Nick from The Inside Analyst

@JUST_KAWS $NOW is fundamentally strong and the fair value is well supported. Recently the fair value band declines slightly due to extensive capital spending.

$NOW CEO Bill McDermott bought shares back on February 27th President Trump bought $NOW shares back on February 10th $NVDA CEO Jansen Huang on May 5th is telling you to buy $NOW ServiceNow is a $150 stock trading at $95

@FinanceJack44 $NOW is transitioning from hyper growth to normal growth and the market doesn't know what to expect from AI going forward. That gives us a decent investment opportunity. theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/servicenow-w…

$NOW has one of the most beautiful revenue charts of all time. You don't achieve something like this without a fantastic business model. $NOW has sticky products that lock in recurring revenue. Once they have a foothold, they are able to cross sell numerous other products within a single enterprise, creating massive switching costs. The result is one of the cleanest software compounders to ever exist.

@oguzerkan $META's financials are strong – and capex is high, this is not new but what determines the direction of the stock is whether captial efficiency can rebound theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/meta-is-spen…

I’m surprised to see not that many fund managers bought $META last quarter. It’s probably the easiest buy among the mega-caps right now. Higher inflation is coming, and it will likely be a global phenomenon because of the Iran war. $META’s ad business has enormous pricing power, and it’s systemic. Higher product prices structurally translate into higher ad prices because of the auction system. Look at 2021 and you’ll see it. Revenue jumped by a freaking 37%. Some of that was due to volume growth, and some of it was due to inflation. They are already accelerating right now thanks to AI, and higher global inflation will further fan the flames. If the Fed hikes rates and we enter a recession, $META can still protect the bottom line by reducing its massive capex, just as it did in 2023. Downside protected, upside uncapped. Long $META.

@StockSavvyShay $GOOG is one of the best stocks there is, but we must watch these signals: Capex as % of revenue – rising above 20% Free cash flow – no longer scaling with earnings ROIC – drifting closer to the cost of capital I translated it into a fair value band. theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/alphabet-is-…

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway more than tripled its $GOOGL position last quarter bringing the stake to over $15B.

Some stocks are exceptional on paper. Great moat, great margins, solid cash flows and predictable results. This is where everyone likes to invest. Here are 3 examples - but is it the right time to buy? theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/when-great-b…

@antibearthesis $NOW is fantastic but we must watch some metrics. Is the increased capital spending paying off? We see ROIC below 10% and declining FCF if it materializes there is huge upside even at 50x PE

$NOW is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. 2030 price targets: • Bear case: $315 • Base case: $407 • Bull case: $523 The bull case implies ~22% 5-year FCF CAGR - and it’s achievable through: • Consistent beat-and-raises through 2030 • Operating leverage through AI efficiency unlocks and revenue scaling faster than expenses • NDRR >115% + accelerated token consumption monetization Other key factors: • CEO buying shares while calling for a $1T valuation by 2030 • Strong Rule of 40 performance (~60%), • Multiple “massive” new logo deals going live on the Now platform this quarter Do you think $NOW reaches $500?

@StockTrader_Max If we zoom out a bit we see Growth ~20% Operating margin stable at 22% No debt = strong balance sheet But: Capex above 20% of sales Free cash flow stagnating at 50x PE we must evaluate the efficiency of capex. Cautious buy in my view.

$NOW The more I look at this chart, the more I like it... 📈 IMO ServiceNow has likely completed its correction (or very close to) and offers a great R/R buying opportunity here.. 👀 Could the stock go 10% lower from here? Sure... But the stock can easily go +50% from here too.. 🎯 Bullish divergence is present on the weekly chart, the CEO recently bought shares at $104 and the wave structure looks complete IMO ✅ The company just reported a record quarter and I see this as a great investment opportunity for the months ahead and a great way to position for the rotation that we will likely get in the summer 🤝🏼

Great company ≠ great investment. That’s one of the most expensive mistakes investors make. The market loves these businesses. That may be the problem. theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/when-great-b…

@MMatters22596 In equity research we translate fundamentals into fair value. Look at $ADBE or $META.

These 4 stocks are trading at a ridiculously low valuation. These are absolutely no brainers IMO. Solid growth, extremely profitable, absolutely disrespected by the market. 1. $ADBE 9.7x FWD P/E 42.2% FCF Margin 2. $JD 9.3x FWD P/E 40% EPS growth 3. $META 22.2x FWD P/E $81.2B in cash 4. $NVO 12.3x FWD P/E 27% FCF Margin

@patientinvestor Interesting insights - you probably used the NOPLAT as nominator which is one variant of course. But if we strip out capex as well to show the actual cash generated per dollar of capital tied up in the business the picture changes. So the formula becomes FCFF / invested capital

Stocks with 20%+ ROIC trading below 20x earnings: 1. Meta $META: ROIC: 28% PE: 18x 2. Adobe $ADBE: ROIC: 49% PE: 10x 3. Booking $BKNG: ROIC: 56% PE: 14x 4. Copart $CPRT: ROIC: 25% PE: 19x 5. McDonald's $MCD: ROIC: 28% PE: 19x 6. Home Depot $HD: ROIC: 25% PE: 19x

@fiscal_ai Fun fact - look at the stability of $AAPL's valuation. You see a correlation between predictability of cash flows (low capex) and valuation stability -> stock that invest modestly like AAPL are more stable than transforming businesses like $AMZN

Meta currently trades at the lowest valuation among all big tech companies. Forward P/E: $AAPL 32x $AMZN 32x $GOOGL 31x $NVDA 26x $MSFT 22x $META 18x

@Banana3Stocks Here is what equity analysts see: growth 20% ✅ margin stability ✅ Extreme capex reduces free cash flow = less for shareholders ❌ Capital efficiency measured by ROIC below 10% ❌ Valuation PE at 50x = market still has high expectations A cautious buy in my view.

$NOW 🎯 $120 BIG MOVE IN SERVICENOW IS IMMINENT I’ve been adding shares and some longer dated calls Weekly chart BULLISH MACD CROSSOVER just started is one positive divergence and secondly RSI also has a positive divergence The Banana325SMA at $125 will act as a magnet 🧲

@topsecretstocks Cautiously buying - but we have to watch capex as % of sales >20%, that reduces free cash flow. We must track the efficiency of that investment (ROIC) So far ROIC sits below 10%, this must go up

Who is buying $NOW? Bill McDermott, CEO $NOW states that "We will be a $1T dollar company, not a question of whether it will happen. $NOW's current market cap: $94.33B That's literally a 10X 👀 So you think that this scenario is possible? Comment below 👇

$VRTX has exceptional margins. I use my Financial X-Ray methodology to translate underlying financials into a visible fair value band. Sales growth constant at ~10% EBITDA margin compressing 47% → 42% FCF stagnating 3.3bn → 3.2bn That's the decline we see in 2026.

@Barchart Agreed! Translated $MCD's financials into a fair value.

BREAKING 🚨: McDonald's $MCD now trading at its lowest price since 2024 📉📉

@WolfOfTrenchess $PLTR = Durability Overpricing $NOW and $CRM = Normalization paradox Both have stellar fundamentals but not all are good investments. theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/servicenow-w…

$NOW vs $PLTR vs $CRM Three AI software kings. One question: Which one actually belongs in your portfolio? Let's let the numbers decide. $NOW — ServiceNow The silent compounder → Forward P/E: 21.7x — cheapest of the three → Revenue growth: 22% YoY — consistent and predictable → FCF Margin: 44% — cash printing machine → AI adoption: Now Assist customers +130% YoY → Avg analyst target: $144 — 58% upside from here → Net cash: $2.75B — fortress balance sheet The verdict: Highest quality. Lowest risk. The default AI control tower for enterprises — and still the most underrated of the three. $PLTR — Palantir The hypergrowth monster → Forward P/E: 97x — yes, it's expensive. Keep reading. → Revenue growth: 85% YoY — the fastest in enterprise software → FCF Margin: 57% — more profitable than most "cheap" companies → AI adoption: 206 deals worth $1M+ in Q1 alone → Avg analyst target: $194 — 41% upside from here → Net cash: $7.8B — zero debt, unlimited runway The verdict: Insane valuation. Insane growth. When a company raises guidance to 71% and still beats — the market eventually has to pay up. This is the asymmetric bet. $CRM — Salesforce The sleeping giant → Forward P/E: 13.8x — by far the cheapest → Revenue growth: 12% YoY — boring, but re-accelerating → Agentforce ARR: $800M — +169% YoY→ RPO backlog: $72.4B — visibility for years → Avg analyst target: $279 — 54% upside from here → Net debt: -$8.15B — the one balance sheet risk The verdict: The value play nobody talks about. 14x forward with the biggest installed base in enterprise software and Agentforce scaling faster than anyone expected. The "safe" way to own agentic AI. The real question isn't which one to pick. It's which combination fits your conviction. 💬 Which of the three are you most positioned in right now? 👇

@StockSavvyShay Do we value the economic moat of stocks like $MU or $SNDK correctly? These stocks are priced for eternity but who tells us that demand is equally high in 3 years and what prevents clients from switching? If we have an answer to that we can buy - even now

Six months ago, $MU was a $300B company that many thought was already at peak earnings. This past week, it added another $300B in market cap in five days. You probably shouldn’t call top on memory in an AI cycle where every model generation demands more HBM, DRAM & bandwidth.

$SNDK didn’t suddenly become great. It got pulled up by AI demand: EBITDA: -$1.2B → +$5.5B FCF: negative → $4.5B That’s pricing + cycle. Cyclicals look strongest at the top. Focus on sustainability – not peak numbers.

This week’s Financial X-Ray screens for companies with: High upside Strong financials health Strong valuation support Real operational risks that investors cannot ignore They all look attractive on paper. theinsideanalyst.substack.com/p/the-market-m…

@JeffWeniger Question is: what do they get out of it. Metrics like ROIC track that for us and so far it is not value enhancing for $MSFT. But we have to give it some time.

Microsoft having capital expenditures equal to 37% of its revenues would have been unthinkable a decade ago. This is supposed to be a software company, but these are numbers you see for an industrial company, or an oil & gas play, or a railroad, or something like that.