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@IsolatedPlay_

When my intuition changes, I change my mind.

Katılım Mayıs 2024
372 Takip Edilen2.5K Takipçiler
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IP
IP@IsolatedPlay_·
🚨Introducing Tactical Power Ratings (TPR) Measures any manager containing Opta-era data using two sophisticated metrics; • Shot Domination % = (Shots For / Shots For + Shots Against) * 100. Weighed based on game-states to eliminate desperate attempts or the leading team 'backing off' when maintaining a comfortable lead (100% if the score is within 2-goal deficit, 45% for =3, 15% for >=4). Benefits teams that can kill the game off early and removes stat-padding. The number is then normalized against the league average of the specific season as well as the strength of the opponent, ensuring it is NOT due to the strength of the players, but by how much the manager tactically outperforms his opponent relative to their strength. For instance, the league average against Burnley this season for Raw Shot Share is ≈ 67.8%, and in GW12 Chelsea came up against them under Maresca only managing to bolster a 65.2% raw shot share, meaning his team underperformed by -2.6% to the rest of the league (normalizing to league), and given Maresca's average career shot dominance measures at +5.3%, it means he underperformed by -7.9% in that particular match compared to what was expected. Ensuring managers get benefitted irrespective of their teams 'natural' quality. • NET Shot Quality % = (W. Avg xG/Shot - W. Avg xG/Shot Conc) * 100. This is the efficiency metric, and it is similarly weighed using the same game-state percentiles for the same reasons mentioned earlier to prevent blowouts etc, and benefits managers that can obviously generate higher quality chances, and only concede lower quality ones. So, using our example of Chelsea's 2-0 victory away at Burnley earlier in the season, Maresca's team generated an average 0.12xG per shot, and only conceded one's worth 0.05xG, meaning a +0.07 margin or 7%. Finally, the actual TPR, which you can see by the color graph. This isn't calculated using a standard 1:1 ratio of the two X/Y variables, instead by a 1:1.55 (Shot Domination: Shot Quality), as research proves efficiency is 0.23 times more predictive of PPG than volume. Net Shot Quality measuring the efficiency holds a 0.65 correlation with PPG, with Shot Domination only showing a 0.42 correlation with PPG. So, TPR = (Shot Domination + (Net Shot Quality * 1.55)) / 2.55)... Essentially the holy grail of a manager's capability. I've inserted a graph of permanent PL managers since the 20/21 season, reminding you that it samples their entire careers outside the PL, meaning not completely indicative of their actual success in the PL that has its own (dominant) tactical niche.
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@GoatLaimer That boads into Mudryk’s favor tho lmao. Tactical development doesn’t hinge upon physical capabilities
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MF🏂@GoatLaimer·
@IsolatedPlay_ Also modric played ~15k minutes before 25, so their development isn’t similar
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@akira_kapadia Commonly used in everyday lingo
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@codedwinger Not true. His movement was just never anywhere near good enough to get into more shooting events
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.@codedwinger·
@IsolatedPlay_ Except the ball striking rarely translates into games.
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@Jacob42326886 @NotAFtbl Nope it’s primarily movement is by far the highest yielding differentiator for goal output
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Jacob@Jacob42326886·
@NotAFtbl @IsolatedPlay_ If he has ball striking mechanics only worse than Ronaldo it should have at least some reflection on the pitch
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@NotAFtbl CR the only worthy comparison
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☔️@NotAFtbl·
@IsolatedPlay_ Ik u ain’t being serious CR7, bale, Suarez, Benz exist and that’s just this era
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@GoatLaimer Another thing to note is he’s a top 1% athlete even at this level. He’s nuts physically. Won’t be a problem for him
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@GoatLaimer Modric didn’t even play in Europe until he was like 24. He’ll just have a later career
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
He actually looks like Cristiano too
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@LDNbluecfc You’re not. Don’t doubt yourself
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C🧢@LDNbluecfc·
@IsolatedPlay_ The Newcastle performance sandwich between was more worrisome than the two legs for me. Just don't think we have the battery for 3 comps with our depleted squad. Maybe I'm an optimism merchant, but rather than that miserable
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
The real ones that cope are those that respond to their emotions. Even if you say something self humiliating guised as realism - that’s cope. It’s easier to say that when you’re in the dumps than to rationally view things without the pretext of whatever emotional state you’re in.
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@433Shae Masses are hysterical sheep
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Shaé@433Shae·
@IsolatedPlay_ Yes quite literally. Like to know there r level headed fans around. We quite literally had the same xg as psg and they scored 8
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@wossa_3 quiet
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@LDNbluecfc The two performances both weren’t nearly as bad as the ones you listed
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C🧢@LDNbluecfc·
@IsolatedPlay_ There have been plenty of matches worth losing our heads about this season. Brentford, Leeds, United especially. The tie against PSG just is what it is. 80 minutes of perfect football undone by individual errors and world class finishing. That's football.
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IP retweetledi
EBL
EBL@EBL2017·
Chelsea's squad is in a very special place and Liam Rosenior is a very exciting young coach. 8-2 is not a fair reflection of the PSG tie. No chance. Chelsea went toe-to-toe in the first leg and suffered injury-wise in the second game. This squad is only one/two players away…
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
We’ve all been there before where we feel like the whole world is against us, nothing will ever turn out as hoped, we will never get rewarded, we’re no good at whatever we do. It’s cope. People attacking me because i’m the one not coping, but instead rationally viewing things.
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IP@IsolatedPlay_·
@SlotMindset We’re gonna finish above you
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