MFW
2.5K posts

MFW
@ImDecodingLife
Decoding Economics / Trades Not Financial Advice
Katılım Haziran 2017
3.3K Takip Edilen219 Takipçiler

@everytimeicash @FinEconGlobal These restaurants signed leases before covid and now can’t afford to renew at new $.
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More visual view of this statement and the last 24hrs

OSINTdefender@sentdefender
The United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Japan have released a joint statement expressing their readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure the safe passage of commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
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@FinEconGlobal You cut the head of the hydra and you have no off-ramp.
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@FinEconGlobal @everytimeicash $BTU coal looks like it is also the play, prevalent and cheap!
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American LNG 🇺🇸
zerohedge@zerohedge
*IRAN ATTACKS DAMAGE 17% OF QATAR LNG CAPACITY FOR 3-5 YRS: RTRS
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@BlackScholesMan Good play especially after pullback! I think $BTU coal has a lot of upside potential, cheap and plentiful!
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@No1Ticks @BlackScholesMan What’s most disconcerting is the daily mixed messaging, no clarity on anything.
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Short $DE and $KUBTY
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
FERTILIZER PRICES ANNOUNCEMENT COMING SOON, ROLLINS SAYS: POOL
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JUST IN: In an exclusive interview with CBN News, Senator Ted Cruz Says Tucker Carlson is specifically targeting evangelical Christians and believes GOP Politicians need to speak out against his venomous ideology. When asked if that includes Vice President JD Vance who is good friends with Carlson, Cruz replied, “Look, everyone's going to have to decide where they stand. Ronald Reagan in 1964 gave a very famous speech, a time for choosing and I think this is a time for choosing.”
Senator Cruz and I spent about 40 minutes in his office today discussing the future of the war in Iran, Israel’s role in the war, the venomous ideology of Tucker Carlson, the heresy of replacement theology, the rise of antisemitism and a warning to the Church about it. A full report will air on The 700 Club Thursday across America, and you can see the entire interview on our CBN News Youtube page Friday. More here. cbn.com/news/politics/… @CBNNews @700club @tedcruz
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$BUFF.V Could explode 5x-7x from here!
On a fully diluted basis, 109.5M shares at C$0.32 implies a market cap of ~C$35M and an enterprise value of ~C$27M (net of C$7.8M cash). Post-PEA, assume a C$30M raise split evenly between project debt and equity at C$0.50/share, issuing 30M new shares for ~140M fully diluted.
At 125kt/year and a C$200/t netback, gross operating cash flow is C$25M. After sustaining capex, provincial taxes and royalties (~C$6M), free cash flow could be approx. C$19M. At a 6x multiple - a discount to established producers reflecting single-asset and technology risk - that implies C$114M enterprise value, or ~C$0.71/share after netting debt: a 2.2x return from current levels.
Scale to 250kt/year (funded by offtake partner, no incremental dilution) and FCF roughly doubles to ~C$42M. At the same multiple, equity value reaches ~C$237M, or C$1.69/share - a 5.3x return with no change in potash prices.
The table below stress-tests across three scenarios varying netback (C$150–250/t), FCF conversion, and valuation multiple (5–7x):
open.substack.com/pub/claddist/p…



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