMN at $145 since all SMA is keeping bullish parallel momentum
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$TSLA x.com/i/status/20539… Especially with the stock price holding steady in the $400 - $407 range, we’re officially sitting above all the moving averages. 📈 Yesterday, the 10 SMA curved up and crossed right over the 200 SMA. It really feels like the big money is flowing back into TSLA. 💰 Right now, I’m looking for the price to chop around between $440 and $470, ideally carving out a higher high above that latest support zone ($430 - $440). We already saw that higher low back at $370. Once we get that higher high and the rest of the SMAs clear the 200 SMA, the next TSLA bull run is officially back on! 🚀🌕 특히 주가가 400~407달러 구간에서 확실히 자리를 잡으면서 모든 이동평균선 위로 올라왔네요. 📈 어제는 우상향하던 10일 이평선(10 SMA)이 200일 이평선(200 SMA)을 상향 돌파했습니다. 테슬라(TSLA)로 다시 자금이 유입되는 분위기네요. 💰 이제 주가가 440~470달러 사이에서 등락을 반복하며 박스권을 형성하길 기대하고 있어요. 최근 지지선인 430~440달러 위에서 새로운 고점(Higher High)을 만들어주는 게 핵심인데, 저점(Higher Low)은 이미 370달러에서 확인됐거든요. 새로운 고점이 찍히고 나머지 이평선들까지 200 SMA를 뚫어준다면, 테슬라의 다음 강세장이 본격적으로 시작될 것 같습니다! 🚀🌕
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
@Dog_Ziller I actually think $AMZN for robotics is extremely underrated. Since since there’s immediate practical upside to lower opex + headcount for automation. But for general purpose $TSLA, Unitree, Figure, Boston Dynamics, Agibot, Agility, and others should do well.
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
I noticed that you are a long-term investor in EOSE. I believe you understand EOSE better than I do. Anyway, congratulations on your substantial returns! After all, EOSE's stock price has risen significantly. I am also very optimistic about targets in the energy and power grid sectors myself. I wish you continued success and substantial returns with EOSE.❤️
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Richard Sullivan
Richard Sullivan@Rsulli6300·
@IUAEDINA Couple of observations : if you participate in the warrant offering you will not be diluted , the doe owes eose 80 % of the cost of line 2 , the mark to market creating a profit is legitimate accounting but is a non cash transaction, it increased losses in other quarters
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$EOSE investors.eose.com/node/12886/pdf investors.eose.com/static-files/1… 以下是 U妹對EOSE 財報的解析: 先來總結!我今次的EOSE操作完全是純技術分析的博弈,只是swing trade而不是長期持有的。EOSE 不宜高追,只能pull back時加倉,所以我等待到$9.8 才加了倉。 ⚔️ 一、 獲利假象與現金流真相:別被「會計魔法」騙了 管理層在首頁大肆宣揚本季「歸屬股東淨利達 5.08 億美元」。這數字合理嗎?一家單季營收才 5,700 萬美元、毛利率還是負數的公司,怎麼可能賺 5 億? 🚩 非現金項目的幻術: 攤開損益表一看,這 5.08 億的淨利完全來自於高達 6.01 億美元的衍生品公允價值變動 (Change in fair value of derivatives)。這是因為期末股價變動所產生的「非現金 (Non-cash)」帳面調整。U妹認為「會計利潤」絕不等於「現金」。 🩸 見血的本業營運: 剔除這些金融魔法,EOSE 第一季的營業利潤 (Operating income) 是慘烈的虧損 7,931 萬美元。 🔥 恐怖的現金焚化爐: 看看現金流量表,Q1 經營活動現金流 (Cash from Ops) 是負的 1.19 億美元 (流出 1.19 億)。公司一個季度就燒掉了超過一億美元的現金。即是帳面說賺錢,口袋裡的錢卻在狂噴。 🛡️ 二、 營運槓桿與製造端:少數能看的硬核數據 U妹剔除掉糟糕的財技,EOSE 在本業的「製造與交付」上,確實展現了一點營運槓桿 (Operating Leverage) 的曙光。 💡 營收與積壓訂單兌現: Q1 營收 5,700 萬美元,創下 445% 的年增長。這證明他們真的有在把 6.44 億美元的積壓訂單 (Backlog) 轉換為實際的交貨(電池模塊自動化與 5.7 倍的 Cube 交付量)。 🔧 成本控制與效率提升: 這才是 U妹愛看的數據!直接人工成本 (Direct Labor per Cube) 下降了 16%,間接人工成本暴降 54%。這使得毛利率從去年的 -235% 大幅改善到 -78%。雖然「賣一塊錢還要虧七毛八」依然是個糟糕的生意,但至少出血量正在顯著減少,證明自動化生產線 (Line 1) 正在發揮規模效應,Line 2 的啟動進度也符合預期。 ⚡ 技術指標改善: 導入 DawnOS 後,電池的往返效率 (RTE) 顯著提升並穩定在 70%-80% 區間,這為其 LDES(長時儲能)技術的商業化提供了底氣。 🚩 三、 資本操作的終極警報:Frontier Power USA 與股權攤薄 管理層大張旗鼓宣布與私募巨頭 Cerberus 成立合資企業 "Frontier Power USA",看似找到了大金主,但魔鬼全在細節裡: 🕸️ 左手換右手的訂單: Frontier Power USA 剛成立,就給了 EOSE 一個 2 GWh 的產能保留協議。這等於是 Eos 自己參與出資的公司,向自己買電池來撐大 Backlog。 💸 散戶買單的供股計畫 (Rights Offering): Cerberus 出資 1 億美元,但 EOSE需要承諾出資 1.5 億美元。EOSE哪來的錢?財報中明寫著:將透過 「供股 (Rights Offering)」 來籌集資金。這意味著公司即將大量發行新股,嚴重攤薄現有股東的權益 (Share Issuance)。 ⚠️ Rite Aid 式的死亡螺旋預警: U妹認為最危險的信號組合就是:「無實質盈餘 + 負自由現金流 + 不斷發行新股要錢」。EOSE 目前完全命中了這個組合。合資公司的成立本質上是為了將項目融資移出資產負債表,但代價是犧牲現有股東的股權價值。 🎯 四、 U妹定調 這份財報對華爾街來說,究竟表現如何? U妹的最終判定是:「勉強及格,但暗藏滿滿紅旗 🚩」 結論與股價趨勢暗示: 業務面(及格): 營收增速和製造效率確實有在兌現管理層過去畫的餅,如果能維持到年底,達到 3-4 億美元的指引是有可能的。 財務面(不及格): 掩耳盜鈴的淨利數字無法掩蓋單季狂燒 1.19 億美元現金的事實。 籌碼面(極度危險): 明確預告了為了合資公司將進行 Rights Offering(供股)。在華爾街,這等於在股價上方懸了一把劍。大規模的股權攤薄即將到來。 U妹戰術建議: 不要被表面的 5 億淨利和 445% 增長騙進去追高。在供股定價和稀釋程度明朗化之前,這檔股票的上方充滿了籌碼壓力。基本面雖然在製造端有改善,但目前的現金消耗率和依賴市場提款的行為,讓它完全不具備長期投資的安全邊際。
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
Spot on! Participating prevents dilution, the DOE funding is a massive catalyst, and the GAAP accounting is standard. My goal was just to look past the headline profit to the actual cash flow. I'm not denying EOSE's long-term value at all—I'm just trading it strictly as a short-term swing trade!
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IUAENA
IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$ZS 看來股價已完成FVG (Fair Value Gap) filling而等待重新上升。我剛在$148.8 再次加倉ZS Looks like the price action has finished filling the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and is gearing up for another leg up! 🚀📈 Just added more $ZS to my position at $148.80 💰💎 주가가 FVG(공정가치갭) 채우기를 마무리하고 다시 상승할 준비를 하는 것 같네요! 🚀📈 방금 $148.8에 $ZS 추매 완료했습니다 💰💎
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
Rite Aid-style Death Spiral Warning: Uaena believes the most dangerous combination of signals is: "No substantive earnings + negative free cash flow + continuous issuance of new shares for funding." EOSE currently hits every mark in this combination. The formation of the joint venture is essentially a way to move project financing off the balance sheet, but the cost is sacrificing the equity value of current shareholders. 🎯 IV. Uaena’s Verdict How did this earnings report actually perform in the eyes of Wall Street? Uaena’s final verdict is: "Barely passing, but full of hidden red flags 🚩" Conclusion and Stock Price Trend Implications: Business Operations (Passing): Revenue growth and manufacturing efficiency are indeed delivering on the promises management made in the past. If this can be maintained until the end of the year, reaching the $300-$400 million guidance is possible. Financials (Failing): Deceptive net profit figures cannot mask the reality of burning $119 million in cash in a single quarter. Share Structure (Extremely Dangerous): The clear announcement of a Rights Offering for the joint venture hangs like a sword over the stock price in Wall Street's eyes. Massive share dilution is imminent. Uaena’s Tactical Advice: Do not be fooled by the surface-level $500 million net profit and 445% growth into chasing the high. Until the pricing and dilution level of the rights offering become clear, there will be significant overhead pressure on this stock. While the fundamentals show improvement on the manufacturing side, the current cash burn rate and the habit of relying on the market for funding mean it completely lacks a margin of safety for long-term investment.
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$EOSE investors.eose.com/node/12886/pdf investors.eose.com/static-files/1… Below is Uaena's analysis of EOSE's earnings: Let’s start with a summary! My recent EOSE play was purely a technical analysis bet; it was a swing trade rather than a long-term hold. EOSE is not suitable for chasing highs and should only be added to on pullbacks, so I waited until $9.80 to add to my position. ⚔️ I. The Illusion of Profit vs. The Truth of Cash Flow: Don’t be Fooled by "Accounting Magic" Management touted a "Net Income Attributable to Shareholders of $508 million" on the front page this quarter. Is this figure reasonable? How can a company with only $57 million in quarterly revenue and a negative gross margin possibly earn $500 million? 🚩 The Illusion of Non-Cash Items: A look at the income statement reveals that this $508 million net profit stems entirely from a $601 million "Change in fair value of derivatives." This is a "non-cash" book adjustment resulting from stock price fluctuations at the end of the period. Uaena believes that "accounting profit" is never equal to "cash." 🩸 Bloody Core Operations: Stripping away these financial magic tricks, EOSE’s operating income for the first quarter was a disastrous loss of $79.31 million. 🔥 The Terrifying Cash Incinerator: Looking at the cash flow statement, Q1 Cash from Ops was negative $119 million (a $119 million outflow). The company burned through over $100 million in cash in a single quarter. In other words, while the books show a profit, the wallet is bleeding out. 🛡️ II. Operating Leverage and the Manufacturing Side: The Few Hardcore Data Points Worth Noting After stripping away the poor financial engineering, Uaena sees that EOSE has indeed shown a glimmer of hope in "manufacturing and delivery" through operating leverage. 💡 Revenue and Backlog Fulfillment: Q1 revenue hit $57 million, marking a 445% year-over-year growth. This proves they are actually converting their $644 million backlog into real deliveries (battery module automation and a 5.7x increase in Cube deliveries). 🔧 Cost Control and Efficiency Gains: This is the data Uaena loves to see! Direct labor cost per Cube decreased by 16%, while indirect labor costs plummeted by 54%. This led to a significant improvement in gross margin from -235% last year to -78%. Although "losing 78 cents for every dollar sold" is still a terrible business, the rate of bleeding is at least slowing down significantly, proving that the automated production line (Line 1) is achieving economies of scale, and the progress of Line 2 is as expected. ⚡ Improvement in Technical Indicators: Following the implementation of DawnOS, the battery's Round-Trip Efficiency (RTE) has significantly improved and stabilized in the 70%-80% range, providing a foundation for the commercialization of its LDES (Long Duration Energy Storage) technology. 🚩 III. The Ultimate Alarm on Capital Operations: Frontier Power USA and Share Dilution Management grandly announced a joint venture, "Frontier Power USA," with private equity giant Cerberus. It seems like they’ve found a major backer, but the devil is in the details: 🕸️ Left-Hand to Right-Hand Orders: Frontier Power USA was just established and immediately gave EOSE a 2 GWh capacity reservation agreement. This essentially means a company Eos helped fund is buying batteries from Eos to inflate the backlog. 💸 A Rights Offering Paid for by Retail Investors: Cerberus is contributing $100 million, but EOSE needs to commit $150 million. Where will EOSE get the money? The earnings report clearly states it will be raised through a "Rights Offering." This means the company is about to issue a large number of new shares, which will severely dilute the equity of existing shareholders (Share Issuance). ⚠️
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$EOSE I consider to add more bet $9.25 - $9.89 (FVG)
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$EOSE x.com/i/status/20441… 在盤前挾著驚人的成交量大幅跳空高開,形成了一個教科書式的 BGU(可買入的跳空高開)。📈🔥 ​我在四月份交易 EOSE 時賺取了豐厚的利潤,並在昨天以 $8.20 重新買入。目前,我擁有非常充裕的獲利空間。💰😎 ​我將 EOSE 的最新支撐區間更新為 $7.9 - $8.5。🛡️ ​開市後我會密切關注價格走勢。如果我們看到 FVG(公允價值缺口)被回補,並且價格回調至跳空前的前期高位($9)尋獲支撐,我肯定會考慮加倉。👀🚀 $EOSE is gapping up huge in the pre-market with crazy volume, setting up a textbook BGU (Buyable Gap Up). 📈🔥 I made some solid profit trading EOSE back in April, and I bought back in yesterday at $8.20. Right now, I'm sitting on a really comfortable profit cushion. 💰😎 I'm updating my newest support zone for EOSE to $7.9 - $8.5. 🛡️ I'll be watching the price action closely after the open. If we see an FVG (Fair Value Gap) fill and the price pulls back to find support at the pre-gap prior high ($9), I'll definitely consider adding to my position. 👀🚀 $EOSE 프리마켓에서 엄청난 거래량과 함께 급등하며 BGU (Buyable Gap Up) 셋업을 형성하고 있네요. 📈🔥 지난 4월에 EOSE로 수익을 냈었는데, 어제 $8.2에 다시 진입했습니다. 지금은 충분히 든든한 수익 쿠션(profit cushion)을 확보한 상태예요. 💰😎 현재 EOSE의 새로운 지지선 구간을 $7.9 - $8.5 로 업데이트합니다. 🛡️ 개장 후 주가 흐름을 유심히 지켜볼 예정입니다. 만약 FVG (Fair Value Gap) 채우기 흐름이 나오면서 주가가 갭 발생 전의 전고점($9)까지 풀백(Pull back)한 후 지지를 잘 받아준다면, 비중 확대를 고려해 볼 생각입니다. 👀🚀
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IUAENA@IUAEDINA

$EOSE Q1 Preliminary Data: 🚀 Rev $56M-$57M (Strong growth) 📈 Yield +22% | Line length -40% ✅ Fixed Q4 bottlenecks ​Technicals: Golden cross (10/20 SMA) with 2x avg volume. Trade: Long @ $6.37 Stop Loss @ $5.5. investors.eose.com/news-releases

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IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$PLTR 在2026年5月4日業績公佈後的下跌之後,$135的控制點(POC)看起來非常穩固。在過去的四個交易日裡,價格就像磁鐵一樣緊貼著$135至138的區間,而真實波動幅度均值(ATR)則持續收窄。🧲 PLTR目前正處於經典的波動率擠壓(Volatility Squeeze)尾聲。🍋 10天、20天和50天簡單移動平均線(SMA)全部糾結在一起,價格只是在這些平均線附近反覆震盪。這顯示中短期趨勢已經失去了方向感,正在等待催化劑出現。🧭 ATR明顯處於低位並呈下降趨勢。這種暴風雨前的平靜通常不會持續太久。ATR降得越低,最終的突破往往就越具爆發力。⚡️ MACD:在零軸附近徘徊,柱狀圖很短。沒有明顯的看漲或看跌動能。 RSI:處於40-50之間,基本上是一個偏弱的中性區域。📉 我一直持續在135到136之間加倉。我現在已經滿倉了,所以會坐穩靜觀其變。🧘‍♀️📈 $PLTR After the 2026-05-04 earnings dip, the $135 Point of Control (POC) is looking incredibly solid. Over the last four trading sessions, the price has been glued to the $135-$138 range like a magnet, with the ATR (Average True Range) continuing to tighten. 🧲 PLTR is currently sitting at the end of a classic Volatility Squeeze. 🍋 The SMA 10, 20, and 50 are all bunched together, and the price is just oscillating around these averages. This shows that short and medium-term trends have lost their sense of direction and are just waiting for a catalyst. 🧭 The ATR is visibly low and trending down. This kind of calm before the storm usually doesn't last long. The lower the ATR gets, the more explosive the eventual breakout tends to be. ⚡️ MACD: Hovering around the zero line with tiny bars. No clear bullish or bearish momentum. RSI: Sitting between 40-50, which is basically a weak neutral zone. 📉 I’ve been adding to my position consistently between $135 and $136. I’m fully loaded now, so I’m just going to sit tight and let it play out. 🧘‍♀️📈 $PLTR 2026년 5월 4일 실적 발표 이후 하락세를 겪었지만, $135 지점인 POC(Point of Control)가 매우 강력하게 지지해주는 모습이네요. 지난 4거래일 동안 주가는 $135-$138 사이에서 자석처럼 붙어 있고, ATR(평균 실질 변동 폭)은 계속해서 좁혀지고 있습니다. 🧲 현재 PLTR은 전형적인 변동성 수축(Volatility Squeeze)의 끝단에 와 있습니다. 🍋 SMA 10, 20, 50 이평선들이 한데 엉켜 있고 주가도 이 근처에서 횡보 중입니다. 이는 단기 및 중기 추세가 방향성을 잃고 외부 촉매제를 기다리고 있음을 보여줍니다. 🧭 ATR 지표는 확실히 저점에 머물며 계속 하락하고 있습니다. 이런 폭풍 전야의 정적은 보통 오래가지 않죠. ATR이 낮을수록 이후 발생하는 돌파(Breakout)의 강도는 훨씬 강력해집니다. ⚡️ MACD: 현재 0선 근처에서 맴돌고 있으며 막대 그래프도 매우 작아 매수나 매도세의 모멘텀이 보이지 않습니다. RSI: 40-50 사이로 약세 진동 구간에 위치해 있습니다. 📉 저는 개인적으로 $135-$136 구간에서 지속적으로 추매를 진행했습니다. 이제 비중을 충분히 채웠기 때문에 당분간은 추가 조작 없이 지켜볼 예정입니다. 🧘‍♀️📈
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IUAENA
IUAENA@IUAEDINA·
$GOOG x.com/i/status/20543… I'm so excited after watching the Android Show 2026❤️🥰 I'm looking forward to having my GoogleBook ! By the way, I just bought much more $GOOG
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