Ivan Snurer
589 posts

Ivan Snurer
@IvanSnurer
Investing at the Intersection of Quantitative and Behavioral Finance
Katılım Ocak 2012
6 Takip Edilen363 Takipçiler


A brief history of how U.S. bull and bear markets impact financial markets and the economy
#SP500 #Bonds #Commodities #WallStreet

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Who’s panicking?
The oil gauge signals investors are nervous, fearing an escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict
The key factor driving the market volatility is the potential impact on global oil supplies
#SP500 #CrudeOil #WallStreet

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Widening the view
#FactorInvesting works better with European #Stocks than American
Lower economic growth > lower corporate profits > lower #StockMarket returns > greater need for generating excess return > more focus on distinct factors
#Value #Size #Momentum #LowVol #Quality

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Wall Street’s turmoil
The S&P 500 eyes bear market territory as Trump’s tariffs triggered a global sell-off
#WallStreet #SP500 #Nasdaq #Volatility #Gold #OIl #BondMarkets

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The Big Five of factor investing
Factors help investors understand differences in long-term returns
Factor investing targets securities with specific characteristics and can be used to enhance returns or manage risk
#Value #SmallCap #Momentum #LowVolatility #Quality

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European stocks haven’t kept up with #WallStreet since 2009, but are on a roll
The #EuroStoxx50 is the benchmark of 50 blue-chip companies from 11 countries in the eurozone
The #SP500 tracks the performance of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States

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Teddy bear or Grizzly
The current correction could morph into a #BearMarket
Bear markets occur every seven year on average
If the current correction continues, this will be the third bear market in less than seven years
#SP500 #WallStreet #Bonds #Commodities

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Risk on, Risk off
Donald Trump’s election victory was seen as the swan song for #European #Stocks
Forget #MAGA, Investors want MEGA [Make America/Europe Great Again] and are now betting it could actually be the opposite
#WallStreet #StocksInFocus #MarketsOnTheMove

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Since 1980 #WallStreet experienced 6 bull & bear markets
Bear markets declined on average 36% in 14 months
Whereas bull markets middling lasted 6.2 years and returned 333%
Yet, nobody knows when the ongoing #bullmarket will end and how severe it will be
#SP500 #Bonds #Commodities

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Get to know: the new S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Family
Almost two decades after the introduction of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats S&P Global launched last September the S&P 500 Quality FCF Aristocrats
#SP500 #Aristocrats #Dividend #Quality @WallStreet

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Is the #MagnificentSeven still a good bet for 2025?
The Bull Case sees the #Mag7 reaching 34193 pts, a rise of 41.4%
The Base Case predicts 27514 pts, an increase of 13.8%
The Bear Case foretells a drop to 20574 pts, a loss of 14.9%
#WallStreet #SP500

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The markets are doing well this year, and some stocks do very well. That invites #WindowDressing.
Not only do #momentum stocks gain strength as the year progresses, the also perform well in the last three months of the year, traditionally the strongest quarter.
#SP500 #WallStreet


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Concentration vs Diversification
Apparently Harry Markowitz found a free lunch in finance
#Diversification involves investing across various assets
#Concentration focuses on a limited number of assets
What wins in the long term: Index fund or Top 10 S&P stocks?
#WallStreet #SP500


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Although there are regional differences in the first half of 2024, #Momentum stocks outpaced the broad market, and #Quality became a momentum trade. #LowVolatility is along with Enhanced #Value the worst performing factor.
#SP500 #WallStreet #European #StockMarket

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In theory a stock split compares to cutting a piece of cake. It doesn’t impact a company’s fundamental position and therefore creates no additional value
In practice the number of shares outstanding increases. This will boost its stock’s liquidity
#WallStreet $NVDA

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