Stansberry Investor Hour

JOIN US NOW🚨 Let's Talk Tariffs! | Diamond's Edge Live Today, @DiamondTrader10 discusses world indexes, massive divergence within the US, and short term setups heading into earnings! twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…

This week on @Investor_Hour, Needham Funds managing director John Barr discusses the power of compounding, his preference to hold on to quality companies for a long time, and reminds investors to know and play to their strengths. Watch Interview ➡️ sbry.media/InvestorHour407

Alert🚨 Another must-read @dferris1961 article ⬇️

"There's this culture in #finance and #trading and #investing now, where it's turned to gambling," states @MattWeinschenk on @Investor_Hour. Watch Interview ➡️ sbry.media/SIH406

Retail Investors are Still Buying the Dip "The recent #stock market correction, with the S&P 500 falling 10%, hasn't scared away the herd of mom-and-pop retail #investors. According to trading-activity firm VandaTrack, individual investors have plowed $67 billion into stocks so far in 2025. That's only slightly below the $71 billion in #inflows from the fourth quarter of 2024 – when the S&P 500 gained about 2% and the Nasdaq rose about 5%. Last week, retail investors bought the dip in their favorite stocks... Elon Musk's Tesla (TSLA) saw $3.2 billion in retail inflows last week, while #chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) saw $1.9 billion in inflows. And during the 10% pullback in the S&P 500, which lasted 15 trading days between February 19 and March 13, retail investors were net sellers on only five of those days... while their big "buy the dip" mentality showed on six days straight," explains @Corey_McL.

"The [AI] models themselves look like they're gonna be pretty commoditized," states @MattWeinschenk. "Where is it in 5 or 10 years? We just have to be along for the ride," he tells @Investor_Hour. Watch Interview ➡️ sbry.media/SIH406

"In the latest #FOMC projections report... everything moved in the wrong direction. The median #GDP growth estimate for 2025 fell from 2.1% to 1.7%. Meanwhile, expectations for inflation – as measured by the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, personal consumption expenditures ("PCE") – rose from 2.5% to 2.7%. PCE typically runs about half a percent below the more widely used consumer price index ("CPI"), which would reflect a CPI of up to 3.2%. The #Fed also shared the FOMC's range of expectations. Some worry #economic growth will fall as low as 1% and that inflation could be as high as 3.5%. There's a name for lower growth and higher inflation. It's called stagflation. And this is precisely the problem with President @realDonaldTrump's #tariff plan... Even if you believe that #tariffs will revive American manufacturing, create jobs, and lead to more growth in our economy... it likely won't happen for at least a couple years. It takes time to reorganize supply chains and build factories. Until then, tariffs will slow growth," states @MattWeinschenk.

Last Friday, President @realDonaldTrump sat in the Oval Office, and in response to a reporter's question about his tariff strategy, Trump said, "I don't change, but the word "flexibility" is an important word. Sometimes there's flexibility, so there'll be flexibility." White House media availability was supposed to be about the Defense Department's plans for a sixth-generation fighter jet, the F-47, which Boeing (BA) won the bid to manufacture. But for the investing crowd, the word "flexibility" was much bigger than a new fighter jet. Now, it's hard to say precisely what tariff flexibility will look like... in part because I (@Corey_McL) doubt anybody but Trump and a few other people will know what it looks like until it happens. So, "uncertainty" will continue to play a role.

"Stansberry Research does have a philosophy that is ingrained in our style of investing... we really do start with business quality," says our director of research @MattWeinschenk. Watch Interview ➡️ sbry.media/SIH406

A thought-provoking article from @dferris1961 ⬇️

Wise words from Dan Rasmussen ⬇️ #gold #goldinvesting #goldprice #preciousmetals

"It's a good bet that a broader basket will do better from current prices than a focus on European defense stocks, which have become exorbitantly expensive. Rheinmetall (RNMBY) now trades at nearly 120 times earnings. European exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") include defense stocks, but they also tend to be much more equally weighted than the S&P 500 Index. The top 10 S&P 500 stocks make up about 35% of the index today – slightly below the recent all-time record of 37%. Some of the European stock ETFs I've found have just 18% of their assets in the top 10 names – roughly half the S&P 500's concentration. And as I've been writing for months, the S&P 500 is very expensive. The index currently trades for around 25 times current earnings. Meanwhile, the largest Europe ETFs trade around 17 to 18 times current earnings, roughly 30% cheaper," explains @dferris1961.

Past @Investor_Hour guest @cullenroche of @DisciplineFunds recently covered "The Importance of Temporal Diversification": "We can't always afford to only think about 10, 12, or 20 years out. And so, we all need some degree of even shorter temporal diversification," he states. Roche uses temporal #diversification to structure client portfolios. He likes to define asset allocations by duration. He recognizes five basic duration categories: zero to two years, two to five years, five to 15 years, 15-plus years, and "uncertain." Of that final category, Roche says: "Uncertain – this is your insurance bucket. It's there because the unknown happens. It's best matched to literal insurance (always buy term life insurance to cover a specific term of your life) or if used in a savings #portfolio it can be matched to instruments that display insurance-like features (typically options, tail risk funds, #gold, etc.)."

Today on @Investor_Hour, Verdad Advisers founder @verdadcap discusses the two underpinnings of his #investment philosophy including a skepticism for #forecasts and how correlated beliefs can drive cyclicality in #markets. Watch Interview ➡️ sbry.media/InvestorHour405

"Trump's America first, America first, shouldn't that have favored US equity markets?" questions @verdadcap. "Global capital flows into the US now seem to be reversing," he tells @Investor_Hour. Watch Interview ➡️ sbry.media/InvestorHour405

This week's episode is now live! ⬇️

In a time when many investors are exhibiting "irrational behavior." It pays to sit back and listen to what the "Oracle" of Omaha, #WarrenBuffett, says. Read this timeless piece of #investing advice from his 1997 letter to #Berkshire shareholders: "If you plan to eat hamburgers throughout your life and are not a cattle producer, should you wish for higher or lower prices for beef? Likewise, if you are going to buy a car from time to time but are not an auto manufacturer, should you prefer higher or lower car prices? These questions, of course, answer themselves. But now for the final exam: If you expect to be a net saver during the next five years, should you hope for a higher or lower #stockmarket during that period?" Many #investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall. In effect, they rejoice because prices have risen for the "hamburgers" they will soon be buying. This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices," he explains.

Mark your calendars! ⬇️

According to a recent report from hiring firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas - employers announced 221,812 job cuts in 2025, the highest year-to-date total since 2009, when 428,099 job cuts were planned. These market factors and sectors have contributed the most to this total ⬇️