ICRYPEX Global

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Wednesday, April 8, 2026 Your daily briefing on the US–Iran ceasefire, the historic oil collapse, and the BTC short squeeze. ➤ THE MOST CRITICAL DEVELOPMENT: 2-WEEK US–IRAN CEASEFIRE ➤ The Decline of Oil and Its Meaning for the Fed ➤ BTC: On the Edge of the Six-Week Band For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/us-iran-cea…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Tuesday, April 7, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling ➤ Iran Crisis: Deadline Night ➤ BTC — Within a Six-Week Range, High Deadline Risk ➤ Gold — Third Consecutive Day of Decline For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/trump-iran-…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Monday, April 6, 2026 | Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ MOST CRITICAL NEWS: AXIOS — 45-DAY CEASEFIRE NEGOTIATIONS On Monday morning, Axios reported that a group consisting of the US, Iran, and regional mediators is negotiating terms for a possible 45-day ceasefire that could lay the groundwork for a permanent peace. ➤ BTC — CROSSED ABOVE EMA 20, MACD TURNED POSITIVE ➤ GOLD — STRONG NFP + DOLLAR PRESSURE For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/axios-cease…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Friday, April 3, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling ➤ WTI’S LARGEST DOLLAR GAIN IN HISTORY — $11.42 IN A SINGLE DAY On April 2nd, WTI crude oil surged by +11% to reach $111.54. According to Dow Jones Market Data, this is the largest single-day dollar increase for the active WTI contract. ➤ BTC EASTER LIQUIDITY GAP — CME AND ETF CLOSED Today is Good Friday: CME futures are closing, and ETF trading is stopping. ➤ STABLECOIN LAW DELAYED ➤ WEEKLY CLOSE — 6-WEEK LOSING STREAK ENDED For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/wti-oil-his…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Wednesday, April 1, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ YESTERDAY’S KEY DEVELOPMENTS — THREE INDICES SEE BEST DAY SINCE MAY On March 31, 2026, the last day of March, markets experienced a violent recovery ➤ BTC MARCH PERFORMANCE — BROKE 5-MONTH LOSING STREAK ➤ ETF FLOWS — BITCOIN IS BACK, ETH BREAKS 8-DAY OUTFLOW STREAK ➤ CRITICAL TONIGHT: TRUMP 21:00 ET IRAN SPEECH ➤ GOLD: UBS $6,200 TARGET — WORST MONTH MAY BE BEHIND For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/btc-march-p…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Tuesday, March 31, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ REASSURING MESSAGE FROM THE FED – MARKETS BREATHE A SIGH OF RELIEF Powell’s Harvard Speech (March 30): Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced that the U.S. Central Bank will currently move forward by monitoring oil price shocks and is leaning toward keeping interest rates steady. He emphasized that inflation expectations remain “well-anchored.” ➤ CRITICAL NEWS: TRUMP COULD END THE WAR EVEN WITHOUT HORMUZ WSJ Report: The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump told those close to him that the war could end even if the Strait of Hormuz is not fully reopened. ➤ BTC TECHNICAL: $65,000 DEFENSE AND SHORT SQUEEZE POTENTIAL ➤ GOLD: WORST MONTH OF MARCH, BUT RECOVERY BEGINS Gold lost 15% in value in March, recording its worst monthly performance since October 2008. However, it is still +5% positive on a quarterly basis. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/fed-policy-…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Monday, March 30, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ MOST CRITICAL DEVELOPMENT: HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR The war reached its widest scope today. Iranian-backed Houthi forces joined the conflict, opening a new front beyond the Gulf. This development pulled BTC down to $65,112 today. ➤ BTC $65,112: CRITICAL SUPPORT TEST The pattern Bitcoin has formed since the start of the war was broken today for the first time. ➤ THE FED’S HANDS ARE FURTHER TIED WSJ: A mood has been detected within the Fed that is open to discussing not only keeping rates steady but also the possibility of increasing them. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/houthi-war-…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Friday, March 27, 2026 Your daily briefing on the Week 5 pattern, bond market volatility, and the tech sector’s legal storm. ➤ MACRO FRAMEWORK: THE SAME PATTERN IN WEEK 5 As we enter the fifth week, the same scene played out once again in the markets: Trump signaled de-escalation, markets breathed a sigh of relief, followed by news of escalation from the Pentagon, and gains were instantly wiped out. ➤ BOND MARKET: THE REAL MACRO SHIFT IS HERE While oil news dominates the headlines, the real structural threat is hidden in the bond market. The US 10-year bond yield, which was below 4% a few weeks ago, reached 4.41% today. ➤ CRYPTO: INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION VS. PRICE WEAKNESS Bitcoin is in the $68,500 zone, -3.2% in 24 hours, -2.7% weekly. However, the picture beneath the surface tells a much stronger story than the price. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/global-mark…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Thursday, March 26, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the volatility of risk assets. ➤ THE GOLD PARADOX — WHY IS GOLD FALLING DESPITE THE WAR? ➤ GENERAL ASSESSMENT Today’s message is clear: yesterday’s optimism was premature. The Bab-el-Mandeb threat puts a second strait risk on the table alongside Hormuz ➤ Rising Oil, Interest Rate Pressure For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/global-mark…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Wednesday, March 25, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ Inflation and PMI The S&P Global PMI data released on March 24 provided the first concrete signs of the Iran conflict’s impact on the economy. Manufacturing came in slightly above expectations, while the services sector fell slightly short. Overall business activity growth slowed to an 11-month low ➤ Private Credit and Software Two other areas of “bleeding” from March 24 deserve mention. First, the private credit sector: Apollo Global capped redemptions at 5% for a $25 billion fund (investors sought to exit at 11.5%). BlackRock and Morgan Stanley took similar steps ➤ GOLD & SILVER As of today, Gold has retreated over 20% from its January 2026 peak of $5,600, meeting the technical definition of a bear market. Last week, it recorded its worst weekly performance since September 2011. ➤ COPPER Copper was a great story in Q1 of this year. Fearing Trump’s tariffs, US buyers stockpiled, driving the Comex-LME spread to record levels. The price skyrocketed from $4.30 to $6.50. ➤Bitcoin — Consolidation or Bottom? BTC is currently at $71,201, marking three consecutive closes above $70K. This is a small but vital signal—it hasn’t been forced into a breakdown. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/iran-peace-…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Tuesday, March 24, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ SAUDI ARABIA AND THE UAE — THE RULES OF THE GAME ARE CHANGING This development is crucial. The conflict, which had been unfolding as a US-Israel operation from the start, is now turning into a regional coalition with the active participation of Gulf Arab states. ➤ BTC — RELATIVE RESILIENCE PERSISTS BTC rose from yesterday’s $67,600 bottom to $70,352 this morning, a 3.1% increase. ETH, SOL, DOGE, and XRP gained in the 2-4% range. However, the weekly picture remains negative—BTC is down -6% weekly, with altcoins looking even weaker. ➤ BOND MARKET — WHERE THE STRUCTURE CHANGES The real macro shift is happening in the bond market. The 10-year US Treasury yield reached 4.38%, its highest since July 2025. The 2-year yield has risen 53 basis points since the start of the war to 3.90%. German and UK 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels in a decad ➤ GOLD — THE LONGEST LOSING STREAK IN HISTORY Gold has lost record value since the start of the war. Experiencing the longest daily losing streak in history, it has lost 18% of its value from its last peak. For a safe-haven asset to see such sharp selling in a war environment is historically unprecedented. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/macro-frame…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Monday, March 23, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical ultimatums, liquidity crunches, and the gold-crypto divergence. ➤ EVERYTHING IS BEING SOLD As we enter the fourth week of the war, markets are in classic “risk-off” mode. However, there is something extraordinary this time: Gold is also being sold. Gold has fallen for nine consecutive days and has lost approximately 18% of its value from its recent peak. ➤ TRUMP’S 48-HOUR ULTIMATUM: ENDS TONIGHT Trump wrote on Truth Social on Sunday that if Iran does not open the Strait of Hormuz, he will “strike and destroy” power plants, starting with Iran’s largest nuclear facility. The 48-hour period expires tonight. ➤ BTC – THE LEAST DEPRECIATED ASSET While everything is being sold, BTC is relatively resilient. With a weekly decline of -6%, it is performing better than gold, stocks, and most altcoins. Gold has dropped -18% from its last peak, while BTC is down -6%. This divergence is noteworthy. ➤ WHY IS GOLD SEEING SELL-OFFS? ➤ RESOLV HACK: DeFi SECURITY ALARM For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/global-mark…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Thursday, March 19, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. ➤ MACRO FRAMEWORK: THE WORST-CASE COMBINATION MATERIALIZED Yesterday, markets endured a double shock. The February Producer Price Index (PPI) data released in the morning came in at +0.7% monthly—surpassing both expectations (0.3%) and January’s figure (0.5%)—fueling fears of stagflation. Subsequently, Powell’s press conference following the Fed meeting dragged markets even lower. The “most damaging combination” we discussed yesterday—high PPI coupled with a hawkish Fed—fully materialized. ➤ FED DECISION: “POWELL’S REGRET” The interest rate decision met expectations: held steady at the 3.5%–3.75% range. The dot plot remained unchanged one rate cut for 2026. However, the details are concerning. ➤ OIL – QATARI LNG ATTACK: A NEW FRONT Yesterday, an attack occurred at an LNG (liquefied natural gas) facility in Qatar. This is critical because Qatar alone accounts for approximately 20% of global LNG exports; the oil shock has now spilled over into the natural gas market. Brent rose 7% to over $110. ➤ NASDAQ TOKENIZATION: A HISTORIC STEP The SEC yesterday approved Nasdaq’s plan to allow certain securities to be traded in tokenized form. Tokenized shares will trade on the same order book with the same ticker, price, and investor rights as traditional shares. The DTC (Depository Trust Company) will manage clearing and settlement processes. ➤ MICRON: AI MEMORY DEMAND EXPLODING Micron reported earnings last night: Revenue nearly tripled in the last quarter, driven by AI memory demand and tight supply. The stock has gained over 350% in the last year. Results exceeded expectations, yet it fell 3% in extended trading—the perfect results were already priced in. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/high-inflat…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Wednesday, March 18, 2026 Your daily briefing on Fed policy shifts, macro projections, and the BTC structural breakout. For the first time since the onset of the Iran war, markets closed higher for the second consecutive day. Dow +0.1%, S&P 500 +0.25%, Nasdaq +0.5%. This optimism was fueled by oil prices retreating from their overnight peaks. While Brent remains above $100, the immediate pressure has slightly eased. BTC climbed to $76,000 last night before pulling back to around $74,000. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) acquired 22,337 BTC (totaling $1.57 billion) at an average price of $70,194 between March 9–16. Today, the SEC and CFTC released a joint regulatory guidance classifying crypto assets into five categories. Although the market welcomed this, BTC failed to hold above $75,000. ➤ THE MAIN AGENDA: THE FED The decision will be announced today at 21:00 TSİ (14:00 ET), followed by Powell’s press conference at 21:30 TSİ (14:30 ET). Interest rates are almost certain to remain steady in the 3.5%–3.75% range. The probability of a rate cut before the July meeting is priced at over 60% “unchanged,” meaning the market expects the earliest cut in October. ➤ US PPI AT 15:30 TSİ (08:30 ET) – CRUCIAL PRE-FOMC DATA The February Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released this morning. Expectations are +0.3% monthly (prev. Jan: +0.5%) and +0.2% core (prev: +0.8%). A significant slowdown from January is anticipated. ➤ BTC: THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE $75,000 WALL The $75,000 level is not just a technical resistance but a structural barrier. Analysts note that market makers are holding billions of dollars in net short gamma positions at this level. As price approaches this point, market makers buy spot BTC to remain delta-neutral—increasing volatility but making a sustained breakout difficult. ➤ SEC AND CFTC – A HISTORIC STEP FOR CRYPTO The SEC and CFTC issued their first joint crypto regulatory guidance today. Tokens are now classified into five categories: digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital utilities, stablecoins, and digital securities. This shift moves the industry from case-by-case enforcement to category-based clarity. Most tokens will not be automatically deemed securities, allowing non-security assets to fall under lighter CFTC oversight. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/fomc-decisi…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Tuesday, March 17, 2026 Your daily briefing on FOMC volatility, BTC resistance levels, and the emerging altcoin rotation. As markets enter a critical week, a series of powerful developments have unfolded in succession. Yesterday, the S&P 500 rose, snapping a five-day losing streak. BTC surged to $75,912 overnight, breaking through the $73,750–$74,400 resistance corridor that had held firm for four weeks. However, it experienced a rapid retracement and closed below $74,400. This level, a former support since April 2025, has now turned into resistance. ➤ BTC HIT $75,800, BUT WHO WAS BUYING? According to 10x Research founder Markus Thielen, this rally was not driven by organic buyers but by short-covering in the derivatives market. Investors who purchased put options for $60,000 and below during the early February crash realized these levels were no longer attainable and closed their positions. This forced market makers to buy spot BTC to unwind their hedges, causing the price to skyrocket. ➤ FOMC: MEETING TODAY, DECISION TOMORROW An interest rate hold is almost certain: Rates are expected to remain steady in the 3.5%–3.75% band. CME FedWatch prices this probability at over 95%. ➤ IS ALTCOIN SEASON BEGINNING? Weekly performances are noteworthy: ETH +13.3%, XRP +11%, SOL +9.7%, DOGE +9.5%, BNB +5%. XRP stands out in particular: It broke the $1.50 resistance and reached $1.53. Binance futures open interest has increased by 59% since October—investors are joining the rally with leverage. Its market cap has reached $93.4 billion, overtaking BNB to claim the 4th spot. ➤ TECH & AI: NVIDIA GTC AND MICRON The Nvidia GTC conference began yesterday (NVDA +1.65%). Nebius Group signed a $27 billion deal with Meta, surging +15%. Micron announced it will establish a second production facility in Taiwan (+3.7%). Sandisk rose +6.4%. Micron earnings will be released tomorrow, serving as a critical signal for AI memory demand. ➤ Today’s Calendar Morning: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision. During the Day: Nvidia GTC conference continues; presentations by CEO Jensen Huang. Tomorrow: Fed interest rate decision and dot plot release. Press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Also Tomorrow: February Producer Price Index (PPI) and Micron earnings. Thursday: Interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, Swiss National Bank, and European Central Bank. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/btc-resista…

Crypto Newsletter  ➤ Monday, March 16, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts in Hormuz, macro trends, and the crypto short squeeze. The week began with a strong opening. Following the U.S. strike on Kharg Island in Hormuz, Brent crude briefly surged to $106.50 before quickly retracing.  . Currencies & Equities: The Dollar weakened by 0.3%. S&P 500 futures opened +0.5%, marking the first gain after a five-day slump. Crypto: BTC hit a peak of $74,000 and is currently trading around $73,700.  ➤Selective Transit in the Strait of Hormuz The situation is best described as “selectively restricted” rather than fully closed. Daily traffic has dropped from the usual 25 tankers to just two confirmed transits. However, the passage of Indian vessels and Iran’s “open to non-hostile nations” rhetoric suggest that cargoes linked to China and India may continue to flow quietly. Oil: Consolidation for Brent is expected slightly above $100. A break below $95 would signal the “melting of the inflation premium,” opening doors for risk assets. Conversely, a move above $106 would trigger a new wave of panic. ➤BTC Breaks Above 50-Day EMA for First Time in Two Months A truly significant development for the crypto market unfolded this week. BTC hit a peak of $74,000, breaking above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average ($71,125) for the first time in two months, marking a weekly gain of +9.7%. The Short Squeeze: This move was largely triggered by a short squeeze. Over the last 24 hours, $344 million in liquidations occurred, with $284.9 million (83%) being short positions. The largest single liquidation was a $6.94 million BTC position on Bitfinex. The Critical $75,000 Level: This is the key level to watch. It is where market makers currently hold billions of dollars in net short gamma positions. As the price nears this threshold, market makers will be forced to buy at higher prices to remain delta-neutral, which is expected to significantly amplify volatility. ➤ Economic Calendar: A High-Impact Week Today: Nvidia GTC 2026 begins. This four-day conference serves as a major catalyst for NVDA and AI-related stocks. Tuesday, March 17: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision. Wednesday, March 18: Fed Interest Rate Decision + Jerome Powell Press Conference + Producer Price Index (PPI). Micron earnings. It is almost certain that the Fed will hold interest rates steady in the 3.5%–3.75% range. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/hormuz-stra…

Crypto Newsletter ➤ Friday, March 13, 2026 Your daily briefing on geopolitical shifts, macro trends, and the crypto decoupling. Over the past two weeks, the BTC-S&P 500 correlation was at a very high level of 0.78. In other words, BTC was moving almost in lockstep with equities. This week, that picture has begun to change. Yesterday, while the S&P fell -1.5% and the Nasdaq dropped -1.8%, BTC held $70,000. Overnight, following the Bessent news, BTC rose to $72,000; today it is at $71,300. While stocks hit their lowest close since November 2025, BTC is up on a weekly basis. This is a significant decoupling. Yesterday, the Dow fell -1.6%, the S&P 500 -1.5%, and the Nasdaq -1.8%. The S&P and Nasdaq reached their lowest closes since November 2025. The Russell 2000 broke its year-to-date low. Brent crude topped $100 for the first time since August 2022. WTI closed at $118 with a 9.6% increase, its highest close since 2018. This week, WTI’s weekly gain stands at +22.9%. ➤ STRAIT OF HORMUZ – NO POLITICAL SOLUTION The most critical development yesterday was the first statement from Mojtaba Khamenei. Iran’s new Supreme Leader rejected the U.S. call for “unconditional surrender,” confirmed that Hormuz would remain closed, and warned that “new fronts could open” if the war continues. Three more commercial vessels have been hit in the last 24 hours. ➤ IS THE DECOUPLING IN BTC BEGINNING? There is a striking pattern this week: while stocks fell sharply, BTC held $70,000. It maintained the $70,000 support throughout yesterday and surged to $72,000 with the Bessent news. It is currently around $71,300. ➤ STAGFLATION – GOLDMAN’S WARNING When Goldman Sachs’ $147.50 oil warning is combined with Citi analyst Beata Manthey’s observation, the gravity of the situation emerges: “Price/earnings ratios in equity markets are at historic highs just as a significant geopolitical shock has arrived. This makes stocks extremely sensitive to any news.” For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/btc-decoupl…

Crypto Newsletter  ➤Thursday, March 12, 2026 Your daily briefing on oil shocks, stagflation risks, and the battle for $71K. ➤The brief optimism of yesterday evaporated this morning. Attacks on two fuel tankers in Iraqi territorial waters and new strikes against commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent crude up by 10.5% in a single session, crossing the $100 mark once again. This marks the second major surge for oil, which had recently retreated to $87 from its $120 peak last week following the IEA reserve announcement. Yesterday’s Closings: Dow Jones: -289 points (-0.61%) S&P 500: -0.08% Nasdaq: +0.08% Top Sector: Energy (+2.5%) US CPI Arrived, But Nobody Cared February CPI was announced: +2.4% annually (slightly below the 2.5% expectation), with Core CPI at +2.5%. Technically, these are good numbers that would normally trigger a market rally. ➤ BTC: Third Rejection from $71K BTC climbed to $71,230 last night but dropped to $69,393 within hours of the tanker news—a loss of roughly $2,000. This is the third time this scenario has played out in two weeks. ➤Gold Fails to Provide Expected War Hedge Since the conflict began, Gold has struggled to gain traction due to a strengthening Dollar and rising bond yields. BMO Capital Markets analysts note that Gold maintains its inverse correlation with the USD.  ➤Is the Stagflation Threat Real? If oil stays above $100, it could shave 0.1% off GDP growth. A move above $150 signals recession risk. The Fed faces a growing dilemma: slowing growth (92,000 jobs lost in February) vs. rising inflation.  For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/oil-shocks-…

Crypto Newsletter            11 March 2026 ➤ Market Analysis: Geopolitical Turmoil, CPI Outlook, and Central Bank Decisions   Yesterday, markets experienced complete chaos: The day opened with news of Exxon (US oil giant) evacuating non-essential personnel from the Middle East and reports of Iran planting mines in the Strait of Hormuz. This was followed by a later-deleted post from US Energy Secretary Wright regarding a tanker passage. Then a message from Trump suggesting the war would “end soon.” After a highly volatile session driven by these mixed signals, markets ended the day nearly flat: Dow -0.07%, S&P -0.21%, Nasdaq +0.01%. Brent crude, however, plummeted 11.3% in a single session to $87.80 (the largest daily drop since March 2022). Despite this, Brent remains +44% higher year-on-year. ➤ Energy stocks decoupled from oil: Since the start of the conflict, the five major oil companies (Exxon, Chevron, Total Energies, BP, Shell) have gained an average of only 1%. This is an unexpected divergence given oil’s 44% rise. The reasons? These companies are directly exposed to supply disruptions caused by the war; investors are avoiding a potential price crash following a ceasefire; and energy stocks had already priced in the move prior to the conflict.  ➤ CRITICAL DATA OF THE DAY: US CPI (INFLATION) The February CPI data is released today. Expectations: Monthly +0.3% (prev. +0.2%), Annual 2.5% (prev. 2.4%), and Core Annual 2.5%. While rising food and energy prices, along with tariff transitions, push figures higher, softening vehicle prices and shelter inflation may provide a partial balance. ➤ BTC: FOMO IS BACK, BUT FEAR STILL LINGERS After reaching $71,612, BTC settled around $69,700 this morning. News of the IEA (International Energy Agency) proposing the largest crude oil reserve release in history pushed Brent below $90, reviving risk appetite. Technically, $69,500 – $70,000 acts as support, while $73,000 is the critical resistance where last week’s peak and the 50-day EMA converge. ➤THE WEEK AHEAD: 7 CENTRAL BANK RATE DECISIONS Ahead of the March 17-18 Fed meeting, an extremely busy week awaits the markets: March 17: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) March 18: Bank of Canada + US Federal Reserve (Fed) March 19: Bank of Japan (BOJ) + Swiss National Bank (SNB) + European Central Bank (ECB) Until recently, markets expected these banks to continue their rate-cutting cycles, bolstered by expectations that AI would transform the labor market and permanently lower inflation. The Iran conflict has upended this narrative. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/oil-prices-…

🔥 Crypto Newsletter 11 March 2026 ➤ TRUMP CLAIMS “WAR IS ALMOST OVER,” STOCKS SURGE THEN RETREAT Yesterday witnessed one of the most dramatic trading sessions of the year. The day began with WTI crude approaching $119.50 and US stock futures opening down -1.5% to -2%. However, a single sentence from Donald Trump flipped the market sentiment: “I think the war is just about done. They have no Navy, they have no communication, they have no Air Force.” ➤ BTC AT $70,000: THE INSTITUTIONAL DEMAND FABRIC ➤ ALTCOIN RECOVERY: CEASEFIRE OPTIMISM + NVIDIA CATALYST Following Trump’s “war is almost over” comment, altcoins bounced back: ETH +2.6% ($2,029), reclaiming the psychological $2,000 level; SOL +2.9% ($85.67); and XRP +1.7% ($1.37). ➤ Critical Levels and Weekly Outlook Ethereum (ETH): The $2,000 defense line is the primary focus this week. According to FxPro: “The $2,500 level and the 200-week moving average (WMA) region are required to confirm a genuine recovery—any rally below this remains a ‘dead cat bounce’.” XRP: Currently trapped in the $1.30–$1.45 range. While legal clarity provides a tailwind, it remains unable to decouple from general market direction. Solana (SOL): Trading 55% below its cycle highs. With the memecoin economy effectively dissolved, SOL is now trading strictly based on macro sentiment. The FOMC Factor: The March 17-18 meeting could upend the current recovery. The BTC-S&P 500 90-day correlation has climbed to 0.78 (the highest since June 2022). A hawkish “dot plot” or signals of further rate hikes will likely hit high-beta altcoins the hardest. For more details 👉 research.icrypex.com/en/daily-newsl…