Deniz Kilic | US Investing

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Deniz Kilic | US Investing banner
Deniz Kilic | US Investing

Deniz Kilic | US Investing

@InvestWithDeniz

Sharing what I learn about the US stock market Long-term mindset • Market structure • Risk awareness

Düsseldorf, Germany Katılım Haziran 2010
519 Takip Edilen223 Takipçiler
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
The game is rigged. Let's not pretend it isn't. Washington insiders, their friends, and their families are legally front-running the market with every "surprise" announcement and closed-door meeting. They create the chaos. They trade the chaos. And they use your panic as their exit strategy. Trying to day-trade their drama is a guaranteed way to lose. You will never be faster than them. So how do you win? You don't play their game. You make them irrelevant. Here is the anti-insider playbook: 1. Your Timeline is Your Weapon. They think in minutes. They have to. Their edge is knowing what's happening today. Your edge is knowing that fundamentals win over decades. While they're chasing a 5% pop on a tweet, you're compounding for 1,000% over 20 years. They're sprinting. You're running a marathon they can't even finish. 2. Stop Picking Needles. Buy the Haystack. The single biggest mistake retail investors make is trying to find the next $TSLA. Insiders can bet big on one or two stocks because they have inside info. You don't. Your defense is to own EVERYTHING. Buy the entire U.S. economy through low-cost index funds. They can't tank the whole market without starting a revolution. 3. Buy Boring Businesses, Not Buzz. Turn off the news. Stop looking for the "next big thing." Instead, buy shares in profitable, "boring" companies that make things people need no matter who is in office. Think waste management, consumer staples, and enterprise software. They bet on hype. You bet on reality. Let them have their rigged casino. You're not a gambler. You're an owner. #Investing #StockMarket #Finance #Trading #Stocks #Corruption $SPY $VOO $QQQ $DIA
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
Markets are open. Volatility is back. And timelines are full of fear. Let’s slow this down. What are you feeling right now? It’s not new. It’s not unique. And most importantly, it’s not permanent. Here’s the truth most people forget in moments like this: Volatility is the price of admission. You don’t get the long-term upside of assets like $SPY, $QQQ, $VTI, $AAPL, $MSFT, and $NVDA without enduring periods exactly like this. If markets only went up smoothly, everyone would be rich. That’s not how this works. Zoom out. The market feels chaotic on a 1-day chart. It looks noisy on a 1-month chart. But on a 5-year chart? It tells a completely different story. Every major dip in history felt like “this time is different.” And yet: • The trend persisted • Businesses kept growing • Long-term investors were rewarded Separate price from value. Prices move fast. Fundamentals move slow. Ask yourself: 👉 Has anything fundamentally changed about the companies or indices you own? 👉 Or is this a reaction driven by sentiment, positioning, and headlines? Because those are not the same thing. Have a plan—or build one. Panic comes from uncertainty. If you already had a strategy: Stick to it. If you didn’t: Now is the time to define one—not react emotionally. Consistency beats intensity every time. Red days are not the enemy. They are where future returns are born. Lower prices today = higher expected returns tomorrow. That doesn’t mean going all-in. It means staying disciplined. This is where dollar-cost averaging quietly does its job. Control what you can. Ignore what you can’t. You can’t control: • Market direction • Headlines • Short-term volatility You can control: • Your behavior • Your risk exposure • Your time horizon That’s where the edge is. Let’s normalize something: Even experienced investors feel uncomfortable in markets like this. The difference? They don’t let emotions dictate decisions. And most importantly: These days will pass. They always do. The market doesn’t reward the fastest reaction. It rewards patience, discipline, and perspective. Stay calm. Stay invested. Stay focused. #Investing #StockMarket #LongTerm #WealthBuilding #DCA #FinancialFreedom #Markets #Volatility #StayTheCourse
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: President Trump threatens to revoke the EU's "favorable access" to US LNG shipments if they do not implement their trade deal with the US. Details include: 1. The US-EU trade deal reached in 2025 lowered tariffs to 15% on most EU exports, but EU ratification has been delayed 2. The EU is set to vote on the pact on Thursday, which includes an agreement for the EU to buy $750B worth of US energy by 2028 3. Energy purchases include LNG, oil and civil nuclear technologies 4. The threat comes at a time where EU LNG prices have surged amid the Strait of Hormuz's closure Trade tensions seem to be mounting in the background.
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Pavski
Pavski@doodeck1·
@InvestWithDeniz @HedgeFundFomo Yeah but only his closest friends can benefit from this manipulation. For simple folks like you and me it's already too late to act.
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Michael (Hedge Fund Manager)
Michael (Hedge Fund Manager)@HedgeFundFomo·
I've been analyzing the stock market for 50 years I manage billions of dollars and I'm an expert in macroeconomics Here's exactly what will happen from here with the Iran situation: I have no fucking idea
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
An interesting pivot from "AI nonsense" to national security. And you're absolutely right. That's the core of the problem. When foreign policy is that unpredictable, state secrets become just another asset class for insiders to trade. It's not just a market risk; it's a national security failure. It proves the original point of my post: for the average person, trying to trade that level of classified chaos is a losing game. The only winning move is to refuse to play.
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AF Post
AF Post@AFpost·
At 6:50 am Eastern, $1.5 Billion worth of S&P 500 futures contracts were purchased. 14 minutes later, at 7:04 am Eastern, President Trump announced that discussions with Iran were underway. Follow: @AFpost
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
Dedollarization was a bull-market story. When volatility returned, global capital ran toward USD assets; not away from them. You don’t replace a monetary system with a narrative. You replace it with liquidity. $DXY $USD $BTC #Macro #Stocks
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
@PhilosophyOnX Exactly. You're not missing the point, you're making it. The suffering isn't a separate issue—it's the commodity they're trading. They bet on the chaos that leaves people homeless and the wars that leave people dead. It's blood money. Thanks for your attention.
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Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker ♟
Breaking: The President's son can not stop winning Eric Trump became a strategic investor in XTEND on February 17, 2026. XTEND is an Israeli AI drone maker that has contracts with the Department of Defense and had already been battle tested in Gaza. On February 28, the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran Five days later, XTEND mobilized drone teams from the U.S. at the request of Israel's Ministry of Defense XTEND is reportedly merging with JFB Construction Holdings in a deal valued at $1.5B to go public on Nasdaq, expected to close around mid-2026. The Trump's family intuition strikes again
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🚨 LATEST: Traders placed $580M in oil bets 15 minutes before Trump's Truth Social post on Iran talks, with 6,200 contracts changing hands, per FT.
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
@Coinvo Forget "insider trading." Trump gave the world "insider tweeting." And his friends were always the first to get the notification.📣
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Coinvo
Coinvo@Coinvo·
🇺🇸 PETER SCHIFF: "Trump escalated the war on Saturday, then turned around just before the stock market opened on Monday." "Is he a master negotiator, market manipulator, or just has no idea what he's doing?"
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
İnsanlar buna içeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti diyor, ancak İran müzakereleriyle ilgili gizli bilgileri piyasa işlemi için ifşa etmek ciddi bir ulusal güvenlik riski yaratır. Trump’ın dış politikaya yönelik tutarsız yaklaşımı sadece pervasızca değildi; aynı zamanda hükümet içindeki herkesin bunu istismar etmesi için bir fırsat doğurdu. 🤷‍♂️
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Bora Özkent Official
Bora Özkent Official@BoraOzkent·
Trump Tweet Atarak Borsaları Dağıtıyor ! Video Linki: youtu.be/gA5q-cMHJ4M Bugün piyasalardaki sert oynaklığın arkasındaki ana hikâyeyi anlatıyorum: Trump’ın İran açıklamaları, artan jeopolitik riskler ve petrol tarafındaki arz şoku. ABD endeksleri kritik teknik seviyelerde tutunmaya çalışırken, enerji ve haber akışı fiyatlamaları yönlendiriyor. Hem makro hem teknik açıdan net bir çerçeve sunuyorum.
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
@business The most dangerous thing Trump did was show everyone it was possible. He created the roadmap for turning political power into personal wealth, and now we're shocked when everyone else follows it? He didn't just break the norms; he shattered them. 🤷‍♂️
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Bloomberg
Bloomberg@business·
Contracts representing millions of barrels of oil changed hands about 15 minutes before a social media post from Trump that sent crude prices tumbling by as much as 14% bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
@FT Trump treated the Dow Jones like his personal plaything. He could make it jump or crash with a single tweet, and you can bet his inner circle always knew which way he was about to throw it. It was a game for him, but it was our economy. 🤷‍♂️
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Deniz Kilic | US Investing
Deniz Kilic | US Investing@InvestWithDeniz·
@shanaka86 Let me clarify: The European Union is grappling with an energy crisis, and the response from its most significant ally is a threat? Employing liquefied natural gas as a weapon to coerce a trade agreement is utterly disgraceful. Europe deserves a partner, not a bully.
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
BREAKING: President Trump just told 450 million Europeans: sign my deal by Thursday or I cut your gas. And if you think this is impulsive, you are not paying attention. This is the most calculated energy play in American history. Qatar’s LNG is offline. Force Majeure. Ras Laffan shut after Iranian drones hit it on Day 3. Seventeen percent of global LNG capacity gone for 3 to 5 years. Russia’s pipeline gas to Europe was severed after Ukraine. Norway is maxed. Europe’s LNG prices have surged 35 to 50 percent since Hormuz closed. One supplier remains at scale: the United States. Trump’s ambassador to the EU just told the Parliament: ratify the $750 billion trade deal without amendments by Thursday March 26, or lose “favorable access” to American LNG. Now decode the strategic geopolitical chess game which is being played in realtime. Saturday night, Trump posted a 48-hour ultimatum threatening to obliterate Iranian power plants. That was not about Iran. That was about oil prices. He needed them high enough to terrify Europe into ratifying the LNG deal, but not so high that American consumers revolted before the midterms. The ultimatum spiked Brent past $113 and WTI past $100 on Sunday. Monday morning, Trump posted about “productive conversations” and paused the power plant strikes for five days. Oil crashed over 10 percent in hours. WTI hit $89. The S&P surged $2 trillion. He spiked oil to create the fear. Then crashed it to create the relief. The fear makes Europe sign. The relief makes American voters forgive the war. Both moves serve the same president. Both happened within 36 hours. Both were executed with social media posts, not missiles. The $750 billion deal is the permanent monetisation of Europe’s energy vulnerability. LNG. Oil. Civil nuclear. Locked in until 2028. The EU had been delaying ratification for months. Three wars removed every alternative: Iran removed Qatar, Ukraine removed Russia, Norway’s geology removed Norway. What remains is American LNG. Trump is not selling gas. He is selling the absence of alternatives. The 5-day power-plant pause expires Saturday March 28. The EU Parliament votes Thursday March 26. Europe must ratify American energy dependency two days before the war might escalate again. If the pause collapses Saturday and Iran executes Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” regional energy infrastructure, European LNG prices spike after the deal is already signed. Trump gets the $750 billion commitment at crisis pricing, then potentially triggers the next crisis 48 hours later. The deal locks in before the leverage expires. This is Trump Doctrine in its purest form. He does not separate trade from security from energy from markets. He operates them as one instrument. The war degrades Iran. The degradation closes Hormuz. The closure spikes energy. The spike terrifies Europe. The terror forces the deal. The deal locks in $750 billion. The pause crashes oil. The crash rallies stocks. The rally preserves midterm support. Every move funds the next move. He used the words “Department of War” in the pause announcement. Not Defence. The pre-1947 name. The name that tells Europe: the man offering you gas can resume bombing power plants on Saturday. Yesterday Russia signed a deal to build Vietnam’s first nuclear plant. Today Trump threatens to cut Europe’s gas. Two great powers selling energy security to two desperate continents during the same war. Both profit from the crisis. Both lock in decades of dependency. Both timed the offer to the moment the customer cannot refuse. The strait closed the alternatives. The ultimatum created the fear. The pause created the relief. The deal monetises both. Thursday is payday. Full deep dive analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet media
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