J-Gol
2K posts

J-Gol
@JSimIsHere
Sports Analyst and Consulting Football picks with logic, not guesswork. BTTS | Overs | Team Totals Value over hype. ❤ the Game!
Switzerland Katılım Aralık 2025
94 Takip Edilen82 Takipçiler

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琉球群岛,从未属于日本🇯🇵
🌏 古代:500 年宗藩,日本只是"挟持者"
明洪武五年(1372),朱元璋遣杨载诏谕琉球,中山王察度奉表称臣——中琉宗藩正式启动,比日本任何正式文书都早。
- 新王嗣位必请册封:明廷遣给事中+行人渡海授"国王之印",琉球 23 次请封无一中断
- 两年一贡:使团走福州柔远驿,久米村"闽人三十六姓"是明廷赐去的,汉字、儒教、科举、冠服全套照搬
- 与朝鲜、越南并列"频贡国",《大明会典》《大清会典》单列
日本是什么角色?1609 年萨摩藩武力入侵,在那霸设"在番奉行所",抽琉球对清朝贡的成——但萨摩不敢废琉球王室,也不敢断朝贡,怕明朝动武。
于是琉球进入"两属":对中国是藩属,对萨摩是傀儡。"两属"≠"属日本",宗主权在中国这边,萨摩只是挟持收租。
⚔️ 近代:1879 吞并,中国三届政府都不认
明治分步偷:
- 1872:把琉球王"升为藩王、列华族"——单方改名,清廷没认
- 1874:借"牡丹社事件"侵台,《中日北京专约》诡称"被害琉球人=日本国属民"——第一次在条约里塞话术
- 1875:禁琉球向清入贡
- 1879:松田道之带军警登陆,废藩置县设"冲绳县",尚泰被掳东京
但——
- 清政府:抗议 + 何如璋对日交涉,不承认
- 北洋、南京国民政府:沿用"不承认主义"
- 1941 年 12 月中国对日宣战,声明"所有中日间一切条约、协定、合同一律废止"——《北京专约》《马关》全废,日本对琉球的"条约依据"从源头清零
📜 战后条约链:琉球被反复"排除在日本主权外"
《开罗宣言》(1943):"其他日本以武力或贪欲所攫取之土地,亦务将日本驱逐出境"——罗斯福还主动问蒋介石要不要收琉球,蒋答"中美共管"。
前提:琉球属"被驱逐"范畴,非日本固有领土。
《波茨坦公告》(1945)第八条:日本主权"限于本州、北海道、九州、四国及吾人所决定之其他小岛"——琉球四字没出现,等于排除在本土外。日本《投降书》确认接受。
《旧金山和约》(1951)第三条:日本"放弃对琉球群岛之一切权利、权利名义与要求",交美国托管。但和约排除中苏,违法"盟国一致",中国自始不承认。
1971 美日《琉球和大东诸岛协定》:美国把琉球"施政权"还给日本——通篇不出现"主权"二字。美国只是托管者,无权处置主权;日本拿到的仅是"行政、立法、司法权",非主权。
"琉球群岛从来不属于日本"不是口号——古代宗藩中国在先,近代吞并未经合法转让,战后条约链也没把琉球判给日本。1972 那脚传球是美日私相授受,安理会没认,中国也没认。

中文

@IsabellaAn67 Generally, SEA countries do not see China as a threat. It's simply about a balance in strong powers within the region.
When he said put aside history... he meant it as to work close together coz the world is in chaos.
English

@NosFutebol Otamendi is a fucking sore loser.
The fact he is still in the national team says alot about the lack of depth.
Messi's retirement = Argentina decline!
English

🇦🇷 Otamendi: "Biraz daha az konuşmaya başla, aptal. Çünkü bütün hafta boyunca ağlayıp durdunuz. Sen de, Laporte de. Böyle şeyler yapılmaz. Sürekli hakemlerden şikayet ettiniz, dostum."
🇪🇸 Rodri: "Sana saygım var."
🇦🇷 Otamendi: "Ama maçtan önce konuşmaman gerekiyor, anladın mı?"
🇪🇸 Rodri: "Ben ne dedim ki?"
🇦🇷 Otamendi: "Ya Laporte? Bu hafta Laporte'nin söylediklerini görmedin mi?"
Türkçe

@OpCryptoUK You are targeting under...
Ok... Doing a parlay for all 4?
English

@JSimIsHere I currently have 1 more running for today. I’ll research one for tomorrow, later on this evening
x.com/onchainbets/st…
On-Chain Bets ⚽️@OnChainBets
IFK Mariehamn total: under 1.5 Mushuc Runa SC total: under 2.5 San Antonio Bulo Bulo total: under 3.5 FS Jelgava total: under 1.5 2.09
English

🔥 New Triple for Monday 🔥
✅ Super Nova vs Grobina – Grobina Under 1.5 Goals
✅ Orgryte vs Djurgården – Orgryte Under 1.5 Goals
✅ Kalmar vs Malmo – Draw or Malmo (DC)
Strong defensive/value picks. Who’s on it? 💰
#MultiBet #BettingTips

English

@JSimIsHere They don’t always work out like this. But as long as risk management is in play we keep on building the account 🤝
English

@JSimIsHere You’d expect them to at least score too. That’s football ey
English

🇸🇪Kalmar 2-2 Malmo FF @ 64th min
✅ o2.5
#BettingCommunity #FootballTips #BettingTips #FootballPredictions #MatchPredictions #SportsGambling #futbol

J-Gol@JSimIsHere
🇸🇪Kalmar vs Malmo FF Predict: o2.5 #BettingCommunity #FootballTips #BettingTips #FootballPredictions #MatchPredictions #SportsGambling #futbol
English

🇸🇪Kalmar vs Malmo FF
Predict: o2.5
#BettingCommunity #FootballTips #BettingTips #FootballPredictions #MatchPredictions #SportsGambling #futbol

Português

@Chinaview0022 That's his job. Better to say the right things if you want your family and your job/business to be safe.
English

@_sow18 @GBC_Press The Spanish returned Argentinians the behaviour (reference to England/Argentina).
They now know what it feels.
English


@Prueba2222222 @luma_official_ @kangminlee I dunno what's the narrative. But I do believe that this world is controlled. Argentina heading to thr final was a fixed.
English

@OpCryptoUK Was looking at past 2 matches performances.
Djurgarden TTo1.5 might be a safer pick? Just trying to grt your thoughts
English

@JSimIsHere Possibly but grobina have won their last 2 matches. They’ve only scored 15 in 22 games so I went for u1.5. Still a risky pick but the odds worked for me
English

@OpCryptoUK That's the thing.
When choosing TT o1.5, we worry if it ends with 1.
When choosing TT u1.5, we worry if it ends over 1.
It's like on the edge of a curve.🤣
Not many games, I may follow...
English

@OpCryptoUK Interesting picks.
Do you see Super Nova Win/Draw as a good pick? I did not see the odds. I am just thinking of the outcome.
I think Malmo ML might hit too.
English

📊 Why this Triple?
• **Grobina Under 1.5**: Grobina often struggle to score away against solid sides — high chance they stay under.
• **Orgryte Under 1.5**: Orgryte not prolific at home vs stronger opposition like Djurgården.
• **Kalmar DC Draw or Malmo**: Malmo are strong favourites. Double chance is very safe in this mismatch.
Low-risk, high-probability legs focused on unders and favourite cover. Good luck Monday! Gamble responsibly 🍀
English

@luma_official_ @kangminlee You just said it...
Support with heart, bet with brains.🤣
Hope I am wrong, but... FIFA backs Messi.
English

@kangminlee my guy, Spain is right there and their manager is a devout Catholic
why support a team that's rigging the tournament?
English

I’ve liked a lot of what Joe Kent has said over the past few months, I commend him for resigning and admitting that he could no longer work for the Trump administration as Iran NEVER was a threat to us until we launched an unprovoked war against them, but this tweet is beyond stupid.
You don’t escalate the war by launching a deeper attack in hopes of ending the war 🤦🏻♂️
What the US needs to do is get the f*ck out of the Middle East and cut our losses in the disastrous war that has been a strategic failure from day one
Joe Kent@joekent16jan19
Tonight we will have to hit Iran hard in response to our troops being killed in Jordan. After that, we need to end this before it escalates further. Strike & simultaneously pull our forces out—remove Iran’s leverage and move on to economic negotiations. Restore order.
English




