John Bull
2.7K posts

John Bull
@IndependentRT
Independent Macro Investor. ETF's and Futures markets. Retired Derivatives Trader.
London, United Kingdom Katılım Haziran 2022
231 Takip Edilen267 Takipçiler

@RupertLowe10 That’s an amazing achievement. Just please let’s not let Labour win because of a split vote!

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@darioperkins What’s less obvious is the net effect. Isn’t less labour supposed to lower real interest rates? Less workers need less capital etc. If that’s offset by demographic factors creating inflation what’s the dominant effect?
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The theory didn't fail. Investors just didn't read the research. Demographics and inflation has a U-shaped relationship. Lots of young or lots of old - inflationary. Lots of middle-aged, still in work and saving for retirement - deflationary...
bis.org/publ/work722.p…
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart
@conorsen We should do that, the failures of demographic approaches.
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@Keir_Starmer At this point I can only assume he knows his time is up and he’s just trying to be irritating. Is he even allowed into the US these days? Please go @Keir_Starmer. Enough is enough.
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I condemn the deadly attack on a mosque in San Diego. My thoughts are with those affected.
I know many Muslims in the UK will be shaken by this, worried about their safety when going about their lives and attending mosque, and what it says about the times we’re living in. I understand those fears.
Violence like this does not happen in a vacuum. It grows in an environment where division and anti-Muslim hostility are normalised.
That is intolerable. We must all come together against it.
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@leadlagreport 1990's. It isn't even close. Music, culture and a belief that things would be good forever. Obviously, my age then made a difference too.
Post Tech crash the world has gone mad on debt and now it's just a waiting game before we know it has to be paid back.
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Raoul Pal: "By 2030, the entire economic system has changed."
AI will rewrite the GDP formula...
The old formula:
GDP = population growth (humans) + productivity growth (human output) + debt growth
The new formula:
GDP = population growth (humans + robots + agents) + productivity growth (energy density + compute efficiency) + debt growth.
FT @RaoulGMI @RealVision
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@Jenny_1884 No. I think he’s just genuinely clueless and incompetent.
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@OliLondonTV I take no pleasure in saying it and I wish him all the best. But he is a mentally ill man. Telling him otherwise isn’t helping him.
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@alechenrhin @AmyMek You don’t yet have the problems we have in Europe. Hopefully you won’t.
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@IndependentRT @AmyMek Nevermind, just realized you’re a Brit and not an American. My apologies
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@IndependentRT @AmyMek Yet you think it’s okay for US soldiers to rape the daughters of Iraqis and Afghans
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You allow a million unvetted migrants to wander the country. Many of whom go on to commit serious crime. You allow Islamic extremists to march and to spew hatred for infidels. Then you label British people who are concerned about this as extremist agitators who must be shut down. Are you so naive that you cannot see this is why your are so despised?
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@itsenglishfox I studied Economics at the LSE, as he did. He doesn’t do us any favours. He really is clueless.
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@IndependentRT @dalexnderthegr8 @Dominic2306 Well in the case of Dorset there's only 1 case pending so I'm not sure that's the best case study you could use.
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@SamRWolf @dalexnderthegr8 @Dominic2306 Not really what I asked. I think Dorset has about 600 asylum seekers. Irrespective of the numbers cited in this particular post do you think that these people commit a disproportionate amount of crime?
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@SamRWolf @dalexnderthegr8 @Dominic2306 But you agree that asylum seekers commit a disproportionate amount of crime?
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@IndependentRT @dalexnderthegr8 @Dominic2306 Not to make a claim about the % of sex crime, no.
Only someone deeply fucking stupid would think that.
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@dalexnderthegr8 @Dominic2306 Because the 116 figure is for TOTAL crimes by 51 residents at asylum hotels in Bournemouth including drug use and shop lifting.
It’s NOT for men prosecuted for sex offences. Allison Pearson got confused on GB News and the bullshit’s now repeated by AI and gullible chumps.
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