I like money

@winorwhing Just wondering how big it is

Genuinly wtf was Elijah Hollands doing this game

@theorseman @winorwhing @bookiewatchdog @sportsbetcomau @theorseman @winorwhing clearly sportsbet don’t have a big one..

@winorwhing @bookiewatchdog @sportsbetcomau absolutely disgraceful

@bookiewatchdog is this legal? I can still place a AFL bet but no racing

@stspiman @ChrisCamiller1 Carriedo won by almost 5L 🤡

@ChrisCamiller1 Nearly as bad as Willo on Justique

That was a shocker on Vangogh Bankcheque at Sandown.

@jmmezz @winorwhing @DosPunting Because of all the futures bets rolling into it it’s going to be hard to see more than $1.6 offered.

@winorwhing @DosPunting I agree, what do you reckon the market open price will be? Surely above 1.4

Foz, Thoughts?

@Josh73469365 @winorwhing What’s his knob taste like? 👅👅👅👅

@winorwhing if u think this is merrets fault your dumb, clearly scott thinks merret fwd will break the tag, but this is sooooo stupid, 1) o'sulivan is a def aswell 2) ess cant get him the ball in fwd line, 3 scott should be sacked and team has done nothing to help their captain

I have just witnessed Zach merret sit in the forward line for 10 minutes and not have a single impact on the game only to then run off for a spell whilst the Essendon midfield gets molested by North. Does he wanna contribute at all?

@winorwhing How big is it?

Is this free money

Watching a couple pakenham races, J melham misses the kick on the $1.30 shot, goes back to last the rail and runs on for second, feel like I’ve seen this before… #criminal

@TheJumpOuts Ran huge

She's been well backed into favouritism in the next at Pakenham (Race 2) - thought she'd be hard to beat...

Bring on R5 at Rosehill, Waller vs Waterhouse Bott 🥊🥊

@davepband With the clear track pattern in mind, do we have to highly boost damask rose?

A few notes from my formking.com.au meeting review of Flemington Saturday 7/3/26. Plenty to unpack RE the track pattern, and I'd expect some form reversals out of the meeting. 🎯 The Spot (track pattern) "UP and IN", especially R4+. A tricky meeting for the future. Base 15-20kmh Southerly and SSW winds to start the program. Winds increased to 30-35kmh+ at the back end of the card. The big thing to unpack is PIRs of winners and lanes. 5 leaders at the 400m won and all winners were inside the top 4 at that point. A southerly advantages leaders on the circle, but generally hampers (inside) leaders in the straight. R1-3 saw winners having cover from the inside and Caballus leads the fence in Newmarket. It's possible lanes 1-3 were also best ground, further exacerbating the bias. Only 5 horses at the meeting made up 5+ positions L400m, which is odd for Flemington and was not tempo related on the circle (many strong tempos). 🐕 Top Dog (highest rating) Tom Kitten 101.5 backed up his 1st up rating in a genuinely run mile race, but a modest edition overall with 1.5L covering the top 6 finishers. Willow was able to settle him in the perfect spot and keep in touch with Pride of Jenni, who continued her trend of leading strongly, but not at the same pace of 2 years ago. Tempo was even at the 1200m marker but then a mammoth 12-6 split of 9.2L above from Jenni had the field stretching. Most interestingly, Jenni lost 2L on Tom Kitten between the 4-2, but only 0.5L L200m - suggesting she was holding while the top 2 needed the post. Another 50m and it's probably Sabaj from Jenni. 👀 Watch Me (this prep) Sabaj 100.1 recorded a career peak 2nd up and was the best closer in the All Star Mile, while admittedly the whole field was coming home below par. Last preparation, he elevated again 3rd up and I'll be very keen to be in his corner wherever he goes next. Sepals 99.1 could not have done more in the Newmarket, recording his best 1st up figure yet. 🐣 Hatched (best new talent) Medicinal 94.5 put herself into contention for some of the better 2YO races with a figure that mixes it with the best of the fillies this season, and only a length off the top performances. Crunched 2.6 into 1.8 off a very strong time figure last time out, her time here was very good, and I dare say the 2nd placed Jadzia is also well above average. 🐈‍⬛ Unlucky (forgive me) Tentyris regressed 1L from his 1st up run, but was one of only 5 horses at the meeting to make up more than 5 positions in the final 400m (he made up 7). He was weighted poorly versus his opposition for a horse going off so short and the late market did give us a strong warning. But the run was full of merit, and I think he's still very much on track for a tilt at the TJ Smith, on a track likely to suit (Randwick). If you're interested in the data side of racing and breaking down performances, check out formking.com.au

@AlanCRowland Would love to get some insight into where you get your data from (I’m trying to learn)

I hear and read more nonsense about Pride Of Jenni than any other horse I can remember. All these theories such as "If she's not taken on she's unbeatable". A couple I heard this week are "She's at her best first up" and "She hasn't performed her peak for years". Here is what my data tells me. She's quite predictable when you have good ratings. 1) She has achieved her peak rating every prep since she first hit it back in November 2023. A remarkably consistent peak rating. 934, 933, 934, 933, 934. This is a testament to her trainer. 2) Once she hits her peak rating it is all downhill until she spells. Her peak it so high her body just can't perform at a high level any more. 3) The first time she achieved her peak it took 5 runs. The second time 4 runs. The last three preps she's achieved it at her 3rd run from a spell. 4) Early in her career she was not really competitive first up. Only at her last two preps has she been able to win first up, rating 913 and 918, still well below her best but at least competitive. She has rated a 912 once before when second first up at WFA. Prior to her first up run last prep she had a very hard trial and this may have enabled the 918 which is a bit of an outlier. This prep she's only had very soft trials so don't expect a 918 this time. I'd say 912-913 is the best you can expect. The lowest rated ASM winner to date has been 918. Mostly much higher. Forget all this nonsense about if left alone she just wins. Utter garbage. I know I'm going to get flamed for saying so. People are very attached to these theories. She performs similarly whether taken on or leading on her ear. Her ratings are largely determined by fitness.

@AlanCRowland How is treasure at $15 and Stefi $9..

Futures market All Star Mile $4.90 Pride Of Jenni $6.90 Tom Kitten $7.10 Antino $9.40 Evaporate $9.60 Stefi Magnetica $15 Treasurethe Moment $20 Leica Lucy $20 Light Infantry Man $25 Buckaroo Disclaimer: These are raw rated prices framed to 100%. They are not accurate and may vary markedly from the market. Smart-arse or disrespectful comments will get you blocked.

Clearly lots of rain around at Colac 🙄

@TravTurf Thanks heaps

@I_Like_Money4 I look at both but I like using the All Average as gives me an understanding of what a good win away from metro looks like and more of an overall comparison.

Seeing a lot of takes re Treasurethemoment's 3rd in the Futurity on Saturday. Plenty suggesting she's not the same horse as spring, hasn't recovered from the colic situation, and that well off her form. I can understand the disappointment given she was beaten, but gee whizz, a few of media commentators/ analysts having some very 'trigger happy' comments and I feel unfair on TTM especially re the health of her. Too many times hear this type of thing when the majority of these people haven't put a head collar on a horse in their life. They shouldn't be commenting re the horses health like she's been flattened by the Colic attack that happened in Spring. Matt Laurie has presented a healthy horse to the races and that commentary feels extremely misaligned with the reality of her defeat. She accelerated at the top of the straight like the gun Treasure we know, putting a swift margin on Evaporate and then fell in a hole late, being swallowed up by Pericles, a reliable first up horse who has rated near his best and Buckaroo who turned up in better form than the Spring, for day 1 of his campaign. His best 1st up run by the metrics I use. Sectionals and Benchmark ratings indicate that she's run out of puff the last 200m. So here's the facts.... On FormKing's data, her last 200m was -1.6 lengths below the All Average, her 400-200m was +1 length. So in essence she's lost nearly 3 lengths of speed over the final 200m and been beaten only 0.7 lengths. Compared to the winner Pericles, who didn't lose even a length of speed for the final 200m vs. his 400-200m split. Having studied this data for a while this is a prime example of what I've come to call the "Conditioning Drop-Off" , when a horse over exerts before the final 200m and has nothing left indicating that simply they didn't have the fitness base to sustain speed late. This was amplified by her leading (albeit at a control speed). As a horse, tiring always looks worse to the eye and Sectionally when they are on-pace and fade late. I've always found this with horses leading 1st Up and comments from top trainers indicating leading when fresh is hard to do as need a great fitness base ring in my head regarding this, notably Darren Weir. Her overall figure from a Weight-For-Age rating performance perspective is in the same ballpark as her win in last year's Angus Armanasco Stakes, she then she started 14 days later at Flemington in the Kewney, found a fast pace mile and rated through the roof (running a clear new PB at the time). That run in the Kewney has only been bettered on this metric (WFA Ratings) by her win in the Memsie. She's likely to get this same scenario in 12 days with Pride Of Jenni letting rip in the All-Star Mile, which is her target race this prep. Personally, I think the calls that she's not comeback and was disappointing are premature. I'm reserving judgement until the ASM with added race fitness. I've seen in the past that this sort of run from a profile perspective can see a horse come on and rebound to a performance indicative of something like their best at the very next start. The market expected TTM to run to a tick over 103 at WFA on Saturday, and whilst she underwhelmed against that I really feel she's now primed in 2 weeks to hit that and then some, which will be right in the ball park of the number required to win the race with Pride Of Jenni, Tom Kitten, Buckaroo, Pericles, Antino, Leica Lucy, Light Infantry Man and Evaporate in the field. Long way of saying forgive the run and chime in at the bigger price next start as all the data points to her being underdone for the Futurity, a race that was never her Grand Final anyway.

@Racing @LukeCartwrightt @hope_racing Where’s Kyle, oh wait he’s a starter 🤡🤡

Caulfield Heath Race 7 I Cameron Falls @LukeCartwrightt causes an upset aboard Cameron Falls ($20) for @hope_racing 🤝 📺 Ch. 78/68, Foxtel 529, Kayo or via our app REPLAYS: bit.ly/4lxg4Xw

@Racing_Previews Forgot it was pre-noms, should’ve had more on 😂

🚨 FUTURES BET 🚨 Ceolwulf - Australian Cup @ $9 Ladbrokes or Neds (Pre-Noms) Ran fine yesterday. First up 1400m not ideal set up. Bleed wasn’t internal so campaign back on. Should get blinkers back on later in the prep and be peaking for his 2 Grand Finals. Could start fav.

@Racing_Previews Other than Tom kitten I can’t see who else goes in as a massive winning chance, more than happy to take the price, never suited yesterday 1400m blinkers off, trust in joe 🫡

@I_Like_Money4 That will be well overs for the Aus Cup if he bounces back

Apologies for going the early crow to anyone who saw my previous tweet. Standard practise for blood in both nostrils on race day is a 3-month ban, but no blood was identified internally, hence it’s play on 💪🏼 quite rare I think.

@RVStewards No point having protests if the only option is dismissed, what more needs to happen for it to be upheld?

PROTEST DISMISSED: PAKM R4 - No.11 Irreverent (2nd) vs No.9 The Benchmark (1st)