JNF34 ⚛️
7.8K posts

JNF34 ⚛️
@JNF34
ex casse-couilles en chef, nobody now... Cryptoboomer enthousiaste







Je vous partage mon dashboard BTC du moment. Et si le visuel ne vous parle pas, voici le résumé rapide : • BTC autour de 71.4k • Fear & Greed à 15 → peur extrême • Dominance BTC à 61.7% • Funding neutre • Open Interest à 3.3B$ • ETF Spot BTC : +80.4M$ net • Liquidations 24h : 74M$, surtout des shorts En bref : marché sous tension, mais structure encore propre. Les flux restent positifs et un squeeze au-dessus reste possible. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto

This is wild. theaustralian.com.au/business/techn…






Un whale a voulu swapper 50M$ USDT en AAVE via l'interface Aave/CoW Swap. Depuis un wallet sur son téléphone. Il a ignoré le warning slippage énorme et n’a reçu que ~330 AAVE (~36k$) au lieu de millions. Ça vous intéresse que je fasse une vidéo sur ce genre de chose ? Pour comprendre le mécanisme derrière et le profit qu’en tirent certains BOT MEV ?



🚀 Bitcoin's Explosive Growth: Are Such Gains Still Possible? Bitcoin has seen an incredible rise over the years, attracting investors, traders, and enthusiasts worldwide. But one key question remains: Can Bitcoin still achieve the massive gains of the past? By analyzing previous cycles, a clear trend of diminishing returns emerges. Should we adjust our expectations? Let’s dive in. 📈 Bitcoin’s Past Cycles: A Declining Trend Looking at Bitcoin’s major bull cycles, we see a progressive reduction in gains: Cycle 1 🚀 +46,076.73% Cycle 2 📉 +6,888.15% (-84.69% from the previous cycle) Cycle 3 📉 +1,256% (-81.77%) Cycle 4 📉 +391% (-68.86%) ⚠️ Notice the pattern? Each cycle brings smaller percentage gains than the last. However, Cycle 4 may not be over yet. If Bitcoin sees another surge, its final performance could surpass the current +391%. 🔍 Why Are Bitcoin’s Gains Decreasing? ✅ A More Mature Market 📊 Bitcoin is no longer an emerging asset. As adoption grows, the market becomes less speculative and more stable. ✅ Growing Market Capitalization 💰 When an asset is small, it can easily 10x or 100x. With Bitcoin now in the hundreds of billions, such explosive growth is much harder. ✅ The Halving Effect is Weakening ⏳ Every four years, Bitcoin’s mining rewards are cut in half, reducing supply. While this boosts price action, its impact is diminishing over time. 📉 What to Expect from the Next Cycle? 🔹 If the trend continues: Cycle 5 (2025-2029?) → Possible gain of +117% to +137% 🔹 Based on past reductions: Applying -84% to 6,888% → 1,102% (close to Cycle 3) Applying -80% to 1,256% → 251% (close to Cycle 4) 📊 The data confirms a downward trend in Bitcoin’s returns. However, if Cycle 4 isn’t over, this decline could be less severe. 🔮 The Logarithmic Model Predicts Market Saturation 📉 What does this mean? Bitcoin’s gains are slowing, suggesting we may enter a phase of moderate growth or stagnation. Returns won’t be as explosive as before, but growth is still possible. 🏆 Even a 500% Gain Would Cap Bitcoin at $130,000 🔥 In an optimistic scenario where Bitcoin gains 500%, its peak would reach $130,000. 💡 While still impressive, this is far from the $500,000 to $1 million predictions some analysts make. 📈 This projection is based on the 20-week moving average (MM20) on a 2-month chart. 🚀 How to Adapt Your Investment Strategy? ✔️ Bitcoin remains bullish, but hyper-growth is over. ✔️ Bull runs will still happen, but with smaller gains. ✔️ Expectations need adjusting: +100% to +150% is more realistic than +1000%. ✔️ Even in an extreme bull case (+500%), Bitcoin likely won’t go beyond $130,000. 📢 Key Takeaway: The dream of Bitcoin hitting $1 million in the next few years seems less likely unless this trend changes. 🔗 Long-term investing remains relevant, but expect more moderate returns. What do you think? Will Bitcoin surprise us again? Let’s discuss in the comments! ⬇️ Hark #Bitcoin #inflation #TrumpTariffs #Crypto










