JSTCVW09CD

@elonmusk Too much filtering applied here and when actually get there, will find a little bit too much deviation with this video in comparison.

@AustinAJoseph76 Not sure if we can see this flat nozzle in service in 3 or 5 years. It looks like it's till in early stage of engineering development

Dubai Airshow : Model of Su-57 with Flat Nozzle

@JulianRoepcke It was over 1 or 2 weeks ago and the whole tactic of propaganda was to slow the whole process by massive personnel loss of the military.

"It seems we overplayed the “victorious battle in residential blocks” picture. We are losing the city – that must be acknowledged." While people call me a “Russian asset” because of my analysis, Ukrainian journalists – and many soldiers! – come to exactly the same conclusion.

@MihajlovicMike A very detailed analysis indeed. Thanks. Mike.

A new post on Black Mountain Analysis examines glide-bomb technology. It continues a previous article on the same topic and explains how these weapons work as well as how Ukraine might attempt to counter them. 👇 bmanalysis.substack.com/p/gliding-fabs…

Festival of light in Berlin. -

"Siegfried" with a fantastic cast by Deutsche Staatsoper in Berlin yesterday. Superb performance. -

@GrandpaRoy2 Missiles with Inreased range would be forced to produce more such as existing missiles with 40 km shooting range available for Grad MLRS.

With a range of only 15–20 km, Russian BM-21 “Grad” MLRS must enter the drone kill zone to fire. They hide in distant buildings, race along paved roads, shoot, and hurtle back to their hideout at full speed. But this one was run down by a bomber drone of the “Nemesis” Regiment.

@pati_marins64 Very much it's true. It's indeed a lost window for Ukraine to max out conditions at any possible negotiation table with Russia. Now, it's worse off by every passing day.

A passed window Again, as I write the article I mentioned earlier, I recalled a period of the war, more precisely, from late 2022 to mid-2023. During that time, Ukraine was euphoric, receiving thousands of military vehicles, dozens of aircraft, ammunition, intelligence support, and an overflowing morale. It was Ukraine’s best moment in the war, and yes, the Russians were worried. Investments in the Russian industry were still just beginning, and external dependency caused several production lines to halt due to sanctions. The Russians focused on defensive lines—Surovikin Line, Wagner Line, Crimea Defense Line (Aksenov), Khrenin Line, and Abatis Lines (Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk). They truly believed that Ukraine might invade not only the occupied territories but also Russian territory itself. The Russian withdrawal from occupied areas due to logistical issues, at the end of 2022, boosted Ukrainian morale to its highest point in the war. The Russians were indeed very concerned and uncertain about how far the Biden administration might go in supplying equipment, and whether Europeans would deplete their stocks to a critical level. That period represented a window during which Ukraine could have positioned itself better in the conflict and possibly started negotiations. The country still had hundreds of Tochka missiles among its arsenal, used to its advantage. Instead, there were significant delays in delivering equipment—from 31 Abrams tanks taking over a year to arrive, to material arriving without spare parts or damaged, and maintenance logistics moving at a turtle’s pace. Several countries saw that moment as an opportunity to get rid of old equipment at a good price. The Russians issued during the first 15 months of war, gave west the chance to fight differently, and the allies let it slip—that’s the truth. Since then, Russia has had time to organize itself and continued to advance steadily, even if slowly.

@GrandpaRoy2 This setup of fragmentation elements is mean stuff.

A disassembly of a powerful Ukrainian drone munition displays the deadly segmented fragmentation rings. The electronic board is either an impact fuze with an accelerometer, or an arming switch for contact wires. Either would have a timed arming delay.

@27khv Nowadays, it's not a surprise to see this kind of stuff or alike at all.

This might be the dumbest take ever (and that’s saying plenty on here). Soviet “fronts” were named for where they fought, not who filled the ranks. The 1st Ukrainian Front, for instance, began life as the Voronezh Front (a Russian city) and was overwhelmingly manned by Russians. It’s like the US calling a unit the “1st French Front” because it fought in France. And at Berlin, the man in charge was Marshal Georgy Zhukov, a Russian from Kaluga. To claim “they weren’t there” is is to smudge the archives just to win an argument in the gutter. And yet this howler has 1.3 million views. 🤦‍♂️

@pati_marins64 As always, look forward to your work for sharing.

@GrandpaRoy2 Hope they do good documentation with less doctored editing for PR purpose.

Watch the Kill Counters increase!

@TrentTelenko A major function and one of it's design presumptions is to function as a field gun for indirect fire. For this purpose, it's easy to find out that over half of its standard ammunitions in a tank of Russian design are high explosive ones instead of armor-piercing ones.

This is what you do when you have run out of tube artillery. Ukraine did this in late 2022 with T-72's for that reason.

Time to battlefield & then quick scaling up to big volume are 2 key aspects for adaption at tactical level of frontline, but in a very paradoxical pattern against each other, implying not just flexibility within command chain, but also, enormous war resources standing by for availability.

War correspondent @DVKirichenko embedded with Ukrainian front-line units, and he particularly understands the grim capabilities that Russia's elite Rubicon drone unit has.

@GrandpaRoy2 Potential increase of warhead weight may be from current 90 kg to 120 kg or even up to 150 kg with much shorter range but the same take-off weight.

The B version of the Russian Geran-2 (Shahed) strike UAV has a gimbaled camera and radio communication. This allows direct operator control for reconnaissance, tactical strike, and even attacking moving vehicles.

It's a new turning point as a meeting happened between Fico & Putin in Beijing yesterday in which Putin told Fico that Russian forces will focus on Ukrainian grid. There may be a sweeping strike on Ukrainian national grid. It's a wait & see game on how things develop in this direction.

This intercepted video from a Russian “Molniya” (Lightning) strike UAV on a Ukrainian electrical substation in the Sumy region demonstrates how vulnerable these installations are. Russian substations and transformers are just as vulnerable. 1/

@GrandpaRoy2 It looks like a pissing contest going— "you have 2 barrels and then I need to triple"

Another Ukrainian six-barrel recoilless shotgun system for mounting on an FPV is called “Predator Shooter”, developed by the Ukrainian company 3D Tech. This system uses 12 gauge shells, apparently with a second shell firing backwards as the recoil compensation. 1/

@carolinefrmus @bbcproms It's kind of weird to sing in English, considering the score to match the original language by vowels & consonants

At the @bbcproms for Shostakovich’s Lady Macbeth. ‘This production contains mild depictions of violence and sexual assault’ And murder 🤔

@markomihkelson Practicing Russian may be an option of actions for your guys? Seriously.

In Europe, can we stop talking about ‘concerns’? It’s time to move from reaction to action.

@TrentTelenko @GrandpaRoy2 Sure, definitely, will create problems

@JSTCVW09CD @GrandpaRoy2 Russian locomotive engines are split 70/30 electrical versus diesel. Killing electricity for trains will require tasking fuel gondola cars to moving train diesel rather than fuel for the Russian Army.

This is why attacking the electrical system for the electric railways in Western Russia to cut supplies to their army in occupied Ukraine is preferable to refinery strikes. The imagery of the spectacular oil fires are popular but probably over-estimated in their effects. 1/