JB
108 posts

JB
@JB_Invests
$ALMU Investor. None of my tweets should be considered financial advice. Purely for entertainment purposes.



"I expect a euphoric rally" Up 120% since. I was one of the first people to ever post about $ALMU. The recent rally basically blew up the entire bear case - They have no foundry, no backing and need to dilute hard for RnD and its too speculative. > $TSEM deal > Supplied by Sumitomo (biggest InPu supplier on the planet, dodges all geo-political risk) > Nasa funding 4mil contract (their expected 26' rev was 4-6mil) > Light / Glass becoming more mainstream > RnD phase coming online So they now have a direct foundry partner, a direct material supplier and a governmental arm backing their product after years of collaberation. The shift is happening.





$SIVE $SOI $IQE $M7U $MEMS EU Photonics. Let the games begin.


$AVEX (~$3.6B) did $432.9M in 2025 revenue. $ONDS (~$5B) did $50.7M. Let that sink in. > Revenue. $AVEX $432.9M in 2025. ONDS $50.7M. $AVEX is nearly 9x the revenue at 72% of the market cap. > Backlog. $AVEX $503M funded, converting at 96.6% into an $800M 2026 guide. $ONDS has no comparable funded backlog disclosed and raised guidance from $110M to $375M in 5 months on the back of 12 acquisitions in 9 months. > Manufacturing. $AVEX runs 10 drones per 1,000 sq ft of factory every month out of 100,000 sq ft in Tampa. $ONDS has no US drone factory. Entire drone manufacturing footprint is ~23,000 sq ft in Petah Tikva, Israel. > Customer concentration. $AVEX has $1.2B in sole-sourced Pentagon contracts, 10,000 drones delivered to Ukraine, and won the Army's Launched Effects Short Range program over Anduril. $ONDS had 93% of Q3 revenue come from one Israeli customer cohort. > Capital structure. $AVEX IPO'd 5 days ago with 112.5M shares and 79% insider lockup until October. ONDS share count went from 49M to 482M in 3 years and insiders sold $12M into the ramp. >Valuation. $AVEX trades at 4.5x forward sales on 85% growth. $ONDS trades at 28x forward on a guide backed by acquisition math. One company prints drones. The other prints shares.😂 Still can't figure out why anyone is long $ONDS when $AVEX exists.




It doesn't need to be detailed with $ALRIB? > Riber effective, profitable duopoly with $VECO on MBE equipment, that traded at low fwd multiples. > $MSFT Quantum as core hyperscaler buyer of Riber from public information discovery > $IQE, QD Laser (Quantum dot), IntelliEPI and others using it. Thought process: What other companies under $1B supply directly to hyperscalers like $GOOGL to $MSFT for their frontier programs? And are critical suppliers that can't be replaced? Can't really name any aside from $AEHR, but that's now $2.3B from $600m... So thought $ALRIB was compelling for Quantum/Silicon Photonics exposure. If a profitable ~300m company is powering a hyperscaler's quantum frontier program… Probably going to get re-rated triple digits over time.



Not exactly! I'm just a tad more familiar with photonic supply chains than I am with energy so I like picking potential winners. Just wanted to introduce $IQE into the equation like i did with $AXTI, so I could do a "Did you Listen Anon?" post 3 months later if it turns out well.











