Ivan Massow

Anyone can post their winners. We post everything. "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?" — 30% loss. We got this one wrong. Overall: 55W-45L (55% win rate). The engine learns. So do we. Full transparency at noah-edge.com

Anyone can post their winners. We post everything. "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April...?" — 9% loss. We got this one wrong. Overall: 24W-9L (73% win rate). The engine learns. So do we. Full transparency at noah-edge.com

This one didn't work. 9% loss. "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after April 29,...?" We said higher at 12c. Wrong. We publish every call — not just the wins. That's how you build trust in intelligence. 24W-9L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

This one didn't work. 14% loss. "Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?" We said higher at 11c. Wrong. We publish every call — not just the wins. That's how you build trust in intelligence. 24W-9L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

Anyone can post their winners. We post everything. "Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?" — 15% loss. We got this one wrong. Overall: 24W-9L (73% win rate). The engine learns. So do we. Full transparency at noah-edge.com

This one didn't work. 30% loss. "US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?" We said higher at 3c. Wrong. We publish every call — not just the wins. That's how you build trust in intelligence. 24W-9L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

We don't just build intelligence — we prove it works. Every call we make on prediction markets is published in real time. This one returned +4%. "US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?" 13c -> 14c 24W-9L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

+7% on "Will there be no Fed rate cuts in 2026?" 17c -> 11c We test our intelligence engine on prediction markets and publish every result. 73% win rate. noah-edge.com

We don't just build intelligence — we prove it works. Every call we make on prediction markets is published in real time. This one returned +16%. "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?" 71c -> 82c 24W-9L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

+84% on "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in ...?" 84c -> 72c We test our intelligence engine on prediction markets and publish every result. 73% win rate. noah-edge.com

Our intelligence engine spotted this edge 6 hours before the market moved. "Will the Feds lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?" Higher at 12c -> 12c. +4%. We publish every call — wins and losses. 55W-44L so far. noah-edge.com/scoreboard

Not every signal converts. This one cost us 35%. "Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2?" Our engine is right 55% of the time. The other 45% is how we learn. Every result — good and bad — published live. noah-edge.com/scoreboard

Not every signal converts. This one cost us 100%. "Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on Mar?" Our engine is right 56% of the time. The other 44% is how we learn. Every result — good and bad — published live. noah-edge.com/scoreboard

Anyone can post their winners. We post everything. "Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?" — 5% loss. We got this one wrong. Overall: 54W-42L (56% win rate). The engine learns. So do we. Full transparency at noah-edge.com

Not every signal converts. This one cost us 4%. "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 a?" Our engine is right 56% of the time. The other 44% is how we learn. Every result — good and bad — published live. noah-edge.com/scoreboard

We don't just build intelligence — we prove it works. Every call we make on prediction markets is published in real time. This one returned +8%. "Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on?" 84c -> 85c 53W-40L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

This one didn't work. 35% loss. "Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March?" We said higher at 20c. Wrong. We publish every call — not just the wins. That's how you build trust in intelligence. 51W-36L at noah-edge.com/scoreboard

Not every signal converts. This one cost us 5%. "Paxton likely to formally run vs Cornyn by late Q2 2026?" Our engine is right 59% of the time. The other 41% is how we learn. Every result — good and bad — published live. noah-edge.com/scoreboard

Anyone can post their winners. We post everything. "ISM services stays in expansion with price pressure emp?" — 5% loss. We got this one wrong. Overall: 50W-34L (60% win rate). The engine learns. So do we. Full transparency at noah-edge.com

+5% on "Iran-linked energy pricing risk leaks into US i...?" 28c -> 30c We test our intelligence engine on prediction markets and publish every result. 60% win rate. noah-edge.com