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JK
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JK
@JKCoins
Kinda alright at this trading thing - money is the worst so I will abuse it ~ Media is impending dooom ~ 73% of the tweets are from a drunken state i Cu
heavens Katılım Ocak 2018
1.3K Takip Edilen660 Takipçiler
To add to this the last halving had been the only time that $Btc had a halving in a high rate environment, rates had been practically zero since it was created. On top of that the fed was doing QT the last 3 1/2 years. QT only recently came to a stop in December of last year. More liquidity has been coming into the market and we are about to have a Fed chair who most likely lowers rates along with the business cycle finally hitting expansion (coincides with end of QT).
~ In summary the last two years were a scam pump for Ansemesque meme grifters. The environment has changed and institutions are in buying and adopting legitimate projects. If we go up from here and hold above 85k-88k theres a good chance the supercycle will be confirmed. Dont let them take your coins!
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Supercycle is the only answer if we do break out of the range to the upside and get over the downtrend. In my opinion nothing felt right from 2024-2025 those two years were purely a meme test pump for what is to come if we breakout here.
~ They will tell you to sell and buy lower but I think if you got in sub 70k and you are spot or not degenerately levered you just hold 🔮
Sykodelic 🔪@Sykodelic_
We are in the same cycle. We have not started a new cycle. When we look at charts like OTHERS/BTC here... As well as ETH/BTC, BTC.D, TOTAL2 + 3, it is very clear. We have not had the weakest cycle ever... we have just ONLY has the first part of the cycle, which is the weakest. You can see, very clearly, that this downtrend on OTHERS/BTC is the longest ever, at the same time as having the longest ever contraction in the business cycle, and liquidity also being in the longest range. These things are not happening in a vaccum guys - they are inextricably linked together. We are in the same cycle, and where we are right now is a mid cycle correction before the final expansive phase. Business cycle is in expansion QT is over and FED Net liquidity is ticking up again And OTHERS/BTC has bottomed. The 4 year cycle becomes totally meaningless when you look at these deeper charts that actually show where the overall cycle is. The cycles are not controlled by time, they are controlled by liquidity and deeper macro forces I have explained. I can't explain or show it to you more simply than this.
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@Sykodelic_ We get over 88k and I think there is a good chance that the Supercycle can be confirmed
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We are in the same cycle.
We have not started a new cycle.
When we look at charts like OTHERS/BTC here...
As well as ETH/BTC, BTC.D, TOTAL2 + 3, it is very clear.
We have not had the weakest cycle ever... we have just ONLY has the first part of the cycle, which is the weakest.
You can see, very clearly, that this downtrend on OTHERS/BTC is the longest ever, at the same time as having the longest ever contraction in the business cycle, and liquidity also being in the longest range.
These things are not happening in a vaccum guys - they are inextricably linked together.
We are in the same cycle, and where we are right now is a mid cycle correction before the final expansive phase.
Business cycle is in expansion
QT is over and FED Net liquidity is ticking up again
And OTHERS/BTC has bottomed.
The 4 year cycle becomes totally meaningless when you look at these deeper charts that actually show where the overall cycle is.
The cycles are not controlled by time, they are controlled by liquidity and deeper macro forces I have explained.
I can't explain or show it to you more simply than this.
English
Hmm better than expected on core you say?
x.com/zerohedge/stat…
zerohedge@zerohedge
CPI 0.9% MoM, Exp. 0.9% CPI Core 0.2% MoM, Exp 0.3% CPI 3.3% YoY, Exp. 3.4% CPI Core 2.6% YoY, Exp. 2.7%
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