
Economists expect inflation to rise to 4.9% in FY27, up sharply from 2.1% in FY26.
The main pressure points are higher oil prices, food costs, and global geopolitical tension.
The forecast is above the RBI’s 4% comfort zone, which means household budgets could feel tighter.
Crude oil is expected around $95 a barrel, adding to imported inflation pressure.
El Nino risks could hurt crop output and keep food prices elevated.
India’s GDP growth is projected to slow from 7.6% in FY26 to 6.6% in FY27.

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