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Long candidates. Short candidates. Every day.
Ranked by fundamentals & Technicals,Not hype.
This is what subscribers get every morning before the open.
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ImGeld
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ImGeld
@ImGeldTrade
Systematic long-short equity research. Market breadth, industry rotation, stock selection. Portfolio construction. Process over prediction.
Switzerland Katılım Ekim 2025
37 Takip Edilen73 Takipçiler
$XOM buy. $NKE sell.
The industry data already points the same way.
▪ Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels: ranked #15. Score 61.1. momentum is catching up.
▪ Specialty Retail: ranked #37 out of 40. Score 28.7. Momentum deteriorating
Before you pick the stock, check the industry.
$NKE doesn't get better just because it looks cheap.
$XOM has the wind at its back.
Our full industry ranking updated daily 👇
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⚠️1 Stock to Buy, 1 Stock to Sell This Week:
🟢 Buy: ExxonMobil $XOM
🔴 Sell: Nike $NKE
*Source: InvestingPro
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UBS just froze €407M of real estate money. US listed REITs are in positive momentum territory.
▪ Same sector. Different market structure. UBS halted all redemptions from its Euroinvest fund for up to 3 years — citing insufficient liquidity to meet withdrawal requests. Global Banking and Finance
▪ The issue isn't real estate fundamentals. It's a structural mismatch: daily redemptions against assets that take months to sell.
▪ The ImGeld Heat Map is showing something different — US-listed REIT equities on it´s top 5 US Industries, which price and trade in real time.
The signal and the headline are not measuring the same thing
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@JesseCohenInv Restaurant stocks don’t lie.
When the consumer stops eating out, it’s not a sentiment survey.
It’s real behavior. Real data.
JP Morgan: retail buying dips down 70%.
Private credit gates closing across $2T in funds.
And now this.
The consumer was the last line of defense.
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🚨🇺🇸 Restaurant stocks are in freefall.
What happened to the US consumer?
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The gates are closing across private credit. This is bigger than UBS.
∙UBS Euroinvest: $469M frozen for 3 years
∙BlackRock HPS: $26B fund, capped at 5% — half of investors locked out
∙Apollo: investors asked for 11%, got 45% of their request
∙Morgan Stanley: same story, less than half paid out
∙Blue Owl: stopped paying altogether. Issued IOUs.
Illiquid assets. Liquid promises. Private credit defaults at 9.2% — above 2008 peak.
This isn’t one fund having a bad quarter.
This is a sector under stress.
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It just got worse
Breaking: UBS Bank has stopped withdrawals from its nearly $500 million real estate fund for up to 3 years
UBS Bank now joins other asset managers such as BlackRock, Ares Management, Apollo and Blackstone
Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟@burrytracker
Breaking: BlackRock just froze $1.2 billion in withdrawal requests at its private credit fund. Here's what happened: • Investors in BlackRock's $26B fund asked to pull out 9.3% of their money • BlackRock said no — capped withdrawals at 5% • Blackstone's $82B fund saw record withdrawal requests the same week • Blackstone had to put in $400M of its own cash to cover the exits Two of the biggest funds on the planet are limiting how much you can take out.
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Making money is not a result you can force. It is the byproduct of treating every single trade with absolute seriousness.
Most traders do the opposite: They force the trade. Skip the process. Then wonder why the results don't hold.
▪ Wrong industry
▪ Wrong timing
▪ Right conviction, zero structure
The market doesn't reward effort. It rewards process.
That's why we rank all 40 US industries every day before touching a single stock 👇
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Goldman: 7,600 year-end target. S&P today: ~5,580.
That's 36% upside from here.
▪ Morgan Stanley: 7,800
▪ UBS / Deutsche Bank: 7,700–8,000
▪ JPMorgan: just cut from 7,500 → 7,200
Meanwhile the NYSE is printing 613 advancing vs 2,157 declining. NYSI approaching -336. McClellan Oscillator at -137.
The data and the targets are not in the same conversation right now
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Goldman sticking with a 7600 year-end S&P 500 price target
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The McClellan Oscillator is at -137. The NYSI is approaching -336.
These are not the same indicator. Most traders don't know the difference.
▪ McC OSC = velocity. How fast breadth is deteriorating today
▪ NYSI = position. The accumulated weight of every session combined
One tells you what's happening now. The other tells you how deep the damage runs.
Both are at extreme levels. Neither has confirmed a reversal.
We track the NYSI every day in our Market Breadth report.
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The McClellan Oscillator is at -137. No buy signal confirmed yet.
NYSE breadth yesterday: 613 advancing. 2,157 declining. That's not a bottom. That's a rout.
▪ McC OSC: -137.42 (prior: -74.20)
▪ DJIA closed down 793 points
▪ CNN Fear & Greed Index: 10 — extreme fear
The technical buy signal almost triggered one day.
Almost. Two consecutive closes clearly above -100 needed to confirm.
We cover the McClellan Oscillator every day in our Market Breadth report.
We're watching. Not acting yet.
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Why Disciplined Traders Avoid Holding Positions Through Earnings — And Why Knowing the Date in Advance Changes Everything open.substack.com/pub/imgeld1/p/…
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Your stop loss is useless on earnings day.
A stock gaps 14% overnight. Your stop was set 3% below price.
▪ Defined risk: 3%
▪ Actual loss: 14%
▪ That's 4.7x what you thought you were risking
The binary event doesn't drift to your stop — it jumps over it. The ImGeld Fundamental Report tracks days-to-earnings on every candidate. Below 14 days: no new entry.
The stock moves to the radar until the event resolves.
Structure survives. Conviction does not.
Read the full breakdown — link in first comment.
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Ugly day (again) today, but three sectors are up on the day (each by more than 1%): Energy (duh), Utilities and Consumer Staples
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